Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Northern Ireland data

ALSO NOW STARTING TO TICK UP

1 death - was 0 last week - first in some time here

339 cases - was 229 last week

14% positivity - was 8.4% last week

4 care home outbreaks - was 4 yesterday & 3 last week.

2077 Rolling 7 day cases total - waa 1970 yesterday & 1221 last week

26 patients - up 5 on yesterday & 10 on last week - these are biggest rises in months.

1 ventilated - down 1 on yesterday (perhaps the one death sadly) - was 0 last week


The last to see these rises but Delta has clearly arrived across the Irish Sea now.
 
So total deaths today are 24 with out of hospital England to add.

It was 16 last week - which became 18 on all settings.


Three nation cases is 4732 with England to add

Last week it was 2312 to which England added 13, 498 to equal 15, 810

Yesterday England added 22, 948 to the 3 nations total of 5041 to equal 27, 989.
 
Bad news is that most regions are down today,

Apart from the North West up to a new high today of 5033, A 50% rise on last Friday,

Even Bolton on its highest number in one month today,

A little disconcerting,
 
Fuelled by the Delta variant, a new wave of COVID-19 is sweeping across Africa - with major rises in new cases, hospital admissions, and deaths.

South Africa is suffering the worst of the new surge, with case numbers doubling every three weeks, according to the World Health Organisation.

"The speed and scale of Africa's third wave is like nothing we've seen before," said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, WHO's regional director for Africa.

The Delta variant, reported in 16 African countries, has become dominant in South Africa, which accounts for more than half of Africa's new cases. It was detected in 97% of samples sequenced in Uganda and in 79% of samples sequenced in Congo, said the WHO.

"The rampant spread of more contagious variants pushes the threat to Africa up to a whole new level," Dr Moeti said in a statement.

"More transmission means more serious illness and more deaths, so everyone must act now and boost prevention measures to stop an emergency becoming a tragedy."

Less than 2% of Africa's 1.3 billion people have received even one dose of a vaccine.
 
Sorry to report that Bolton number was no fluke. Out of nowhere GM is through the roof today, Everywhere bar one up by miles,

That one is Bury - far and away the 'best' falling 4 to 115.


Nearly everyone else on some of the highest numbers we have had since Winter. Bolton's 150 was actually the second best!

Manchester over 500 today, Wigan high 200s, Salford and Oldham both over 200. Even Stockport not far off at its highest in months.

Today's numbers are really bad but might explain why bins are not being collected across GM as so many of the crew are off with Covid.

Highest GM total in months 2217 - from NW new high of 5033. GM up 322 of the NW 667 rise.

Week to week GM up 645 of the NW rise of 1593 - biggest weekly rise yet!

Which as you see means GM is actually below the 50% of 796 number and other parts of the region are doing worse than GM right now.

But on a day all the other regions fell unless there is some other reason such as missing cases or unusual testing levels this is bad news for the region, No hiding that.
 
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Healdplace said:
Bad news is that most regions are down today,

Apart from the North West up to a new high today of 5033, A 50% rise on last Friday,

Even Bolton on its highest number in one month today,

A little disconcerting,
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It seems there is still plenty of susceptible people, and still the vaccination programme isn't making a decisive difference to growth.

Exponential growth continues across the UK, and given it still hasn't stopped growing in the NW, it seems likely to at least reach our levels everywhere.

It's looking increasingly likely this wave will peak above the previous ones on cases. Definitely not on deaths and almost certainly a long way off on hospitalizations too.

Chatting to a double vaxxed work colleague today just out of hospital with Covid. Lost 10kgs. Awful illness.
 
The Light Was Yellow Sir said:
I know, but even if it’s just those numbers, it’s staggering!
When you then factor in lemon juice and coke positives. Admissions, discharges and deaths are the only metrics we should be using and even then probably only once a week.
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I think your figures nail any argument about promoting the testing stats to the public. I understand that we may still need to record testing figures but we should stop calling them "cases" and the communications messages should just stress hospitalisations, discharges, and deaths.
 
If we compare todays positive test numbers (27,000) to the last time they were at that level on a rising curve (17 Dec) then daily hospitalisations are 14% of what they were then and daily deaths are 6% of what we saw then. probably also worth noting that we are doing 3 times as many tests as were being done on a daily basis as then which might account for some of the difference (though many of the extras will be lateral flow tests which aren't as accurate).

