Coronavirus (2021) thread

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The Scottish numbers ARE very confusing. I woud not like to say what is going on as they look unusually low. But the published report implies they are 48 hours data.

Maybe some data from yesterday during the IT glitch is yet to be retrieved.

That would make the most sense. Though why they would not just clearly say that I have no dea.

Treat with caution for now seems to be the sensible approach.

AS even if it was only 1 day 5*** - whatever of the reported numbers it was - 5529 in the official one - is still down 1300 on last week.
 
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The statisticians are saying the 5529 was the number processed yesterday but there are also currently an extra 356 in the 24 hours to today.

Which infers 5529 is the number for Wednesday and 356 were added in past 24 hours. Obviously WAY too low for the real number yesterday and you would imagine impacted by the data glitch going on yesterday that prevented collation.

So they posted the one day number and will presumably have to add the real number that will be well above 356 for yesterday when they find it down the back of the sofa. Or wherever it now is.

But that is purely me guessing not remotely what we know. We only know what was posted in the data release which reads like it was the number for 48 hours but really is at least 356 higher for 48 hours already. And will inevitably be much more.

Not sure why they could not have explained it more clearly.
 
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NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

THIS IS STILL LOOKING REALLY PROMISING DAY BY DAY

10 deaths - was 6 last week - THESE ARE STILL HIGH BUT THEY LAG ALL OTHER MEASURES SO WILL FALL SOON IF THE CASES STAY DOWN

1239 cases - was 1687 last week

4.4% positivity - was 4.9% last week

8662 weekly total cases - lowest in some time - was 9075 yesterday & 10, 475 last week

108 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - DOWN 4 ON YESTERDAY - WAS 119 LAST WEEK. THIS IS THE BEST NEWS AND A KEY REASON WHY WE KNOW DEATHS WILL FALL SOON

419 patients - was 425 yesterday & 461 last week

31 ventilated - was 33 yesterday & 35 last week

THE HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE LOOKING REALLY GOOD NOW TOO.
 
True_Blue69 said:
So long covid isn’t a thing in kids, more good news.

More kids that had never had covid, had known symptoms of long covid, than those that actually had the virus.

Click to expand...

It clearly is a thing in all folks 12+ for 1.5%-3% of all cases. Still it's better than the 6% that was showing up in initial less detailed studies.
Even so, that's 403-807 people every day at current case rates who sign up for Long Covid by catching Covid.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND WEEKLY CASES BY AGE:

There is usefully a proper age split here now and a M / F split.

AGE // GENDER F / M = TOTAL


0 - 4 // 169 / 150 = 319

5 - 9 // 580 / 599 = 1179

10- 14 // 707 // 694 = 1401

15 - 19 // 444 // 400 = 844

20 - 24 // 233 // 182 = 415

25 - 29 // 219 // 186 = 405

30 - 34 // 323 // 247 = 570

35 - 39 // 347 // 316 = 663

40 - 44 // 365 // 287 = 652

45 - 49 // 254 // 230 = 484

50 - 54 // 225 // 203 = 428

55 - 59 // 157 // 175 = 332

60 - 64 // 113 // 108 = 221

65 - 69 // 72 // 86 = 158

70 - 74 // 81 // 98 = 179

75 - 79 // 78 // 79 = 157



Very informative as to where the cases are coming from and why cases v deaths are nothing like they were.

TWICE as many children in primary school catching it than all adults over 60 is very telling.

The difference in risk profile here equals a big drop in serious illness and death.

And FIVE times as many of school age doing so roughly stresses that even more.

And the younger ages are the ones falling the most now - hebce why cases are dropping in NI.
 
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FantasyIreland said:
Maybe their outlook was confused or it didn't agree with the majority,but its odd that you see anyone's death at the hands of this virus as an opportunity to gloat/point score.
Click to expand...
RIP to them and sympathy for their families who will be devastated. But that doesn't stop them being Covidiots and Darwin Award winners.
 
178 all settings deaths

32, 651 cases

Quite a big rise from yesterday but that is partly as no Scotland data then.

Up 5740 day to day

But down 4971 from 37, 622 last week

ENGLAND ONLY:-

23, 265 - UP JUST 316 ON YESTERDAY

V 26, 653 LAST FRIDAY - DOWN 3388
 
Pillar 1 & 2 tests today : 1, 041, 592

Down by about 22K FROM 1, 063, 453 yesterday.

And from 1, 228, 787 last Friday.

The reduction in testing was notably greater in England - down 90K from yesterday and 181K from last week.
 
NW AND GM HIGHLIGHTS

The North West is UP today by quite a bit 509 - to 3877.

This is MORE than the entire increase for England today!

However, GM did OK and is only up 143 of that 509 - well below expectations.


GM week to week went from 1369 last Friday to 1212 today - a FALL of 157.

However, the North West actually RISES week to week for first time in a while. All be it by just 22 from 3855 to 3877.

Needless to say GM falling by 157 when the region rises by 22 means it was a better than expected day again in GM and other parts of the region drove the increase.

In GM today Stockport's improvement on Zoe numbers was reflected in the cases today. Down 18 on 134 and down week to week from 164.

This was actually significantly better than Trafford which had the worst day in GM today. Up 60 on the day to 155 which is up 31 week to week.

As a consequence Trafford had the highest Pop Score today (66) which as Stockport only went up by 45 took 21 back for Stockport in one go - enough to put Traffrd back behind Stockport for best overall Pop Score by 6.

Only 4 under 100 today and three of them only just. But Manchester still under 200 and down 37 week to week.

Tameside on 97 had another excellent day. Oldham, Bury & Trafford were the only week to week risers.

Rochdale had another very good day and was easily lowest scorer on 66. Also again the lowest GM Pop Score of just 29.
 
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