Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Havent really been following the covid news much lately.

I was reading that we were to have a asymptomatic test twice a week. Our local testing centre is closing which now instead of a 5 minute drive with easy parking for hundreds of cars. We are meant to driver about over an hour round trip to two small villages try and find somewhere to park , twice a week. Sadly I wont have time for this anymore.
 
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HOSPITAL DATA


More good news. Another fall of over 100 patients in day and UK now below 3000 patients in hospital with Covid when it was nearly 40,000 in January. Ventilators sub 400 in England and soon too in UK. With dates when numbers were lower slipping back regularly in early October. A few small rises in ventilators in England of mild concern but every region had small falls in patients and North West contributed the second biggest patient fall and over half the total ventilator fall today so easily had the best day of any region. Its fall in patients week to week is also the best of any region.





UK total:


Patients down to 2883 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 36, 365 in 80 days) :- lowest since 3 October

Ventilators down to 423 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3654 in 74 days) : lowest since 6 October


England only:-


ADMISSIONS
:-

183 Covid admissions (5 April) following 188, 156, 179, 178, 180, 225, 283 in the week before.



PATIENTS:-


Patients down today by 104 to 2382 v 2928 last week :- lowest since 3 October.

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 31, 954 in 80 days)

Ventilators: down 16 to 377 v 470 last week :- lowest since 9 October

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3359 in 74 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 5 days to today and v last week




East down 11to 189 v 212 // UP 2 to 30 v 42

London down 8 to 569 v 668 // UP 1 to 122 v 147

Midlands down 11 to 491 v 606 // UP 1 to 80 v 104

NE & Yorks down 17 to 437 v 498 // down 8 to 62 v 75

North West down 23 to 434 v 558 // down 10 to 51 v 68

South East down 26 to 184 v 276// down 2 to 25 v22

South West down 8 to 78 v 110 // stays at 7 v 12`
 
More good hospital data - details above. NW had the best day today.

Highlight UK now has UNDER 3000 patients in hospital with Covid in all 4 nations combined.

For first time in 6 months.

Thought you might like to know this a day or two before the media bother to find that out.
 
GM Weekly Pop Scores after today:~

Borough / Score Today / Score 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop scores going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop Score is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Rochdale 64 / 88 / Down 24 Testing positive 9.5%

Bolton 57 / 96 / Down 39 Testing positive 9.0%

Oldham 54 / 106 Down 52 Testing positive 9.6%

Tameside 53 / 94 / Down 41 Testing positive 8.0%

Manchester 51 / 94 / Down 43 Testing positive 9.5%

Wigan 48 / 74/ Down 26 Testing positive 8.8%

Stockport 43 / 59 / Down 16 Testing positive 7.1%

Bury 42 / 61 / Down 19 Testing positive 9.0%

Trafford 35 / 75/ Down 40 Testing positive 6.9%

Salford 34 / 81 / Down 47 Testing positive 8.9%



Everyone had a good day and some big falls. These numbers have started looking better every day and all are going in the right direction.

48.3 is the lowest average for the ten boroughs weekly Pop scores I can remember.

Salford stay top with a huge 47 shift inside the week. But only 9 separate the bottom 4 so it is up to anyone to reclaim.


Weekly cases:- Quite a scrap for lowest cases in the week brewing. Even Manchester has nearly halved in 10 days.

Bury 80 Trafford 81 Salford 88 Tameside 119 Stockport 125 Oldham 130 Rochdale 141 Wigan 158 Bolton 163 and Manchester 283
 
The UK is steadily falling down the list in terms of deaths per million of population.

Has to be the effect of vaccines.

Vaccines and three months of the hardest lock down on earth.

Compare to USA - where they peaked about the same time and have a similar vaccine coverage.

We've dropped over 20x from our peak, US only 3x.

The lock down has had a much bigger effect than vaccines, but now the vaccines are really kicking in too, and should enable us to open up without those figures going south.

We've gone from the worst death rate in the whole world in Jan to one of the lowest now, and outright lowest in Europe.
 
Havent really been following the covid news much lately.

