The Infection fatality rate is somewhere between 0.25% and 1% based on studies in Germany and America
From the measured mortality you can then get a rough idea of how many people have had it - very rough based on a that spread.
For example if we assume 0.5% IFR and 50,000 deaths in the UK then 10m have had it in the UK. However nothing is simple. Can we say that the IFR is uniform when we know for example that demographics have such a huge effect. Look at Africa. Look at Singapore. The migrant population hut hard, the domestic population untouched. Look at New York, New York City has antibody rates of 50% according to a very large survey and yet the suburbs have hardly been touched. It's not uniform.
I must admit the antibody testing in the UK conflicts with this.
We should all blame Karen for that the bloody germ collector. ;)wonder how many people got it at Wembley. Must have a been a fair few.
As you can see the North West, North Midlands, Durham thru Middlesbrough, Hull, Grantham, Huntingdon, Western Super Mate and Kent are not in a good shape - though Red is still a declining (just) epidemic.The ONS Rolling report last published on 28th may. Some newspapers did sensationalist reports based on it and I didnt want to quote them.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-covid-19-surveillance-reports
The top document is the one to look at. 2nd map on page 6.
Where is Karen? Not seen her post for a while, hope she is Ok.We should all blame Karen for that the bloody germ collector. ;)
No your not wrong. Being outside is fine, but when you go into communal spaces, shopping spaces and on public transport face covering should be mandatory.I wonder why when total lockdown was eased that Spain brought in a legally binding rule that facemasks must be used in all public places?
I assumed the mask protects others and in a way reduces the 2 metre rule to about 1 metre. Is that wrong?
Where is Karen? Not seen her post for a while, hope she is Ok.
Just reading in El Pais that as the various Provinces are at different stages of relaxation of rules the r number varies.No your not wrong. Being outside is fine, but when you go into communal spaces, shopping spaces and on public transport face covering should be mandatory.
Was going to say the same.
I felt shit for 3 or 4 days in March a week or so after Wembley. Didn’t think I had it because I didn’t have the cough but I’m not so sure now.
It would be interesting to take the antibody test.
You were supporting your argument quoting NY data !Haven’t seen antibody tests we are using being only 50% accurate being reported.