Coronavirus (2021) thread

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If Omicron is more dominant than the rise to 1000 cases I saw reported for the UK today. Not sure of the source. Then it might be worth noting the data I have been posting in the other thread about how as cases rose week to week in Northern Ireland the numbers in the youngest age ranges went up and the numbers in the oldest age groups kept going down. Resulting in a slow fall in the patients in hospital as those mostly catching it WERE the youngest and least likely to be hospitalised. Though higher numbers of them you would still expect to translate into a rise.

If this increase has anything to do with Omicron and it genuinely does impact younger people more and it is milder that is another possible reason beyond the one I assume was the most likely - the boosters mainly given to older people first doing their job well on Delta in the oldest age ranges.

That is still the most likely explanation as it seems Omicron may be here but nowhere near a big factor yet if the numbers over the past week are close to accurate percentage estimates. But it was a very sudden and noticeable change in the split of who was catching it.
 
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We've just been asked to start working from home again.
We were hybrid, 3 days in work, 2 at home, but reverting back to home working again for the foreseeable.
Christmas pub grub tomorrow afternoon and Christmas do on Saturday cancelled.
 
Gabriel said:
I'm not sure we can know that for sure either way, yet.
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If that is still true in the UK by Christmas it might be a different story but I think that is unlikely (deathswill occur with Omicron as Covid triggers underlying issues). It will probably be the new year before we have any degree of real certainty one way or the other as deaths lag by the most of all measures any rise in cases. We will know more about the hospital data first. That we can watch carefully. Why I am posting an update here and full data on the data thread every day.
 
Healdplace said:
If that is still true in the UK by Christmas it might be a different story but I think that is unlikely (deathswill occur with Omicron as Covid triggers underlying issues). It will probably be the new year before we have any degree of real certainty one way or the other as deaths lag by the most of all measures any rise in cases. We will know more about the hospital data first. That we can watch carefully. Why I am posting an update here and full data on the data thread every day.
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I'm speaking globally If you look at the news video I posted from South Africa a few pages back, you'll see the professor describing the death of a young person from Covid recently. However, she doesn't attribute it to any variant.
 
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Gabriel said:
I'm speaking globally If you look at the news video I posted from South Africa a few pages back, you'll see the professor describing the death of a young person from Covid recently. However, she doesn't attribute to any variant.
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Thank you.

We have always had the occasional sad death of someone aged 0 - 19 even in the UK with Delta. But the last one I could find n England was a few weeks ago. Deaths in the 20 - 39 age range here are rare now too. Just 9 in the past week. Compared with 46 in the 40 - 59 age range, 243 aged 60 - 79 and 246 over 80.

The gulf is evident as is the flattening of the gap between 60 - 79 and over 80s which are not infrequently now higher in the younger group than the older.

It is most likely vaccines and boosters have changed these dynamics but the fundamental is everwhere Covid triggers other things that are often why someone dies and the older you are the more likely these exist.
 
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