I was reading that we were to have a asymptomatic test twice a week. Our local testing centre is closing which now instead of a 5 minute drive with easy parking for hundreds of cars. We are meant to driver about over an hour round trip to two small villages try and find somewhere to park , twice a week. Sadly I wont have time for this anymore.
I think the idea is that you can pick them up from a pharmacy or order them through the post. In our house we have 2 NHS workers and my daughter works in a school so we have more lateral flow tests than we know what to do with!!
 
Havent really been following the covid news much lately.

I was reading that we were to have a asymptomatic test twice a week. Our local testing centre is closing which now instead of a 5 minute drive with easy parking for hundreds of cars. We are meant to driver about over an hour round trip to two small villages try and find somewhere to park , twice a week. Sadly I wont have time for this anymore.
Can’t you just get them sent to your house?
 
Daily second doses.

DateSorted column (descending) - Apply ascending sort.
United Kingdom dailyUnsorted column - Apply ascending sort.
United Kingdom totalUnsorted column - Apply ascending sort.
07-04-2021 408,396 6,091,905
06-04-2021 186,793 5,683,509
05-04-2021 64,590 5,496,716
04-04-2021 47,708 5,432,126
03-04-2021 178,913 5,384,418
02-04-2021 246,631 5,205,505

Daily first doses

DateSorted column (descending) - Apply ascending sort.
United Kingdom dailyUnsorted column - Apply ascending sort.
United Kingdom totalUnsorted column - Apply ascending sort.
07-04-2021 99,530 31,807,124
06-04-2021 85,227 31,707,594
05-04-2021 40,744 31,622,367
04-04-2021 48,055 31,581,623
03-04-2021 107,886 31,533,568
02-04-2021 107,420 31,425,682
01-04-2021 170,818 31,318,262
 
I feel in developed countries we've come to the end of our cycle of using adapted Adenoviruses (or similar) off the back of this. They will remain an option whilst they are cheaper than mRNA equivalents, but that won't last forever.

I made a post in the previous thread about how excited I was to see the advancements of mRNA vaccines. On paper they are our trump card in this area of treatment and so rightly or wrongly, we must be thankful that COVID has brought us forward probably 20+ years.
Yep. I mentioned before that Prof Brian Cox (who always stated this wasn't his field and would'nt comment....unlike other scientists throwing their weight around) had heard the industry had advanced considerably through all this.

We need silver linings now we're (hopefully) starting to emerge.
This thread has been very positive over the last few pages today. The cream (truth) does tend to rise to the top and the conspiracy theories are on their last legs and yet another fantasy fizzles away.
I'm looking forward to many new medical advanced announced over the next few years.

With that said, I still cannot shake this bleeding long Covid off. Thought I was on the up and had an eye to run again soon, but lungs got their revenge again. It's a royal bugger.
 
I have a question.

The government figures always start with...

Deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

Does this really mean they all died of covid or other causes but they also had covid?

Figures might be a bit inflated if someone tested positive and then was run over. They would count wouldn't they?

Confused myself probably.
 
I have a question.

The government figures always start with...

Deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

Does this really mean they all died of covid or other causes but they also had covid?

Figures might be a bit inflated if someone tested positive and then was run over. They would count wouldn't they?

Confused myself probably.
No way of counting the deaths will be 100% accurate.
The deaths within 28 days will give a quick reasonable approximation. Some will be missed because they die more than 28 days later and a few will have died of something else. This probably undecounts rather than overcounts because more die after 28 days.
The ONS count which is more delayed is probably more accurate and records what is written on the death certificate.
 
I have a question.

The government figures always start with...

Deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

Does this really mean they all died of covid or other causes but they also had covid?

Figures might be a bit inflated if someone tested positive and then was run over. They would count wouldn't they?

Confused myself probably.
Our friend died of lung cancer in hospital. But whilst in there he tested positive for COVID. So he counts as a COVID death.
 
No way of counting the deaths will be 100% accurate.
The deaths within 28 days will give a quick reasonable approximation. Some will be missed because they die more than 28 days later and a few will have died of something else. This probably undecounts rather than overcounts because more die after 28 days.
The ONS count which is more delayed is probably more accurate and records what is written on the death certificate.
Is this how other countrys report it too
 
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