COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Why ? he merely asked what had happened to those that hadn't died, I haven't so I informed him I was ok. Perhaps it is black humour but I am not going to buy 3,000 tins of beans, lock all my doors and hunker down worried that something I can do fuck all about is going to kill me. Aids was the mass killer, then Ebola followed by Sars and you know what, I am still here.
That's why I'm disappointed.
 
First death outside of China, 44 year old man in the Philippines.

Infection rate doesn't look like slowing down either and that's with China probably playing it down.
 
Updated statistics for those interested:

JH CSSE Global 2019-nCoV Tracking Dashboard (Hourly Updates)

A6493649-E41-D-4833-9585-BAB1-B94-AF00-C.jpg

one thing Ive spotted with this site is China update figures twice a day so early on in the day it looks like thinks are slowing down.

China are at 14.5k now.

Edit: It does seem to have fallen to slower than exponential growth now tho.
 
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Compared to the number of deaths from drug overdoses, this is nothing. I accept drug taking is a choice but I don't think we should get to carried away.
 
Wuhan Coronavirus Looks Increasingly Like a Pandemic, Experts Say

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/02/health/coronavirus-pandemic-china.html

Below is just some of the more urgent bits — the article is much more comprehensive and a very informative read for those interested.

————————————————————————

“The Wuhan coronavirus spreading from China is now likely to become a pandemic that circles the globe, according to many of the world’s leading infectious disease experts.

The prospect is daunting. A pandemic — an ongoing epidemic on two or more continents — may well have global consequences, despite the extraordinary travel restrictions and quarantines now imposed by China and other countries, including the United States.

...

In the last three weeks, the number of lab-confirmed cases has soared from about 50 in China to 14,000 in 23 countries; there have been over 300 deaths, all but one in China.

But various epidemiological models estimate that the real number of cases is 100,000 or even more. While that expansion is not as rapid as that of flu or measles, it is an enormous leap beyond what virologists saw when SARS and MERS emerged.

...

The mortality rate for known cases of the Wuhan coronavirus has been running about 2 percent, although that is likely to drop as more tests are done and more mild cases are found.

...

“This looks far more like H1N1’s spread than SARS, and I am increasingly alarmed,” said Dr. Peter Piot, director of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “Even 1 percent mortality would mean 10,000 deaths in each million people.” ”

53071091-3-B13-4-D9-C-B727-4-F7-A236650-AC.jpg
 
Wuhan Coronavirus Looks Increasingly Like a Pandemic, Experts Say

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/02/health/coronavirus-pandemic-china.html

Below is just some of the more urgent bits — the article is much more comprehensive and a very informative read for those interested.

————————————————————————

“The Wuhan coronavirus spreading from China is now likely to become a pandemic that circles the globe, according to many of the world’s leading infectious disease experts.

The prospect is daunting. A pandemic — an ongoing epidemic on two or more continents — may well have global consequences, despite the extraordinary travel restrictions and quarantines now imposed by China and other countries, including the United States.

...

In the last three weeks, the number of lab-confirmed cases has soared from about 50 in China to 14,000 in 23 countries; there have been over 300 deaths, all but one in China.

But various epidemiological models estimate that the real number of cases is 100,000 or even more. While that expansion is not as rapid as that of flu or measles, it is an enormous leap beyond what virologists saw when SARS and MERS emerged.

...

The mortality rate for known cases of the Wuhan coronavirus has been running about 2 percent, although that is likely to drop as more tests are done and more mild cases are found.

...

“This looks far more like H1N1’s spread than SARS, and I am increasingly alarmed,” said Dr. Peter Piot, director of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “Even 1 percent mortality would mean 10,000 deaths in each million people.” ”

53071091-3-B13-4-D9-C-B727-4-F7-A236650-AC.jpg
Mate. Putting a graph on Bluemoon is bad enough. You might as well have posted in Chinese?

However, putting a Logarithmic scale graph on here is almost worthy of a thread ban!?

;-)
 
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