Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Healdplace said:
SCOTLAND DATA

Still not looking good here though hints of cases at least not going up much more or even flattening

9 deaths - was 5 last week

6170 cases - was 5021 last week

11.5% positivity - was 11.0% last week. The flattening of this is the best sign of hope.

629 patients - up 44 on yesterday - was 396 last week

59 ventilated icu - up 5 on yesterday - was 44 last week


Hospital data still climbing quite a bit but it is feeding into the high point of cases from last week or so and MIGHT hopefully start to slow in next week or two. Hopefully below 1000 patients and 100 on ventilator beds
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Significant slowdown in case growth rates now. Great news with the schools now having been back a couple of weeks - hopefully the spread isn't still to arrive in those environments. Still a growth I suppose, so nowhere near out of the woods yet, but fingers crossed if previous trends are to go by then a plateau could arrive soon then a decline.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

Still high but also still bucking the trend and edging down - why?


9 deaths - was 5 last week - the care home problems still biting here

1472 cases - was 1771 last week

131 CARE HOME outbreaks - down 4 on yesterday - up 3 on last week

10, 378 weekly cases - down from 10, 620 yesterday & 11, 917 last week

418 patients - up 27 on yesterday - was 388 last week

37 ventilated - same as yesterday - was 26 last week


THE HOSPITAL DATA STILL RISING BUT THAT WILL LAG CASE FALLS - WHICH NOW LOOK REAL AS THEY HAVE BEEN HAPPENING FOR 7 CONSECUTIVE DAYS

HOPEFULLY THIS IS WHERE SCOTLAND WILL HEAD SOON
 
So the total deaths today with out of hospital England to add is:- 219 - highest in 6 months. Which was inevitable given the lag over the Bank Holiday and gradual increases.

Last Wednesday it was 122 - though not a fair comparison because that was NOT the catch up day after a holiday..

The Tuesday on 165 was a little more of a fair comparison.

The 165 became 174 on all settings later when out of hospital England were added

And the 122 last Wednesday became 149 on the same basis.


We look certain to have over 200 UK deaths today - for the first time since 231 on MAR 9
 
And the three nation cases total today with England to come is:

10, 970

Last week the number at this stage was 8497 (big increase in Wales and a rise of over 1000 in Scotland)

England added 27, 350 to total 35, 847

Yesterday England added 20, 967 to the 11, 214 from the 3 nations to equal 32, 181.

England cases nearly always go up mid week so I will be surprised to see anything but a bit of a jump today.
 
The Northern Baptist said:
It’s time for GPs to stop cowering in their surgeries.

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Thats so sad. I had a similar experience a couple of months back. I found a lump on my bollock, phoned the drs and they would only do a phone consultation. I couldn’t believe they wouldn’t see me face to face, Luckily they referred me to get an ultrasound and all was ok, but I’m sure there are lots of people who haven’t been as fortunate as I was
 
Healdplace said:
196 ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

By Region: East 8, London 31, Midlands 43, NE & Yorkshire 66, North West 22, South East 10, South West 16

Most 13 in Mid Yorkshire and 9 in Birmingham hospital trusts.



NW Trusts: Chester 3, East Lancs 2, Mid Cheshire 1, Manchester 2, Pennine Acute 2, Salford 3, St Helens 1, Stockport 2, Wirral 2, Wigan 4


By age: 20 - 39 (5), 40 - 59 (22), 60 - 79 (77), 80 PLUS (92)


Deaths per week are still rising but NOT accelerating.

Last three weeks totals at 7 days have been 364 - 390 & 448.

The next week completes tomorrow and with 6 days it stands at 423.

The day behind it at 6 days is on 63 - so 486 is the minimum.

It will likely top 500 tomorrow but the increase is nothing like as fast or as bad as it has been in past waves.

Indeed there are hints of the numbers flattening off.

AUG 24 currently stands on 83 deaths as the highest single day for England deaths in this wave.

The last time there was a higher number was 94 on MAR 11.
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I look at your figures religiously healdplace and for me at least they provide me with valuable data that I use for my own research and again this service you provide to all interested mooners is nothing short of incredible.

Are you by any chance able to get a breakdown of those deaths by vaccination status or is that too much to ask?

For example the of 100 deaths in NSW ( 99 in Greater Sydney ) in this latest delta wave 96 were unvaccinated and 4 had a single dose albeit there are 4 I believe of the 150 in ICU that have fully vaccinated.

Over 80 per cent of the deaths had comorbidities but 20 percent or 20 of the deaths were to the best of my knowledge in an otherwise healthy state highlighting the insidious nature of the disease on those that contract it albeit fortunately in a small percentage of cases a shocking state of affairs albeit for those impacted.

its a small sample but highlights how effective the vaccinations are on preventing serious disease.

I know our figures compared to the human suffering in the UK seem trivial but we in OZ can learn from what you have done well and not so well in a pandemic where no hand book was able to be followed and different countries have coped differently depending on many factors.

