Bill
Moderator
wrong forum.I can't believe what a bumbling idiot he sounds. Is that Cummings on his right prompting him or is he out for his daily drive?
wrong forum.I can't believe what a bumbling idiot he sounds. Is that Cummings on his right prompting him or is he out for his daily drive?
If it’s the figure I’m thinking then it includes all that have tested positive from the beginning including the recovered and those that have died so when it peters out it will stop rising, but the number / 100,000 that have had it will still remain. The new infection number will drop as it peters out.
It isI thought that the number of infections would drop as the virus peters out.
So the prediction by Neil Ferguson of 500k dying wasn't over egged? Even he changed his mind a few days later.
It is serious, no doubting that. But is it serious enough to devastate the country for years to come, massively impact children's well-being and education and lead to countless deaths from suicide, cancer etc? Clearly any pandemic is a shite situation and whichever route you take it's going to have a huge impact on people. Looking at this particular virus it's clear that we have handled it wrong. Those who are fit and healthy shouldn't have been locked down and those who are elderly or have serious medical conditions should have been protected better.
Your final point about it killing a good chunk of those who catch it is garbage unless you are counting 0.5% or whatever it turns out to be as a big chunk.
Infections dropping nationally yet Manchester is on the increase, however slight. Not good news and would be great to understand why.Rate of infection has crept up again in Manchester: (was 244, then 276, then 280, now 283 per 100,000 habitants).
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/#category=ltlas&map=rate
Covid has only been around for 10 weeks so that would equate toYou have more chance of being hit by lightening (49 per year in the UK) than to doe of covid if you are under 40 (33 cases)
Again253 healthy under 60 year old have died of covid, 400 die through drowning a year
So Covid-19, in a society with all the restrictions imposed for the last 10 weeks, produces a slightly lower death toll than a bad influenza year, where no restrictions were imposed at all.Taking into account all covid 19 deaths it is still less 2018 excess winter deaths which was counted as a bad influenza winter
Covid has only been around for 10 weeks so that would equate to 5 people hit by lightning and 33 dead from Covid = 6.6 times higher
Again 40 dead under the same time frame as Covid = 6.3 times higher.
So Covid-19, in a society with all the restrictions imposed for the last 10 weeks, produces a slightly lower death toll than a bad influenza year, where no restrictions were imposed at all.
And you extrapolate this data to mean Covid-19 isn't that bad?