COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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We can’t be far off from this sort of thing happening.


All I want is intellectual rigour rather than finger pointing and blamestorming. I want more factual analysis and less of being a twat.
Discuss the current situation (you are where you are) and the possible options then comment on the one chosen putting any political bias in at this point.

Imagine the current bunch of tossers being on point in WW2.
 
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Bloody hell, my mum is in a care home in Salford and I live in Oldham :-(

I’m in Shaw and it’s not hit us that hard yet here. Care homes obviously have been, but the community has behaved pretty well and there haven’t been many deaths. (My wife is a vicar and so we get an idea of what’s happening. She’s doing an average of between 2-3 funerals a week. All have been elderly people.)
 
BBC News reporting the R number has increased. It now sits between 0.7-1.0
 
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) said the UK reproduction number for the coronavirus is now between 0.7 and 1, up from 0.5 to 0.9 last week.
The slight increase, based on calculations done by six research groups, is being attributed to cases in care homes and hospitals accounting for a greater proportion of the overall total

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...fter-rising-over-past-week-sage-says-11988983

Too soon for any figures from this week
 
Think that is obscene, most educated guesses are that it sits between 3-5%. Which is what the data in other countries is showing.

In the abstract https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ijcp.13528

they say "...by the end of the second week in April,
29% of the population may already have had the disease and so have increased immunity."

4 weeks later now, where would the value be today?

They are basing their statistical approach on reported new case numbers, but esp. in the early UK phase (where they assume high R and steep exponential growth) testing was somewhat less than perfect, rather non-existant except for hospitals.

I didn't see an explanation for using regression analysis for that set of data. Maybe some stat expats could shed some light on that question. Subsequent extraploration can't be too accurate as they admit.
 
If I wasn't doing my usual social distancing, I'd have chinned someone today, such is my utter disgust for this witch hunt on teachers.

As for that splash in today's Daily Mail, they should be fucking ashamed, but they are too busy self-congratulating themselves on a daily basis for getting PPE donations.

My wife has been going in and teaching every week to at-risk kids, special needs and those of key workers.

For anyone to suggest it is time for teachers to start pulling their weight, I've never been so fucking angry.

My wife has put herself at risk, knowing full well what risks that might also have on our own family.

She has struggled to cope with less than 15 pupils this week and teachers absolutely must be backed in their stance of wider risks for a greater populous back in schools.

She has performed amazingly, as have our own kids teachers, sending work every day on line, setting up class room chats, checking on mental well-being.

My kids are working as hard as ever and that is down to their teachers.

I back our teachers to the hilt - fuck those who dress it up as an economy saver getting them and kids back.

This is emotional blackmail.

Thankfully, parents will be on the same page as the teachers and the government will be in for a nasty shock soon.

My kids won't be going anywhere until September at the earliest.
 
Nice story and he recovered

A London doctor has treated a surgeon who saved his life 20 years ago after the man was admitted to hospital with coronavirus

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...geon-who-saved-his-life-20-years-ago-11988860


On a general point we are a good three weeks behind other countries with covid so just because other European countries are doing things like opening schools does not make us ready yet
 
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