COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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I wanted to share this thread from a New York Times reporter who had COVID explaining her and her husband’s continued struggles recovering six months on from initial infection. She is fairly young and apparently didn’t have any condition that put her in the defined higher risk category.

Many statistical assessment systems class people like them as “recovered”, which masks the immense toll the virus is actually having on communities around the world (even apart from the very real health impact from economic crisis, much of which is happening because of the pandemic itself, not just the response), and is why many of us consistently say that the death rate is a very poor measure of the full impact to people (and the economy) for purposes of assessing current state and decision making for future mitigation.


She’s a Yank so probably overweight with underlying health issues... ;0)
 
GM scoreboard:

Bolton 88 - down from 116 but obviously still way high. 1839 in month (record). 687 past week (record). 204 over 2 days (was 199). Pop score up 30 to 1415 - entering the 1400 club just 14 days after entering the 1000 club and 3 days in the 1300. Has to be a UK record.

Bury 55 - down from 68 but still high for here. 681 in month (record). 343 past week (record). 123 over 2 days (was 97) (record). Pop score up 29 to 1165.

Manchester 146 - up from 96 to second hghest ever score. Really struggling at the moment. 1892 in month (GM record). 872 past week (GM record). 242 over 2 days (was 209). Pop score up 27 to 1084. 1100 club tomorrow sadly it seems.

Oldham 43 - nice drop from 62 to second lowest in 10 days. 944 in month (record). 365 past week. 105 over 2 days (was 111). Pop score up only 18 to 1576 and Blackburn is now well ahead of here on 1609. Promising signs.

Rochdale 36 - almost halved from 70 to much better numbers.749 in month (record). 312 past week (record). 106 over 2 days (was 97). Pop score up 16 to enter 1300 club at 1313.

Salford 51 - down from 58 but still high. 882 in month (record). 377 past week (record), 109 over 2 days (was 98). Pop score up 20 and takes Salford into the 1000 club at 1010. Just over a month after it was the best in GM at 648. Only 3 GM boroughs are now NOT in the 1000 club. There was just one (Oldham) in it less than a month ago.

Stockport 26 - down from 40. Still high but better day. 460 in month (record). 208 past week (record).66 over 2 days (was 46). Pop score up 9 to 824 so unchanged on best pop score in GM.

Tameside 40 - down from 57 - so better. 782 in month (record). 299 past week (record). 97 over 2 days (was 97). Pop score up 18 to 1169.

Trafford 22 - up from 18 but old faithful best in GM here again. 421 in month. Best in GM. 160 past week (record) but best in GM still. 40 over 2 days (was 39). Pop score up 9 to 860 - so made no ground on Stockport today.

Wigan 53 - down from 61 but another day in the run of 50s and 60s here. 660 in month {record). 367 past week (record). After this horror run Pop score up 16 to 899 and will leave Stockport and Trafford alone in the 600 club tomorrow sadly.
 
I think even new cases are a lagging indicator given the 5-6 days average incubation period during which presymptomatic people are infectious.

I presume there will also be a lagging effect (albeit again a fairly minor one) on new cases due to the time required to process a test, from collecting the sample from a person to a lab confirming the result?

For example of the 4,926 cases confirmed today, only 191 of them across England/NI/Scotland were from tests carried out on people yesterday (Wales data on this is not available).
 
Hospital numbers.

England patients up 74 today to 1335

They have risen every day since 2 Sep when it was 425. So 910 added in 19 days.

This time last week it was 866 - so up 469 on that in last seven days.

And even worse - well for me (hopefully I am misjudging the data again) - the biggest rise yet in vetilator patient numbers in England

up from 154 to 179 in 24 hours. A week ago they were 101.

Really struggling to spin them any way other than they look. Disturbing.

Sorry.

Last time there were more on ventilators in England was 6 July and more patients 14 July.
 
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