COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Healdplace said:
So the UK deaths today are 372 - last week it was 263 - so big increase sadly.

When the out of hospital numbers were added to the 263 last week it became 397.

So it is very possible that we will top 500 later today.
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Irrespective of it being Tuesday, these are horrific numbers. We can only hope that the totals start to fall off considerably in a couple of weeks time.
 
Healdplace said:
Cases for the three nations without England today are 1790 - lowest in some time


3 wks v 2 wks v last wk v today is 3537 v 3246 v 2688 v 1790 today - very promising downward slope
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Great news - clearly second wave has peaked. Will be a 2 week lag on deaths but xmas could be a lot better than we thought only a few days ago.
 
The 300 England hospital deaths in detail:

In some mitigation there was a larger than usual catch up from pre November added so presumably some end of month data added. And 85 of the 114 NW deaths occurred over last weekend when for those days as I said in my reports numbers get under reported (the NW is always the least likely to record weekend deaths promptly). Yesterday the NW did not even have the second highest number of deaths - both Midlands and Yorkshire had more.

9 Nov adds 39 = 39 after 1 day (Last week 35 were added)

8 Nov adds 109 = 142 after 2 days (Last week 104 were added)

7 Nov adds 71 = 193 after 3 days (Last week 47 were added)

6 Nov adds 35 = 185 after 4 days (Last week 26 were added)

5 Nov adds 16 = 198 after 5 days (Last week 7 were added).

Other add ons were 4 to 4 Nov - now 223 and the most deaths on a single day since 7 May.

3 added to 3 Nov = 196, 1 to 2 Nov = 211, 4 to 31 Oct = 204.

The rest were all added on to days back as far as 28 September.

What you might notice is that I am not having to as often refer to new records being set in these daily reports and dates when we last had these numbers have for now stalled around end of first week in May.


This is good news as deaths will have to really extrapolate day on day to reach the numbers in the first wave and hopefully we will not get there. The less I have to mention new dates since deaths were last higher and the longer these stay in May not back into April the better.
 
Went to the drs today , my dr has been off for six months with covid and long covid , he was a mad cyclist and healthy , mid 40's, he now has post viral fatigue and heart damage , unable to return to work yet
 
For some context 223 is currently the highest number of England hospital deaths on one day in this second wave (4 Nov).

7 May is the last time that number was recorded. As we were a month past the first wave. And falling slowly.

Here are the dates milestone death numbers were reached in wave 1 (I will stick to at 5 days - where 4 Nov was at 219 after that many for comparison)

300 deaths - 28 April, 350 - 25 April, 400 - 24 April. 450 - 21 April, 500 - 20 April, 550 - 16 April, 600 - 12 April, 650 - 11 April. 700 - 8 April

We do have a few days where the total reached 800 + after add ons. From that peak around 10 April.

But you can see the numbers were very high and then falling at some speed.

At the moment we are nowhere near seeing a reverse of that kind of steep escalation going upwards.

Hopefully we never will again.
 
Wales by the way have pointed out that today's 444 cases is abnormally low due to an anomaly. Caused by 'a reporting delay' from testing in England labs and their onward transmission of data back to Wales.
 
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