Coronavirus (2021) thread

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shackattack said:
Based on my own experience the care sector is struggling like most to recruit staff. It's never been a glamorous choice anyway but the recent year or so has possibly put people off even more so.
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Very true. Poorly paid, and a job I couldnt do. I watched carers visit Mum 4 times per day when she was dying in Jan/Feb/March. They did things I could barely do. I believe they should be vaccinated, but if that leaves the sector short, then what?
 
artfuldodger said:
Very true. Poorly paid, and a job I couldnt do. I watched carers visit Mum 4 times per day when she was dying in Jan/Feb/March. They did things I could barely do. I believe they should be vaccinated, but if that leaves the sector short, then what?
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I had my second vaccination in April yet we actually had a situation where a parent did not want vaccinated staff to work with her son. In some instances pay has gone down in the care sector. I have a diploma in social care and have probably done 30+ hours of training alone this month. Most people think staff are untrained and lacking in skills but most would be shocked at the amount of training you have to do. Add to that the amount of recording is huge and has increased massively over the years. Safeguarding is paramount now more than ever
 
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago


SOUTH


East Down 45 to 340 V 227

London UP 355 to 1168 V 994

South East UP 191 to 776 V 506

South West UP 71 to 610 V 275

The new hot spot in the UK is taking shape sadly.




MIDLANDS



East UP 75 to 440 V 342

West UP 36 to 514 V 454


The rise is a little slower here.




NORTH



North East down Down 51 to 567 V 302 - A little better today here.


Yorkshire UP 128 to 802 V 707 riing modestly too here but gughest now today in several months.



AND

NORTH WEST UP 140 to 2157 V 2112 - lowest wk to wk rise in some time





Past weeks NW numbers are 2112 - 1976 - 2317 - 2191 - 2134 - 2262 - 2017 - 2157

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 1158 - 1643 - 1755 - 1752 - 1605 - 1673 - 1840 - 2112

GM numbers in past week 1062 - 984 - 1191 - 1098 - 1037 - 1103 - 1014 - 925
 
Healdplace said:
Didn't something akin to this kind of unexpected flattening and fall also occur in what looked like a giant Indian wave that was escalating out of control?
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55% of the Indian population had natural antibodies at the start so there was only 25% to badly catch it before herd immunity kicked in and and flatten thenew case distribution.
 
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Full GM details:


Total cases 925- DOWN 89 on Yesterday - from NW Rise of 140. These are very good numbers for GM.

Wk to wk DOWN 137 when the NW rises by 45 - which is again well over expectations.

So GM had its best day in some time relative to rest of the region and the UK as a whole which was up signifcantly as GM fell.


BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 88 / DOWN 15 / DOWN 45

BURY 85 / UP 7 / UP 2

MANCHESTER 206 / DOWN 62 / DOWN 84

OLDHAM 60 / UP 15 / UP 3

ROCHDALE 72 / UP 11 / UP 7

SALFORD 104 / DOWN 12 / DOWN 11

STOCKPORT 71 / DOWN 3 / DOWN 41

TAMESIDE 56 / DOWN 3 / UP 12

TRAFFORD 67 / DOWN 31 / UP 1

WIGAN 116 / UP 4 / UP 19




Some decent falls week to week and day to day today.

Bolton, Manchester, Salford and Stockport on both. Bolton and Stockport continuing progress and Saford now below Wigan who only have Manchester ahead of them.
 
1,129 new infections in Scotland

30 are in people aged 65+ (figure is obviously low but definitely rising with the higher case numbers)
191 aged 45-64

420 aged 25-44
480 aged 0-24 (Inclusive of 231 aged 0-14)

*************

1 death was aged 85+

*************

20k first doses (including me and Mrs AB!)
23k second doses

Slight week on week decreases in Glasgow cases, notable week on week increases in Lanarkshire and Lothian areas.
 
ayrshire_blue said:
This week's hospital admissions (Scotland) compared to last.

Total number of admissions:

143 (+24 on last week, +64 on two weeks ago)

Ages of admissions

85+: 5 (-5)
75-84: 6 (-1)
65-74: 9 (+1)

45-64: 37 (+11)
25-44: 66 (+18)

Under 25's: 20 (no change)

7 of those admitted to hospital with a positive Covid test during the last week were aged 0-4.
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This week compared to last for hospital admissions in Scotland

158 (+15 on previous week)

Ages

85+: 6 (+1)
75-84: 13 (+7)
65-75: 15 (+6)

45-64: 36 (-1)
25-44: 55 (-11)

Under 25s: 33 (+13) this figure of 33 includes 12 kids aged just 0-4.

Don't really know what to take from that, especially the part in the middle.
 
Healdplace said:
Also Greater Manchester was well down today so had nothing to do with today's rise.

Bolton on 88 - under 100 for first time in 2 weeks. Lowest number in a month.

Stockport down again. Manchester down quite a bit and down 84 week to week.

Almost nowhere in GM had a bad day, Lots of week to week falls

The big rise today is because Delta is taking over the rest of the UK. The bad news.

