Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Regional Summary

South:-


East - up 31 to 512

London - down 124 to 565

South East - up 75 to 665

South West - down 16 to 312


Midlands:-

East Midlands - down 32 to 662

West Midlands - down 80 to 630



North:-

Yorkshire - up 94 to 989


And North West - down 182 to 871.

So Yorkshire back with the highest score today but all regions under 1000
 
bearing In mind 1500 people a day I believe die every day in the uk that figure has to be taken in that context and many of those 175 will have been weeks ago. Cases are lower than I thought with the return to schools. Good figures.

The govt is now (for England) publishing breakdown by test type.

It's quite well hidden on the dashboard - you need to go to cases, then filter at the top of the page for England, then it appears.

It's only by date of specimen, not date reported, but it looks like there's about 500-1000 additional positives by LFT in the last few days ie schools return


Screenshot_20210312-173239_Chrome.jpg
 
GM Summary:

Unfortunately not a great day in GM again. Though not as bad as yesterday.

Cases down 87 to 456 - but that is less than its share of the 182 NW fall so the % rises to the highest in 2021 of 52.4%.

And up 76 week to week.

Most boroughs down from yesterday - though Tameside up quite a lot to 56 and Salford up slightly by 4.

Rochdale and Stockport fell enough to only be up by a small margin week to week.

Manchester top scores at 89 and Bury with another phenomenal score best again at just 17 and the only one of the ten to have fewer cases than last week so will improve its Weekly Pop Score rather than go up or - if the rise is tiny as with Stockport week to week - stay the same.

Trafford still doing well at 22. Though up too on last week's 14.

Everyone else comes between Oldham at 38 via another run of numbers at 41, 44, 45 and 46 - to Wigan at 58. Next highest behind Manchester. Though Tameside was pushing it today.
 
The govt is now (for England) publishing breakdown by test type.

It's quite well hidden on the dashboard - you need to go to cases, then filter at the top of the page for England, then it appears.

It's only by date of specimen, not date reported, but it looks like there's about 500-1000 additional positives by LFT in the last few days ie schools return


View attachment 12320

Thanks for sharing. This may be a little clearer..

 
Hospital data:

Another good day with falls again everywhere on both measures but a little more slowly.


UK total:


Patients 7720 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 31, 528 in 53 days)

Ventilators 1111 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 2966 in 47 days)


England only:-


ADMISSIONS:-

494 Covid admissions (10 March) - following 501 and 483 days before.


PATIENTS:-


down 296 in day to 6391 v 8594 last week

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 27, 945 in 53 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 78 to 1023 v 1417 last week

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 2713 in 47 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week



East down 19 to 588 v 864 // down 9 to 93 v 131

London down 62 to 1273 v 1723 // down 26 to 310 v 448

Midlands down 82 to 1401 v 1928 // down 13 to 229 v 291

NE & Yorks down 28 to 1049 v 1380// down 12 to 131 v 202

North West down 40 to 1040 v 1311 // down 8 to 128 v 158

South East down 48 to 798 v 1063 // down 8 to 97 v 142

South West down 17 to 242 v 325 // down 2 to 35 v 45
 
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30 days till the pub garden oi oi !
I'll believe when I'm in one (in the Hillsborough Spoons at 9am on the 12th).

Just hearing Prof Gabriel Scally of Independent SAGE warning against early opening since we've spent all our R budget on schools, as the saying goes. Watch the media pounce on the higher cases and ignore hospitalisations and deaths.
 
The sensitivity is poor for a lateral flow test and to gain a positive result the persons viral load should be quite high. If they then have a regular PCR Covid test, that also should come back positive. I don’t understand why so many positive lateral flow test are are coming back negative on the PCR test.
My lad just got email, has to stay at home ten days due to pupil in his class testing positive on lateral flow. he’s gutted. As are we. Here’s the ridiculous bit: because the lateral flow test was administered by NHS staff at the school it doesn’t matter what the result of any subsequent PCR test is. The lateral flow overrides it. But, if it had been next week when families administer them themselves then you only isolate if subsequent PCR test is also positive. If that PCR test is negative u come back to school. Unbelievable . He was back for one whole day
 
GM scoreboard:


456 - down 87 from 543 - 52.4 % of the NW total of 871 - down 182 . GM % up 0.8%

Highest GM % in 2021.


Wk to wk: 937 v 736 v 832 v 633 v 380 v 456 today. Very patchy but generally down.



Manchester 89 - down from 91. Pop score up 17 to 9177. Weekly cases 499. Weekly Pop up 4 to 91.

Wigan 58 - down from 66. Pop score up 18 to 8478. Weekly cases 336. Weekly Pop Pop up 4 to 102.

Tameside 56 - up from 44. Pop score up 25 to 7691. Biggest rise of the day, Weekly cases 275. Weekly Pop up 9 to 122.

