COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Healdplace]

Scotland 3 wks ago to 2 wks to last wk to today

Deaths 13 v 17 v 37 v 39 today

Cases 1351 v 1712 v 1128 v 1216 today - plateau maybe but not a clear fall yet. But the week to week positive test % of 7.1 to 7.6% is encouraging evidence of the slowing.

Patients: 601 v 928 v 1152 v 1252 today is another good sign of the very clear stall. Yes the deaths always do have a consequence on falling numbers as they do on icu ventilator beds. They will always be tied together but falls in hospital numbers are always good because they keep control of the virus in hospital by not stretching it to the point where more will die unnecessarily because there is no ability to save them.

Ventilator 51 v 74 v 86 v 95 v today is again impacted by the above but numbers are low enough for it not to explain everything. And a plateau is still a plateau whatever the cause.

If these numbers start going up again THEN we have to worry.

 

[Phil1]

For once i agree with you ! Rushi has played a blinder , you cant save every job and business, that is just common sense

Played a blinder? He’s done the only thing left open to him after the government once again proved to be half arsed in dealing with the latest outbreak.

 

[kaz7]

Played a blinder? He’s done the only thing left open to him after the government once again proved to be half arsed in dealing with the latest outbreak.

He got it together quickly from the start, he is the only sensible one out of the whole shower

 

[blueparrot]

Played a blinder? He’s done the only thing left open to him after the government once again proved to be half arsed in dealing with the latest outbreak.

Yes, he should never have let it run down, probably cost people jobs in the last weeks. There was no reason not to extend ii the summer for 12 months, so regions and job sectors could dip in and out whenenever and where ever it was needed.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital deaths 236 with 100 from the NW. 66 of them in the last 72 hours First time that triple figures have occurred in any region since April.

But total well down on yesterday's weekend catch up number and compares with 192 last week and 73 from the NW.

Today there were also 49 from Yorkshire and 47 from the MIdlands but the NW is - as all my nightly reports show - still very much one of the worst Covid hot spots in Europe right now. And sadly we are reaping the whirlwind in deaths right now. But like all storms it will pass and unfortunately reach somewhere else.

 

[Healdplace]

England 3 wks ago v 2 wks v last wk v today

81 / 23 NW v 152 / 60 NW v 192 / 73 NW v 236/ 100 NW today.

The week to week rise 88% v 26% v 23% this week is good news. Hopefully this is the most we ever see from the NW. Though I sadly fear it may not be.

 

[Healdplace]

Wales sadly another grim day.

30 deaths 1272 cases. 234 admitted to hospital in last 7 days - total 1344. 54 on ventilators.

 

[Healdplace]

Wales 3 wks ago v 2 wks v last wk v today

Deaths 10 v 7 v 21 v 30 today.

Cases 727 v 1134 v 1375 v 1272 today. Start of a plateau maybe.

 

[Healdplace]

Northern Ireland - more good evidence they are getting on top of this.

8 deaths

516 cases from 41.4 K tests.

Rolling 7 day cases total down again (fallen every day now for 2 weeks) from the mid 6000s to 4256. About a one third steady fall in cases from a rising number of tests too (41.4 K this week v 37.2 K this day last week)

Patients 409 (down 9)

Ventilators 42 (same)



Unfortunately there are now 126 care homes with Covid outbreaks and these seem to be where the deaths are coming from. The falling 7 day case total yesterday to today saw falls in age groups of 0 - 19 (587 - 566), 20 - 39 (1541 - 1423), 40 - 59 (1396 - 1309) and 60 - 79 (655 - 624) BUT a rise in the over 80s as happens nearly every day - from 319 to 334.

This increase is why deaths have escalated here and shows the crucial importance of protecting care homes better and of trying to prioritise the safety of over 80s as they are now catching it too frequently and are much the most likely to get really sick or die.

 

[Healdplace]

N Ireland 3wks ago v 2 wks v last wk v today

Deaths 4 v 5 v 8 v 8 today At least looks to have started to level off

Cases 763 v 1042 v 822 v 516 today - more good evidence that their measures are working.

Rolling 7 day case total 6294 v 6753 v 5947 v 4256 today - again the same progress is spread over the week not a one off

Patients 201 v 291 v 361 v 409 today (rises of 90/70/48 - also good news)

Ventilators 17 v 23 v 39 v 42 today - again deaths are part of the reason for the fall but it looks a genuine stall too. Given that deaths week to week each day now (8/8 today 9/10 yesterday) are similar numbers over the past 7 days so a drop should not be occurring week to week without other reasons.