The good news GM - just ike Bolton first did - appears to have gotten it under control surprisingly well and quickly.

Still well up on where they were a month ago but falling not rising after just 2 or 3 weeks of climb is good news in any sense.

Especially if the rest of the UK see a similar modest plateau and then fall.
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That was what I was hoping to see.
 
shackattack said:
Based on my own experience the care sector is struggling like most to recruit staff. It's never been a glamorous choice anyway but the recent year or so has possibly put people off even more so.
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Ones where I worked in and I workEd in a lot are awful places and the staff bloody do a good job , care homes can’t get staff
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Tameside 414, Oldham 432, Rochdale 498, Trafford 531 , Bury 592, Stockport 593, Bolton 774, Wigan 862, Salford 864, Manchester 1792.



Manchester still more than double Bolton and Salford though it fell in weekly numbers for first time in 2 weeks and Wigan almost became second in weekly cases total just 2 behind Salford. With Salford now. Manchester thoufh reduced th lead to below 1000 which is a start.

Stockport's good few days sees it fall back now to just 1 behind Bury and sub 600 for first time in a while.

Nobody now under 400.
 
BlueAnorak said:
Not really. Alpha (UK//Kent) was spotted exponentially increasing in early December. Its effect was worked out on 18th December confirmed on Dec 26th and lock down occurred on Jan 4(?).
The confirmation of the effect of Delta occurred on Monday.
Delta really isn't in the same ball park thanks to vaccination. Indeed it looks like deaths won't increase that much (if at all) and if the current pattern continues for 2 weeks we should open up and let it rip so it's all over and done with very quickly.
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it was 1st detected from samples from September so had been spreading for a while before official identification etc.

late Nov for detection and the start of the growth when it was already in most of the south east.
 
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grunge said:
it was 1st detected from samples from September so had been spreading for a while before official identification etc.

late Nov for detection and the start of the growth when it was already in most of the south east.
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Alpha was first detected in September. Delta was first detected in late March.
No real difference in the timelines. Just the effect - even though Delta is more infectious - as we have achieved massive protection from vaccination and 2nd wave infection.
 
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GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.

Salford 334 / 287 / UP 47 Testing positive 9.9%

Manchester 324 / 271 / UP 53 Testing positive 10.6%

Bury 310 / 229 / UP 81 Testing positive 9.9%

Bolton 269 / 324 / DOWN 55 Testing positive 11.2%

Wigan 262 / 199 / UP 63 Testing positive 9.5%

Trafford 224 / 182 / UP 42 Testing positive 7.6%

Rochdale 224 / 183 / UP 41 Testing positive 10.3 %

Stockport 202 / 234 / DOWN 32 Testing positive 7.8%

Oldham 183 / 136 / UP 47 Testing positive 10.3%

Tameside 182 / 132 / UP 50 Testing positive 8.6%


Salford back on top after big fall by Manchester and Bury now also in the 300s but the rise has all but stopped.
Last month's once worst in the UK Bolton now just fourth highest Pop Score in GM. And Wigan almost knocked it down to 5th and may well do so tomorrow.

Stockport's good run almost took them below 200.

Trafford and Rochdale pulled furrther ahead of Stockport

Oldham and Tameside neck and neck fo best score though 182 is a pretty high lowest number stull,

Stockport's success has also see it regularly eat into Trafford's lead for overall Pop Score across the pandemic which Trafford took over just before Delta arrived. It got up to near 200 but Stockport;s good run and Trafford being up a bit lately has seen that cut day by day in small doses.

Trafford is still easily top on 7639 but Stockport on 7800,


Bolton unsurprisingly now has the highest GM Pop Score on 11, 156. Nobody else is yet in the 11,000 club with it

However, there are 3 boroighs in the 10,000 club - Manchester on 10, 557. Rochdale on 10, 278 and Oldham having quite a scrap to match its numbers on 10, 272.

Salford and Bury are in a race to be the next to join the 10 K club - on track to be members within the next 3 to 5 days at current numbers. Salford on 9893. Bury on 9884. Hopefully it will take longer if the slow down continues.

Wigan on current numbers at 9549 is maybe two weeks away,

Trafford and Stockport are obviously a long way off and may never get there before we stop counting. Tameside possibly too - at 8606 well ahead of those two and probably also not getting there this side of winter anyway.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:


Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY



BOLTON 74.2% / 52.0 % V 74.0 / 51.8%

BURY 75.0% / 53.8% V 74.4% / 53.7%

MANCHESTER 55.6% / 33.0% V 55.3% / 32.7%

OLDHAM 69.0% / 50.2% V 68.8% / 49.8%

ROCHDALE 71.5% / 49.2% V 71.4% / 48.8%

SALFORD 62.2 % / 41. 9% V 61.6% / 41.8%

STOCKPORT 78.2% / 57.3% V 78.1% / 56.9%

TAMESIDE 73.5% / 52.8 % V 73.4% / 52.5%

TRAFFORD 75.5% / 54.2% V 75.1% / 53.8%

WIGAN 77.2% / 56.2% V 76.7% / 56.0%
 
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