Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Many twists and turns to come I'd say but what is clear, overall, is the scientists are leading after the first leg. The virus is still in with a chance and dangerous on the break but with the team we have I think the medical team will come out on top eventually. Hopefully we can all attend the World Cup of non Covid next year by visiting any country we wish, plucky Covid may still be around but even Gibraltar hammered it into submission. Star signings, AZ and Pfizer took a while to find their feet but after some intense training, coaching and readjustments they are now performing at the top of their form. MOM,all the world wide scientists and medical staff who will have booted this shit out of the ball park.
Just remember 10 man Leeds have just beat city :+(
 
Not sure how that works. if the SA strain has in fact escaped immunity ( to some extent ) then that means the natural inoculation effected is nullified as well tho?

all a vaccine does is create the same effect in the body as having the virus. Therefore escape vaccine and it escapes natural immunity too.

that being said. Reducing efficacy of immunity isn’t the same as totally escaping immunity. With the test size in that group it’s to early to be worried. Even then. Booster jabs are already in development so roll out of a new one should be quick if it’s needed

also no vaccine or natural immunity is 100%, it’s entirely possible these figures are within the expected margins?
Prior to vaccination in Israel 1% of the viral strains were the SA variant, 80% the UK variant. The SA variant did not have a advanatage in terms of infectiveness so the other variants effectively restricted the growth of the SA variant by innoculating the hosts with partial immunity.

The SA variant has not totally evaded the immune response hence this argument works for me.
 
Wales data:

Comparison with 2 weeks ago as no data last Sunday

3 deaths - was 0 two wks ago

53 cases - was 171 two weeks ago (think this is the lowest 'normal' daily number I can recall in Wales) - less than Manchester on its own had 4 out of 7 days last week!)

0.7% positivity - was 1.2% two wks ago.
 
Wales vaccination update:

1, 572, 752 first doses given - 16, 436 today - was 19, 194 yesterday & 10, 558 last Sunday.

525, 177 second doses given - 15, 699 today - was 11, 160 yesterday & 2673 last Sunday.

Big step up from last week and 2K up on yesterday.
 
Zoe app data:

1732 predicted cases - up 106 on yesterday.

NE & Yorkshire the only area in the Red Zone at a range of 36 - 163 (all numbers per million people)

In the dark pink second group are now:-

Scotland 0 - 111

North West (now up to third highest) 16 - 87

Wales 0 - 76

London 10 - 58

In the light pink third group are:-

South East 11 - 43

East 5- 46

Midlands 2 - 52

South West 0 - 28

And the only one in the white zone and best in UK is

N Ireland at 0 - 366


Though I have no real idea why it rates that much higher than what looks to me the obviously better range of the South West.


The number of reported to the app symptomatic cases ongoing of Covid has fallen as it has every day now since January to go below 40K

At 39, 040 that is a fall in last 24 hours of 1791.

Calderdale (unhappy valley perhaps should be renamed) is the most infected area in the UK with 1485 cases reported and an extrapolated 'real' number based on % of population reporting to the app of 7128 active case sin this area on the Yorkshire / GM county borders.

Much of West Yorkshire (Leeds etc) and North Lincolnshire closely behind.

Bolton is rated the most infected in the North West (odd as its case numbers have fallen a lot recently)

At about a third of the above number at just 528 extrapolated based on % of population using the app to 2040 active cases.

Here are the other 9 GM boroughs with reported cases / extrapolated true active cases:

Bury 150 / 795

Manchester 242 / 444

Oldham 168 / 717

Rochdale 77 / 352

Salford 82 / 323

Stockport 121 / 418

Tameside 295 / 1317

Trafford 131 / 559

Wigan 108 / 333
 
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