BlueAnorak
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 31 Oct 2010
- Messages
- 26,184
Apologies I meant to reply on this but got side tracked.I'm beginning to think that some people on this thread have an agenda. If something doesn't fit their agenda it is either ignored or shot down.
A couple of days ago, i posted a link to evidence that the biggest threat to a vaccine was due to the fact that the virus is already dying out naturally and this will stop a vaccine being tested.
The article stated that they actually hoped it would stay around a little longer in the UK until they could complete their tests. (because of its predicted path, there could be no people with the virus by late August/September)
How sound the article was, and how creditable the evidence was who knows, but not a single person quoted or challenged it on here.
I suspect if i quoted an article saying we were due a massive second wave and half a million people would be dead by September, i've no doubt certain members would have jumped on it with glee...
Social distancing does indeed make it difficult for the virus to propagate but we cant maintain it for ever as the economy would be trashed.
Personally I dont think it will die off on it's own - though I'd love to be proven wrong. Another mechanism for the imune system to defeat the virus that doesn't produce B and T cells would need to be identified for that to be possible given the number of people being identified with antibodies.
The question is, therefore, can we open up the economy and still minimise infection?
I think it has to be given a helping hand and that inevitably means track trace and test that has worked so well in Taiwan, Souh Korea and Germany.
This should dramatically minimise the virus's reproductive number and also, hopefully, keep it low when the weather forces us back into close confinement at the end of October.