COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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grunge said:
I was thinking about our track and trace system yesterday. and how its mostly pointless as we only test symptomatic cases. if everyone who got an alert got tested then we would be catching the asymptomatic cases too and would really be able to block the chain of infection.

the scenario I was thinking of.

Person A, gets the virus, they are infectious for 2-3 days before symptoms, then it takes 2/3 days or so for the test and positive to come back. thats 4/6 days window where they could have infected someone. they put there test into the app and everyone that they came in contact with gets the alert. they infected person B in this time.

Person B. was close to person A early on. they get there alert and do the right thing, they isolate. but at this time they have actually been infectious for 4 or so days and Manage to infect person C. But Person B never get symptoms so never gets a test so Person C goes about there business without having a clue they have been near an infected person.

if Person C is asymptomatic too then thats close to 2 weeks of them spreading it without a clue.

Until we fill that hole in the track and trace system then its like boxing with 1 arm tied behind out backs.

this isn't taking into consideration that loads of people just ignore it mind you, thats a whole other issue.
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yep. Never gonna work.
 
BerkshireBlue said:
you try balancing out the msoa, LA, regional, country totals and you'll find the data is worthless. Only Sage know the full facts
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Well I can agree it's a mess, and indeed only PHE (and/or Gov) know all the facts, but a lot of the data can be joined up. But yes we don't know enough sadly for one reason and another
 
kaz7 said:
Going into winter health and the nhs have to come first, we have to get ahead of it and not chase it like we did in the first wave
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Will the nhs be worse off and less able to care for the nations health in forthcoming years due to reduced tax revenue in future years as a result of a further lockdown?
 
ctwrd said:
Will the nhs be worse off and less able to care for the nations health in forthcoming years due to reduced tax revenue in future years as a result of a further lockdown?
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If we don't get ahead of it will an out of control virus cause a later and longer set of restrictions which damage the economy much more *as well* as killing thousands more?
 
ctwrd said:
Will the nhs be worse off and less able to care for the nations health in forthcoming years due to reduced tax revenue in future years as a result of a further lockdown?
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That is for later , not here and now , they have had 12 years of austerity and are doing a brilliant job just the same this year
 
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