Overall, therefore, still looks like the link between cases and hospitalisations/deaths remains severely weakened. However, there may still be localised pressure of certain hospitals/trust areas.
 
Gremlin said:
If we compare todays positive test numbers (27,000) to the last time they were at that level on a rising curve (17 Dec) then daily hospitalisations are 14% of what they were then and daily deaths are 6% of what we saw then. probably also worth noting that we are doing 3 times as many tests as were being done on a daily basis as then which might account for some of the difference (though many of the extras will be lateral flow tests which aren't as accurate).

Overall, therefore, still looks like the link between cases and hospitalisations/deaths remains severely weakened. However, there may still be localised pressure of certain hospitals/trust areas.
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The pressure isn’t being caused by Covid patients but by Covid measures. Beds down by a quarter due to social distancing, many more patients turning up than usual as they’ve not been able to access much secondary care for 15 months, as well as more and more staff, and their children, being sent home to self isolate, and all following 10 years austerity…..
 
The Light Was Yellow Sir said:
The pressure isn’t being caused by Covid patients but by Covid measures. Beds down by a quarter due to social distancing, many more patients turning up than usual as they’ve not been able to access much secondary care for 15 months, as well as more and more staff, and their children, being sent home to self isolate, and all following 10 years austerity…..
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Had to take my little girl to stepping hill last night (shes fine) … mobbed!!! With kids.

in the nurses words “seeing more children than ever before with non covid virus’, we think its because there immune systems are weak because theyve not been mixing the same”.

What a total fucking mess
 
Turns out I've had one of the Indian AIDS batch jabs as my first dose. There goes our fucking holiday end of this month.
 
marcus said:
Had to take my little girl to stepping hill last night (shes fine) … mobbed!!! With kids.

in the nurses words “seeing more children than ever before with non covid virus’, we think its because there immune systems are weak because theyve not been mixing the same”.

What a total fucking mess
Click to expand...
Fucking nuts..
 
dozzie26 said:
Turns out I've had one of the Indian AIDS batch jabs as my first dose. There goes our fucking holiday end of this month.
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Checked mine earlier..not Indian, feel for you. What an absolute cluster fuck
 
Hospital data up too. 331 admissions on Wednesday - up from 214 last week - 81 admitted from NW - also recent high.

Patients up by 51 to 1611 - last week was up 10 to 1284.

327 increase week to week which is rising again.

London, Midlands and Yorkshire all FALL in numbers from yesterday, NW up 16 to top 500 at 514 v 429 last week.


Ventilators up big too by 18 to 297,

London falls 4 to 70, Midlands up 4 to 45 NE & Yorkshire up 5 to 39 - but the NW is sadly the worst today - UP by 13 to 104 - its highest number in months v 87 last week.

Disappointing news,

The other nations :-

N Ireland 26 patients up from 21 yesterday & 16 last week / Ventilators 1 down from 2 yesterday but up from 0 last week

Scotland 285 patients up from 275 yesterday & 188 last week / Ventilators 19 up 3 on yesterday & last week

Wales 44 patients up 5 from yesterday and from 42 last week / Ventilators 3 up from 2 yesterday and 1 last week,

So These total 355 patients up from 335 yesterday and 246 last week

And 23 ventilators up from 20 yesterday and 17 last week


So UK Totals:

Patients 1966 today v 1895 yesterday & 1530 last week

Ventilators 320 today v 299 yesterday & 255 last week
 
Tonster said:
Not necessarily. It’ll be sorted by then no doubt. Some countries already accept it (including Spain)
www.bbc.co.uk

Covid: PM confident of no problem over India jab travel

The UK regulator has shared data on the Covishield jab with its European counterpart, No 10 says.
www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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As long as there's no health risk I'm not too arsed. Just a fucking pain that I've sorted leave and starting a new job around being able to go away and now this. Can't trust our govt to organise fuck all.
 
bobbyowenquiff said:
I think your figures nail any argument about promoting the testing stats to the public. I understand that we may still need to record testing figures but we should stop calling them "cases" and the communications messages should just stress hospitalisations, discharges, and deaths.
Click to expand...
Almost everything is open now and most places are packed with no social distancing and mask wearing hit and miss, more miss really. We have to plough on now. Keep vaccinating and stay open. Everybody knew cases would rise once things opened and that was before the Delta varient. The worried and vulnerable if they choose to stay at home. Society has to get on with life.
 
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