Our premier in Queensland today said she has to keep the borders closed to residents of the state because this disease can make any child under 12 vulnerable because their health services are not equipped to handle a major delta outbreak given the low vaccinations rates in the state when not a single person under 12 has succumbed to the disease in this country.

this is about as low as the political discourse has taken the response to covid in this country and diminishing Australia's standing in the global stage.
 
mcfc_ms said:
Thats so sad. I had a similar experience a couple of months back. I found a lump on my bollock, phoned the drs and they would only do a phone consultation. I couldn’t believe they wouldn’t see me face to face, Luckily they referred me to get an ultrasound and all was ok, but I’m sure there are lots of people who haven’t been as fortunate as I was
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That must have shit you up. Glad all was fine mate.
 
Thank you Mancity1 - there was a report posted a few days ago about the hospitalisation and death numbers over several months linked to vaccination. But they only went up to some weeks ago. Afaik there are no up to date sources on such things.

Someone else here might know that there is and post the link.
 
everythingchangesbutblue said:
That must have shit you up. Glad all was fine mate.
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Thanks. It was more the waiting around for the appointment, then waiting for the results. The whole process took about 4-5 weeks, but I’m convinced if the dr would have seen me and had a feel, they would have Saved a lot of time and diagnosed without the need for the scans
 
207 all settings deaths

35, 693 cases

24, 723 England only - big jump up here.

From 20, 967 yesterday but down still from 27, 530 last week
 
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Healdplace said:
Thank you Mancity1 - there was a report posted a few days ago about the hospitalisation and death numbers over several months linked to vaccination. But they only went up to some weeks ago. Afaik there are no up to date sources on such things.

Someone else here might know that there is and post the link.
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Many thanks Healdplace I don't know how you manage the time to keep the likes of me up to date with no doubt accurate and informative detail.

I had to ask , I suspect that not withstanding new variants and their ability to spread which seems to increase with each mutation no matter the source you are on the way to breaking the back of this disease.

Outside those that cannot for medical reasons obtain a vaccination I hope the rest of the UK that can get vaccinated and get the boosters each year.

Your brilliant scientists need more than a knighthood.

Stay safe.
 
mcfc_ms said:
Thats so sad. I had a similar experience a couple of months back. I found a lump on my bollock, phoned the drs and they would only do a phone consultation. I couldn’t believe they wouldn’t see me face to face, Luckily they referred me to get an ultrasound and all was ok, but I’m sure there are lots of people who haven’t been as fortunate as I was
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Must be genuinely terrifying that.

I found a lump a few years back, spent the evening mentally rehearsing my last words to my kids, softarse that I am.

Turned out, whilst not entirely innocuous, nothing life threatening, but I saw the doctor next day. Waiting weeks or months would have absolutely done my head in.

Of course, the best thing we can do to get GPS closer to normality is minimise caseload and maximise vaccination. Infection control must be a nightmare in a GPS for COVID.

Other than in and out in 30 seconds for a flu jab last year I've been nowhere near GP surgery for years, so no idea what they're like now
 
The Northern Baptist said:
It’s time for GPs to stop cowering in their surgeries.

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A family friend of ours died late last year because the GP's refused to see him. He had Esophageal cancer, went through tons of Chemo and Radio and was doing OK, started to get a sore chest so phoned the GP over and over, kept giving him tablets, ended up giving morphine. the GP tried to get the District nurses to go but they refused, not that the GP told them that, they only found out when they didn't turn up.

He died about 2 weeks later of Sepsis. I guarantee they would have caught it if they had seen him.
 
Gumzy97 said:
Just had a test done.

Came back home yesterday was fine didn’t feel ill had no symptoms. then in the night had a couple of symptoms, sore throat, cough. Then woke up today with blocked nose. Been double vaccinated. Hopefully negative. Get my result back tomorrow.
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My missus had a sore throat, cough, sneezes and the like for a couple of days. Took a lateral flow test and was negative. Couple of days later, walking past a curry house and I commented on the lovely smell. She couldn’t smell a thing!
Did another LF test and it was positive in within a couple of minutes. PCR the following day confirmed it. I’m only mentioning this because we’d been eating, sleeping and going out together until the positive test but we’re both double jabbed. I’m absolutely fine and did both a negative LF and PCR test, as requested by HMG, so this vaccine protection is not only good at reducing serious illness (loss of smell is most common symptom in people who will develop ‘mild disease’ (bit like a cold) but she hasn’t given it to me either. I suspect that, in January, at least one of those things wouldn’t have been true..
 
news.sky.com

COVID-19: Indonesia death rate in under-18s more than three times the world average

Under-18s make up 1% of COVID deaths in Indonesia - compared to the worldwide average of around 0.3%. Paediatricians tell Sky News that a surge in cases has been seen since the Delta variant became prevalent.
news.sky.com news.sky.com

Hopefully this is just down to local health care ( or lack of ) and not a variant. Since July child deaths due to Covid in Indonesia have increased to 3x the global average.
 
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