Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Manchester1894]

PHE statement on Bolton / Indian variant(s).

Seems to me that it's likely that this variant is more contagious still than the Kent variant judging by increase in numbers in Bolton. The good news though is that there doesn't seem to be any suggestion of vaccine evasion...so get your vaccine when its offered and you'll be OK. That's the assumption I am operating on anyway.

Bolton has been right at the very centre of every spike in the North West thoughout hasn't it??

April last year!

 

[twosips]

Wonderful thread on the new Indian variant. Would recommend reading the whole thing.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Wonderful thread on the new Indian variant. Would recommend reading the whole thing.

JBM's work throughout COVID has been absolutely outstanding.

 

[unicorn]

Wonderful thread on the new Indian variant. Would recommend reading the whole thing.

Excellent analysis, includes key line "Because overall UK case numbers are much lower today than they were last November, the same % of cases is a smaller number."

 

[Healdplace]

15 all settings deaths

2490 cases - down 123 on yesterday - was 2381 last week & 2678 wk before

1, 051 , 558 pillar 1 & 2 tests about 3000 or so more than last week

 

[Healdplace]

Unfortunately another rise in the North West - of only 9 day to day happily - despite the fall in UK numbers and a large fall for Yorkshire. But it is the fourth successive rise from 224 four days ago.

So for the first time in a while the NW is the most infected region in the UK today

380 cases v 350 for Yorkshire and 252 for London.

East Midlands on 270 is the third highest in England now. Its biggest numbers in about a month.

 

[unicorn]

Case numbers hardly change day to day, week to week, since the 12 April reopening.

Meanwhile hospital admissions continue to reduce, which is great.

 

[ayrshire_blue]

Case numbers hardly change day to day, week to week, since the 12 April reopening.

Meanwhile hospital admissions continue to reduce, which is great.

Yep, all contributing to providing more time for the vaccine programme to keep winning the race hopefully!

 

[Healdplace]

Bolton has leapt up by another jump sadly. Up 46 week to week. The fourth successive day the week to week rise has increased. 75 cases there today.

Here is the run of numbers in past 2 weeks:-

15 - 14 - 21 - 19 - 26 - 35 - 26 - 25 - 29 - 32 - 41 - 45 - 44 - 57 - 61 - 75.

 

[Healdplace]

Bolton is of course the big problem in GM right now and the reason it is over 200 (at 208) for the first time in a month.

Rochdale is starting to show signs of a problem too. Up on its highest numbers in a while on 22 today - having risen in past days:- 9 - 10 - 18 - 22.

Oldham has also risen across the same four days: - 6 - 9 - 12 - 17 today.

Hope this is not the start of the variant spreading across the county.

Bury and Stockport had better days Bury on just 4 and Stockport with its third straight fall to just 8.

Manchester was up a little to 39 but not yet showing any signs of a Bolton effect.

Liverpool was also up quite a bit today by its recent low standards.

Number here are not disastrous anywhere. Though Bolton's daily Pop Score rise - up to 26 today - tells its own story when compared with the numbers from the other Boroughs Pop Score rises tpday:

Bury by 2 (best today). Manchester 7, Oldham 7, Rochdale 10 (only other place but Bolton in double figures in some time), Salford 4, Stockport 2 (best today), Tameside 4, Trafford 5 and Wigan 3.

So you can easily see how Bolton's 26 blows these out of the water.

Pop Scores - to remind - are cases as per 100,000 POPulation living in the area - so allowing direct comparison of how good or bad the daily cases are for any location. As obviously 10 cases in a city the size of Manchester is very different from 10 in a small rural area with a fraction of the population.