The Light Was Yellow Sir
Well-Known Member
The pressure isn’t being caused by Covid patients but by Covid measures. Beds down by a quarter due to social distancing, many more patients turning up than usual as they’ve not been able to access much secondary care for 15 months, as well as more and more staff, and their children, being sent home to self isolate, and all following 10 years austerity…..If we compare todays positive test numbers (27,000) to the last time they were at that level on a rising curve (17 Dec) then daily hospitalisations are 14% of what they were then and daily deaths are 6% of what we saw then. probably also worth noting that we are doing 3 times as many tests as were being done on a daily basis as then which might account for some of the difference (though many of the extras will be lateral flow tests which aren't as accurate).
Overall, therefore, still looks like the link between cases and hospitalisations/deaths remains severely weakened. However, there may still be localised pressure of certain hospitals/trust areas.