Coronavirus (2021) thread

Franny's toilet roll

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23 Dec 2013
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we haven't been bloody offered it.
I think the clinical psychologists reporting on vaccine hesitancy might take that into account, could be wrong . I heard they survey whole swathes of people to test attitude to vaccines - who would have thought that ? Fucking clever bastards these scientists. Plenty of centres offering vaccines at the end of shift to save binning them
 

Healdplace

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By the way Zoe App today shows Stockport as an area of rising concern - which I thought might be true in recent days. Though today Stockport did much better in cases reported. So we will see.

UK wide Zoe recorded rises in BOTH cases estimated today and ongoing symptomatic cases. The latter for the first time since January. So very disappointing news and probably tied to the uptick in real data.

The North West is a big factor in this rise it would seem.

Cases were up by 83 at 1090 and ongoing symptomatic cases up by 241 at 15, 055.

Bolton seems to be falling in Zoe still at 341 cases / 1205 estimated (number of active cases reported to the app / estimated number in location per million people inferred)

Stockport is climbing and closing in today on 263 / 909 - highest in many weeks

Other GM boroughs nowhere near this level mostly:

Bury 16 / 83

Manchester 135 / 247

Oldham 12 / 51

Rochdale 13 / 59

Salford 28 / 112

Tameside 150 / 669 (neighbour to Stockport and second worst)

Trafford 69 / 203

Wigan 76 / 234


That looks rather worrying for Stockport and Tameside to a degree too.

Zoe data can be ahead of the game (it is real time reporting not a day or two lag via the reporting to gov uk). Let us hope they have got this one wrong. But they were not with Bolton.

Which if true should mean it will fall in real cases soon as it has now for several days in Bolton on Zoe.
 
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Healdplace

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Fascinating graphs Shemnel. Thank you,

I am going to take advantage of the low data over the weekend to post less. That book pdf needs me more as I get paid for that so I can spend it once we are out of this! And not thinking all day about Covid is better than the money.
 

Healdplace

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12 May 2013
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Regional Cases Today



Cases show up or down on yesterday and the v number is versus 7 days ago.



SOUTH

East down 5 to 219 v 174

London UP 81 to 333 v 310

South East down 37 to 215 v 259

South West down 2 to 118 v 121



Biggest rise of the day in London - stays third behind the two northern regions but all close together.




MIDLANDS

East up 13 to 270 v 179

West down 7 to 179 v 172



NORTH

North East down 42 to 55 v 92 (Second lowest score in 8 months)


Yorkshire down 56 to 350 v 401 (Week to week falls continue and now behind the North West).




NORTH WEST UP 9 to 380 v 278.

Up even more week to week and now the highest numbers in the country again.



GREATER MANCHESTER

Up 16 day to day (double the entire NW rise of 9) but UP 63 week to week - biggest GM rise in month and taking it over 200 to 208 for first time in a month. So GM a but over par over par with 60% of that rise. Most from one place!
 

True_Blue69

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By the way Zoe App today shows Stockport as an area of rising concern - which I thought might be true in recent days. Though today Stockport did much better in cases reported. So we will see.

UK wide Zoe recorded rises in BOTH cases estimated today and ongoing symptomatic cases. The latter for the first time since January. So very disappointing news and probably tied to the uptick in real data.

The North West is a big factor in this rise it would seem.

Cases were up by 83 at 1090 and ongoing symptomatic cases up by 241 at 15, 055.

Bolton seems to be falling in Zoe still at 341 cases / 1205 estimated (number of active cases reported to the app / estimated number in location per million people inferred)

Stockport is climbing and closing in today on 263 / 909 - highest in many weeks

Other GM boroughs nowhere near this level mostly:

Bury 16 / 83

Manchester 135 / 247

Oldham 12 / 51

Rochdale 13 / 59

Salford 28 / 112

Tameside 150 / 669 (neighbour to Stockport and second worst)

Trafford 69 / 203

Wigan 76 / 234


That looks rather worrying for Stockport and Tameside to a degree too.

Zoe data can be ahead of the game (it is real time reporting not a day or two lag via the reporting to gov uk). Let us hope they have got this one wrong. But they were not with Bolton.

Which if true should mean it will fall in real cases soon as it has now for several days in Bolton on Zoe.

Let’s all remember that unless cases translate into serious illness, they don’t really matter anymore.
 

Healdplace

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12 May 2013
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Greater Manchester Cases


208 cases today - up 16 on yesterday.

