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Is that just Delta variant or positives of all variants (appreciate Delta is most prominent variant)?
Cannot really see London boroughs.
I wouldn't underestimate immunity levels in London. The virus ravaged the capital before the first lockdown. So much so, c300 died just in Barnet over 3 days. For that many deaths, there must have been a lot of people who had it.
Cases are certainly increasing down here. They have done since Delta became an issue. However, the growth has not been as steep as that in the NW. Just in Barnet, we have gone from around 15/100k to 40/100k in about three or four weeks.
As noted above I post the data for every region in England around 5 / 6 pm each evening if you want to scan back.
Last night I showed week to week over the past month how South West and North East have skyrocketed very fast indeed in case numbers.
London too is now rising quite fast - with higher base numbers but not as rapid an increase as those two regions.
This is visibly spreading even as the North West is starting to stabilise.
It will reach everywhere in coming weeks but the NW seems to suggest it will be a short peak relatively easy to get under control. As the demographic now catching it (80% are under 40 and only 4% over 60) mostly escape with a moderate to minor illness. And - as they are of the age that is interacting - spread it very quickly to their more susceptible peers.
Though that worked when it was one area driving cases. If it becomes three or four at once then that might make things harder.
Wales is clearly showing an increase too but as yet in pockets - such as much of North Wales where the virus was easily imported from the North West as it spread there from East Lancashire and Bolton to Greater Manchester 2 / 3 weeks ago and then 1 / 2 weeks ago to Cheshire and Merseyside.
This is a very very virulent strain and once we missed our chance to stop it early by our dithering over India we were always going to have to see this take over the UK and rise, peak then fall one by one in all parts. We are not and have not been in lockdown throughout it remermber. It is Summer and people are travelling wide across the UK. This has been an unavoidable national wave not a local outbreak from the moment we chose to let it in.
NW will be out of this before other areas because it was the first. But this wave is not going to be over in the next 3 weeks probably. Unless it spreads so fast everywhere - as it might. Then it may fall more quickly too.
Next few day should tell us a lot.
And even though the NW is stabilised as is Scotland (who were early adopters of Delta too) the numbers are rather flat so far and not steeply falling. We need to see that in Scotland and the North West before we rest too easy.
Bolton is showing some encouraging signs as it has been vaccine blitzed and that seems to have stalled it early. Stockport also shot up when Delta arrived along with Manchester and Salford. Both those cities have the two worst vaccination rates in GM and Stockport has the best. Stockport up to now has stopped rising and is falling faster than these other two regions.
Early days and it might change but that could be important and is probably why the focus in the 4 week delay is to vaccinate furiously. It does seem to control Delta pretty well.
