COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Don't agree with the above at all. Not one bit.

Apparently we need 40-odd million infected for herd immunity. How long would you like to spread those infections over, WITHOUT overloading the NHS? 5 years?

If 40m people get infected, the NHS gets obliterated.
Part I said not wholly. when lockdown is eased they will hope numbers don’t shoot straight back up, and if that happens it will partly be because of those that have had the virus. We have no idea what that number is. The alternative is lockdown until new cases drop to zero, that just isn’t possible.
How long do you think we can keep this level of lockdown, I think beyond mid May would be a struggle.
 
What's the general consensus on here to a plan B on the antibody tests not being available in the predicted timelines of end of April (I personally think it will be quite a bit later than that for scientific reasons) - It has been the bedrock of all the government messaging which I have personally found confusing as antibody test kits are notoriously difficult to get right. If these tests are still picking up other coronaviruses antibodies in our immune system then that data becomes dangerous in its own right.

1) If there are no antibody tests, how do we get the essential mapping of who has had it and who has probable immunity (who knows for how long)?

2) How do we implement phase 2 without the crucial data we all need from these tests?

3) How do we implement a policy of slowly re-booting the economy with bringing people back to work who have supposed immunity?
 

15 days in terms of total deaths, 13 days in terms of current daily deaths.
18 in terms of total cases, but Italy was doing more testing in comparison. Hospital admissions would give you a better comparison, but these are only published quarterly.
 
Frontline news -

Just spoken to my goddaughter and cousin who works at the QEQM Margate hospital in the ITU unit (only 23) she says staff morale has gone really low after the death of the nurse Mrs O'Rourke (38) yesterday who works there also as she was very popular and they are all sad and really worried. They are running low on ventilators and says it feels like being stuck in a disaster movie. Still hasn't been tested but been advised it will be next week hopefully!! She has PPE but she sent me a photo with her wearing it all and it looks a bit lightweight to me after looking at the gear they are wearing in Naples.

My instinct was to tell her to go home and keep safe but deep down I know that's not right but she's so young to go through this shit :-(
 
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