And up 63 from 145 last Friday. Biggest week to week rise in some time.




Bolton - had another awful day at 75 - that is up 14 on yesterday and 46 week to week. Biggest weekly increase in any GM borough in ages. And all on its own bringing the county down in the data. Pop score up by 26 today - most by any GM borough in a couple of months. In Contrast today Bury and Stockport rose by a pop score of just 2!


Manchester is up 6 to 39 and further behind than ever but up 2 from last week.

Rochdale takes third place again rising by 4 on 22 - which is up 12 week to week and fourth straight rise from just 9 cases.

Oldham up 5 to 17 on the day - also up 5 wk to wk

Three quarters of the GM total today from these 4 boroughs.

Trafford back up by 7 to 12 - though down 3 wk to wk.

Wigan down 4 also to 12 - which is up 5 wk to wk.

Salford falls by 8 to 10 which is also down 4 on last wk.


Leaving three boroughs in single figures today:-


Tameside down 1 to 9 which is up 2 on last week.


Stockport better down 5 to 8 which is down 1 week to week. Regained 3 Pop Score points on Trafford to cut the gap to 148 for overall lowest Pop score. Not closing that soon but has caught up 50 in past two or three weeks. Of course if Zoe App is right Stockport may yet do a Bolton.

And who else topping the tree......

Bury down 2 to 4 - which is down 1 on last week



Weekly total cases:-

Bolton top 350 cases and streak beyond Manchester. The other eight under 100. Bury look hard to catch though.


Bury 41, Tameside 47, Oldham 67, Stockport 79, Salford 79, Trafford 87, Wigan 88, Rochdale 95, Manchester 197, Bolton 355.
 

Healdplace

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12 May 2013
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12,185
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Bolton 124 / 63 / UP 61 Testing positive 9.2%

Rochdale 43 / 34 / UP 9 Testing positive 9.6%

Trafford 37 / 45 / DOWN 8 Testing positive 7.0 %

Manchester 35 / 35 / LEVEL Testing positive 9.7%

Salford 31 / 42 / DOWN 11 Testing positive 9.0%

Oldham 28 / 38 DOWN 10 Testing positive 9.8%

Stockport 27 / 22 / UP 5 Testing positive 7.2%

Wigan 26 / 21 / UP 5 Testing positive 8.9%

Bury 22 / 23 / DOWN 1 Testing positive 9.1%

Tameside 21 / 29 DOWN 8 Testing positive 8.2%


Sadly the first time in Greater Manchester that you could say Bolton are in a league of their own. That gulf is what awaits the other boroughs if we let this variant spread. Why I was so frustrated that nobody seemed to be noticing the threat out there as it built up to this and these daily tables made it obvious days ago.
 

Healdplace

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12 May 2013
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12,185
HOSPITAL DATA

Summary:



Disappointing numbers today. Very small fall of 5 patients in UK hospitals (just 3 in England) - well below last week. And ventilators rose by 1 in England but overall fell by 4 as numbers were better in the other nations.

So little change for a Friday.

The NW added patients today as did three other regions - very unusual on a Friday - which made the difference as others fell by typical numbers. NW Ventilators did fall into the teens though for the first time in 8 months.

13 September last time fewer were on ventilators in NW and 6 September last time fewer patients. A little ahead of the UK average time table slipping backwards into last Summer.


UK total:




Patients down to 1159 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 38, 089 in 109 days) :- lowest since 18 September

Ventilators down to 159 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3918 in 103 days) : lowest since 19 September


England only:-


ADMISSIONS
:-

96 Covid admissions following 76, 98, 92, 68, 82, 81, 89, in the week before.

As you see daily Covid admission numbers in England under 100 now every day but there is a small wk to wk rise today.




PATIENTS:-


Patients down by 3 to 973 v 1161 last week :- lowest since 16 September

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 33, 363 in 109 days)

Ventilators: UP 1 to 145 v 170 last week :- lowest since 20 September

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3591 in 103 days)



Regions:


Patient // Ventilators // change in past day to today and v last week



East down 13 to 70 v 121 // stays at 6 v 10

London down 11 to 272 v 315 // UP 1 to 62 v 71

Midlands down 9 to 186 v 218 // down 1 to 27 v 30

NE & Yorks UP 4 to 160 v 170// down 3 to 20 v 20

North West UP 11 to 177 v 188 // down 1 to 19 v 25

South East UP 14 to 76 v 105 // UP 5 to 8 v 11

South West UP 1 to 32 v 44 // stays at 3 v 3
 

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