Salford 46 - up from 42. Pop score up 18 to 8594. Weekly cases 301. Weekly Pop up 2 to 117.

Rochdale 45 - down from 67. Pop score up 20 to 9139. Weekly cases 288. Weekly Pop up 3 to 125.

Stockport 44- down from 58. Pop score up 14 to 6830. Weekly cases 264. Weekly Pop stays at 98.

Bolton 41- down from 61. Pop score up 15 to 8625. Weekly cases 307. Weekly Pop up 4 to 107.

Oldham 38 - down from 51. Pop score up 16 to 9280. Weekly cases 240. Weekly Pop up 4 to 102.

Trafford 22 down from 30. Pop score up 10 to 6708. Now 122 clear of Stockport with best Pop across the pandemic. Weekly cases 174 - no longer the lowest in GM. Weekly Pop up 5 to 74. Still best but going the wrong way now.

Bury 17- down from 33. Pop score up 9 to 8712. Lowest rise of the day. Weekly cases 154. Trafford knocked Stockport off best Pop score perch. Now Bury (in big trouble according to the MEN 2 weeks ago when it by then already wasn't) has knocked them off the lowest weekly cases title they have long held. Weekly Pop down 7 to 81. Only borough to go down week to week and is now vying with Trafford for lowest Pop Score which looked impossible 3 weeks ago. Do not back any horses the MEN suggest!



Weekly Pop - Borough / Today / Seven days ago / Up/down by Lowest score is best - going down good/up bad

I add the Pop score across the entire pandemic too at the end per 100. This is essentially the percentage of the population in the borough who have tested positive and been recorded. So the minimum immunity acquired that way - if indeed any lasts up to a year by that route. Unrecorded cases, asymptomatic and, of course, vaccinated immunity are all on top of this base number locally.


Rochdale 125 / 133 / down 8 Testing positive 9.1%

Tameside 122 / 108 / UP 14 Testing positive 7.7%

Salford 117 / 100 UP 17 Testing positive 8.6%

Bolton 107 / 110 / down 3 Testing positive 8.6%

Wigan 102 / 107 / down 5 Testing positive 8.5%

Oldham 102 / 86 / UP 16 Testing positive 9.3%

Stockport 98 / 92 / UP 6 Testing positive 6.8%

Manchester 91 / 93 / down 2 Testing positive 9.2%

Bury 81 / 104 / down 23 Testing positive 8.7%

Trafford 74 / 67 / UP 7 Testing positive 6.7%




This table has changed a lot in the days since I did the last one.

GM has had a tough few days and now over half the boroughs weekly pop scores are going back up and over 100 and all bar Bury below there are at risk of joining them in the UP range as early as tomorrow. Really Bury is the only place heading in the right direction.

Hopefully the cases will settle down once the school testing works through.
 
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My lad just got email, has to stay at home ten days due to pupil in his class testing positive on lateral flow. he’s gutted. As are we. Here’s the ridiculous bit: because the lateral flow test was administered by NHS staff at the school it doesn’t matter what the result of any subsequent PCR test is. The lateral flow overrides it. But, if it had been next week when families administer them themselves then you only isolate if subsequent PCR test is also positive. If that PCR test is negative u come back to school. Unbelievable . He was back for one whole day
It’s fu#king ridiculous mate. I feel for you and am bracing myself for the same to happen to one or all of my three. We are truly screwing with our kids mental states, and it’s very hard to explain the rationale to them of this current approach. There are going to be some long term consequences of this pandemic with a lot of kids.
 
People over 40 in the uk will be offered their first coronavirus vaccination by Easter on April 4 as a boost in supplys will allow rapid expansion of the inoculation program, the telegraph reported on Friday, citing a senior government source... Happy Easter blues
I saw that on the Telegraph front page, but the actual article says this:
EwWIVFGXAAA8iFr
 
Loads in my lads class got positive flow test - all negative on the proper tests but still cant go in school for ten days! What a load of bollox.
Surely if you have a negative PCR test that will override the lateral flow results.
 
I saw that on the Telegraph front page, but the actual article says this:
EwWIVFGXAAA8iFr

It does say that but only after detailing how daily vaccinations will be hugely increased starting next week. The government is sticking to an under promise, over deliver policy wrt vaccination and it's clear from many sources that the vaccination programme is going to finish far sooner than initially planned.
 
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My lad just got email, has to stay at home ten days due to pupil in his class testing positive on lateral flow. he’s gutted. As are we. Here’s the ridiculous bit: because the lateral flow test was administered by NHS staff at the school it doesn’t matter what the result of any subsequent PCR test is. The lateral flow overrides it. But, if it had been next week when families administer them themselves then you only isolate if subsequent PCR test is also positive. If that PCR test is negative u come back to school. Unbelievable . He was back for one whole day

exact same with my lad and 17 of his mates! As they had been near someone who had tested a bollox positive!!!
 
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