OK here we go, brief ballpark takeaways from the ONS stats, and ignoring time variations:
1. An additional 19.19% of COVID-19 specific deaths have occured outside hospital to 10th April.
2. An additional number of non COVID-19 deaths are occurring WRT to average deaths. This equates to roughly 21.57% of COVID-19 hospital deaths reported to 10th April.
3. Add 1 and 2 together and you get the 40% total that is being reported in the media.
4. Peak deaths may have occurred on the 8th of April as deaths were lower on the 9th and 10th of April
5. Apply these percentages to all UK excess above average deaths and you would have the following UK totals as of yesterday, the 20th April.
Total UK COVID-19 hospital deaths = 16,509
Total COVID-19 deaths = 19, 677
Other deaths resulting from pandemic = 3,561
Grand total = 23,238
All these figures will change next Tuesday.