Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Vaccine availability in the USA - for populous areas - seems to me - to be lacking.

This is based on my experience in Washington State - near Seattle.

I very much want to get vaccinated - but every website I enter - to attempt a scheduled vaccination - informs me that vaccines are not available.

And then... just today - after a bunch of web surfing - I find one site where vaccines are available. Awesome!

I then check the site - within 30 miles - it turns out that the site is actually in an island - and it would take me at least 1.5 hours with no traffic to get there!

As much as I would like to be vaccinated - a 3-hour plus round trip for a 2-shot vacitionation - 6 hours to get both vaccines assuming no traffic - isn't reasonable.

Instead, for me at least - COVID vaccinations are largely unavailable in the Seattle area at present.
 
The graphic predates the letter. I've not looked at all of the signatories. It's, however, striking that people who have been so drastically and consistently wrong throughout pop up yet again, and get the same welcoming publicity from the same news organisations.

Despite their appalling track record.

Suprised they have got the gall to do it after what has happened since their last letter.
 
The Gates initiative on malaria is serious stuff too.
Yes, very, very much so. Gates is honestly my hero.

Everything his foundation is investing in is to the huge benefit of mankind - too, his investment priorities are spot on, investing only in areas where incremental investment beyond what governments are currently investing in may achieve maximum potential.
 
England deaths down wk to wk from 28 to 16

Cases up wk to wk from 2169 to 2410

There were 16,000 more tests last week though.

However, just under half the 2410 England cases today were reportedly LFD tests of which about 30% get discounted after they are found to have been wrong a day or two later.

Not sure how true that is.
 
little update since my last graph 2 weeks ago - positive cases by test type in England only (date of specimen). no real effect seen since the pubs opened. LFD results really kicking in for some reason, though it remains to be seen whether it is just another gentle crest like mid to late March.

plenty on the BMJ about the troubles of using LFD in a home setting, and perhaps how the lower prevalence rate actually might work in their favour. Either way, without a confirmatory PCR I am against them.

covid_cases_by_test.png
 
Regional Cases Today



Cases show up or down on yesterday and the v number is versus 7 days ago.



SOUTH

East UP 45 to 257 v 205

London UP 139 to 401 v 406 (London had the largest rise today and becomes the highest in UK again)

South East UP 77 to 302 v 285 (South East stays below the North West in fourth place despite big rise)

South West UP 39 to 151 v 144


Every southern region bar London up week to week and London only 6 off doing so.





MIDLANDS

East UP 24 to 189 v 208 - still down wk to wk.

West UP 81 to 220 v 212


Midlands fairly consistent week to week




NORTH

North East UP 41 to 129 v 83 (Still lowest region in England today but back over 100).

Yorkshire UP 79 to 361 v 307 - Well up and up week to week but London had worse day and went top.


NORTH WEST UP 64 to 340 v 270 . Just still behind Yorkshire today and behind London too. But well up week to week.



Greater Manchester was also up week to week - but only by 12 of those 70 so is outperforming other parts of the North West just as the Zoe app has been showing. Though it was up more day to day than par. By 40 of the 64.
 
Greater Manchester Cases


170 cases today - up 40 on yesterday.

Takes GM share of NW back over 50%.

But this is only up week to week by 12 from last Tuesday. Which is well below expected given the NW rise.






Bolton stays at the summit. Up 9 to 35. Its highest numbers in nearly a month and Zoe again predicted this. But has seen a fall today so fingers crossed they get that right too. Also up 10 week to weel.

Manchester is level with Bolton today on just 35 - up 14 on day but down 9 week to week. So deserves second place as its Pop Score is falling.

Trafford still has problems and is up here on 23 - highest number in a month. Rise by 11 in day and also wk to wk. Trafford also the only borough up by double figure Pop score points today (10) taking it closer to becoming the last borough to join the 7000 club now on 6977 and just days away.

Salford falls by 2 to 15 which is up 5 from last wk.

Tameside up by 1 to 12 on the day which is up 4 from last week.

Rochdale up 3 on the day also on 12 - which is also up 3 week to week.

Oldham down 2 on the day to 11 which is up 1 on last week.

Stockport is up by 3 to 10 - another good fall of 9 week to week. Trafford's woes mean it lost 7 overall Pop Score points to Stockport in one go cutting the lead to 169.

Bury also on 10 - up 4 on the day but down 3 from last week



Which means only one borough made it into single numbers today - the ever reliable right now:-

Wigan on 7 - down 1 on the day and the same wk to wk.


Weekly cases:-

Bury 43, Stockport 67. Rochdale 69, Wigan 69, Tameside 71, Oldham 92, Trafford 99, Salford 99. Bolton 151, Manchester 225.
 
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