I think Marv, from the article you posted the other day, the key is that new vaccines need to go through clinical trials again so it’s not necessarily the easy option. You can’t just update the current ones. Memory serves me right Pfizer were looking to enter the trials with their updated vaccine in August but not sure how long it takes to get approval or whether it’s the same 6 months or so as previous.Europe also slowing down in terms of vaccination rates. I think at last everyone is largely in agreement now, just a litle dispute on how quickly the controls are lifted. I don't actually understand why it makes such a big difference to hospitalisations and deaths but the models apparently suggest it does. Perhaps its because if you lift restrictions slowly you still have benefit from ongoing vaccination/infection, whereas if you do it one big bang, there's less opportunity for immunity to resist infection?
What's left for me is progress on new vaccines. I do hope that when we do the boosters we use up to date vaccinaes or we are going to get awfully tired with one vaccination after another. It's unlikely this is going to stop evolving so I think PHE would be wise to give max possible consideration to vaccinating with latest vaccines. I do accept though that they must have good reasons to do whatever they decide. As long as the whole thing is controlled by science and not the private profits of pharmaceutical companies, that's fine.
There's a Cov-boost trial underway I believe but I think it's largely using pre-existing vaccines. Moderna and GSK have their own trials that are underway based on SA variant. I think you are right trials are needed but I thought if a pre-existing vaccine had been distributed that they would be Phase I/II trials and not the very lengthy trials. We'll see.I think Marv, from the article you posted the other day, the key is that new vaccines need to go through clinical trials again so it’s not necessarily the easy option. You can’t just update the current ones. Memory serves me right Pfizer were looking to enter the trials with their updated vaccine in August but not sure how long it takes to get approval or whether it’s the same 6 months or so as previous.
All the data on GM and NW I have been posting daily for weeks here shows that GM was a MUCH bigger factor at the start of this wave in the NW region numbers and has fallen a lot since.That sounds familiar. I was just suggesting that it could peak earlier in the North West. It's unlikely to proceed uniformly across the UK. I posted the Bolton and London cases up above somewhere and you can see quite a gap in time between the onset of the waves. I am expecting it to peak in Gtr Manchester before it peaks nationally but I haven't really got anything more to say than that. All guesswork.
Won't it be like flu vaccines. I don't think they update them until the summer and have them ready for October roll out.I think Marv, from the article you posted the other day, the key is that new vaccines need to go through clinical trials again so it’s not necessarily the easy option. You can’t just update the current ones. Memory serves me right Pfizer were looking to enter the trials with their updated vaccine in August but not sure how long it takes to get approval or whether it’s the same 6 months or so as previous.
That sounds familiar. I was just suggesting that it could peak earlier in the North West. It's unlikely to proceed uniformly across the UK. I posted the Bolton and London cases up above somewhere and you can see quite a gap in time between the onset of the waves. I am expecting it to peak in Gtr Manchester before it peaks nationally but I haven't really got anything more to say than that. All guesswork.