daveduke67 said:
Re the income bond. Assuming that the bond did manage a return of 7%, you take 5% of that leaving a growth of 2% on the initial capital invested.
What would that make the bond worth in, say, twenty years? Would 5% of that value buy you the same as it would today. Would your initial investment in 2031 be able to buy you what a million would today? This is assuming that returns have exceeded withdrawals - historically has this always happened?
Ok here goes. Assuming the bond out grows the withdrawls by 2% pa, in twenty years the original £1000,000 would be worth £1,491,800. That may or may not worth more than it is now in terms of
real value but it would be close either way and certainly have avoided the vast majority of any capital erosion, especially when compared with deposit based accounts which never will.
daveduke67 said:
What has the average investment bond returned the last five years?
The "average" bond has returned just over 6% pa over the last 20 years. THSP managed fund has averaged 9.7% over the last 20 years (a period more tumultuous than any other in history, including black wednesday, dot com bubble burst, 9/11, Iraq/Afghanistan and the credit crunch), so it would be
fair to say that similar returns (if not possibly greater) could be forecast going forward.
A 20 year time period is far more reliable to look at than 5 years as the investment would be for a minimum of 20 years to make best use of the annual 5% allowance and allows for good years with 30% growth and bad years with up to 15% loss.
daveduke67 said:
Would you advise that someone invest 100% of their capital in one type of risk based investment - nothing in no risk savings accounts?
The question was "can one retire on £1m", not what is the best advice for someone that has £1M in liquid assets mate.
The FSA best advice is to keep 3x months expenditure in very liquid emergency funds to cover unexpected expenses.
daveduke67 said:
Surely it'd be better to spread the capital into various risk categories and investment types rather than all the eggs in one basket?
A capital investment bond of £1M could, in theory be invested into 200 different funds, and cover a veritable smörgåsbord of risk and investment strategies. Just because it is all ring fenced under the same policy number does not affect that. You could have funds that invest in cash, derivatives, bonds, gilts, equities, property etc (ie all the asset classes) and one would obviously pick the funds to match the investors unique risk profile, goals and aspirations.