COVID Data Thread

Healdplace said:
48 Deaths


218, 724 Cases - over 200K as expected.

UK record

BUT NOT AN ENGLAND RECORD - THERE WERE TWO LAST WEEK OVER 160,000

England 148,725 - was 137, 541 yesterday & 117,093 last Tuesday
Click to expand...
I suspect people don't mind testing positive now so they can skip work rather than cancel their festivities? for what are cold like symptoms or none at all for the vast majority. Or is that me just being cynical. ;-)
 
grunge said:
@Healdplace

Do you have any idea whats going on with the dashboard with Hospitalisations? the main page hasn't been updated since 27th Dec.
Click to expand...
I never use it for hospital data as it is often behind with countries other tha n England.

I go to the source and add them up. You can be days ahead of the Gov UK that way.

But Wales has been particularly lax at reporting hospital data over the holiidays.

THe reports from each nation today over last page show the up to date numbers from each as far as we have them.

No idea what Gov UK will have as I rarely look as they are usually a day off at least.
 
Churchlawtonblue said:
I suspect people don't mind testing positive now so they can skip work rather than cancel their festivities? for what are cold like symptoms or none at all for the vast majority. Or is that me just being cynical. ;-)
Click to expand...
It is mostly the huge N Ireland backlog 30,000 cases - today. All added as IF from today when they actually are a total over the past FOUR days.

I said earlier it would distort things today. Hope the meda are on the ball.
 
Healdplace said:
It is mostly the huge N Ireland backlog 30,000 cases - today. All added as IF from today when they actually are a total over the past FIVE days.

I said earlier it would distort things today. Hope the meda are on the ball.
Click to expand...
Haha the BBC just like bad news so will headline with the negative stuff no doubt?
 
They added it as a PS on BBC News just now.

Gave the 'record figure' But he added - 'I should say that includes,.....' looking at a paper in front of hm - then referred to the 4 day N Ireland backlog. And 2 day Wales (though that happens every week).

So fair do's.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA

Patients UP 834 today to 15,044 - up week to week from 9546.

Every region up.North West again up by the most - 234 to 2618 - up week to week from 1392

Ventilators also up by 20 (biggest rise in a while) to 797

Most regions up a bit.

North West by 3 to 98

London easily the most up 7 to 245.

London also still the highest patients - up 145 to 3993
 
Healdplace said:
The BBC has a feature on real problems in Nth Lancashire and Cumbria hospitals due to record case numbers.

It refers to data in December as they use the 5 day old numbers. Claiming 2000 cases a day in Cumbria.

So I looked at the data and they have certainly gone up but not I think as badly as they have in other places like Stockport (that the media totally ignored for weeks when it was at record highs) and currenty both Bolton and Wigan that have accelerated a lot in past few days as Sockport has levelled off.

Just pre Christmas Cumbria had 500 cases. On Christmas Eve 900. It then rose daily 1300, 1500, 1800 to top out at 2200. But has fallen back since to 1300. So yes it is up but I would not have thought unusually so.

Using cases like this is not really the way to go now anyhow - especially depending on older figures as it misses the current trend in a very fast moving wave.

I will be very surprised if almost everywhere in the North West is not showing a similar pattern to the above. Most of Greater Manchester and Merseyside certainly has.

What it does flag up though is small rural areas with limited hospital capacity are likely to be the ones under the most strain as they often are isolated by some distance from other health areas of any size that could share the load.

We will be seeing a lot of that as this wave spreads. Lincolnshire was flagged up the other day as in crisis. There will be others coming.
Click to expand...
Typically, the level of isolation impacts on the income of the hospitals (based largely on the number of patients treated) and therefore how many doctors, nurses, AHPs the Trusts can pay for on their rosters. Recruitment can also be more difficult outside major Cities too.

Isolation is more significant than rurality, eg hospitals in places like Scarborough tend struggle.

That said, in some rural areas, the GPs also have Specialist skills that compliment the hospitals, particularly when workforce capacity / capability is strained. The pandemic exacerbates existing workforce problems so the weaker services feel more of the strain.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS (FROM SUNDAY - ALWAYS 48 HOURS BEHIND)


1881 V 1374 LAST WEEK



All the main regions are doing similarly now.

LONDON 347 - up from 314 day before & DOWN from 374 last week

MIDLANDS 371 - up from 340 day before & UP from 251 last week

NE & YORKSHIRE 316 - up from 289 day before & 157 last week

AND

NORTH WEST 362 - up from 353 day before & UP from 186 last week


So as you see most of them fairly similar EXCEPT London which is flat and a bit down on last week

North West has doubled week to week - emphasising why it has taken over from London as the main driver of hospital numbers - though Midlands and Yorkshire are both well up too.

The smaller regions are rising also but with smaller numbers impact the overall numbers less.
 
xgorton said:
Yes complete waste of time,jab jab jab booster booster booster same old shit.We should follow Wales and Scotland.
Click to expand...
There was no stopping this wave. Getting it over fast is probably the best plan tbh. Delaying it for weeks would not help.
 
The GM numbers today are yet again records galore.

The LOWEST borough is Trafford - who were the worst for weeks until Omicron arrived. Which may be telling. As Stockport - who were up there with them - whilst still over 1000 cases is actually in the better half of the GM numbers again today.

Indeed it gained points back on Bolton again today who had even worse numbers than yeserday. They seem to have been last into this wave and so are a few days behind others in GM.

And those - like Manchester and Stockport - who were first in - are now slowing down.

Trafford on 851 is actually the lowest score today. A score that would have been the highest on most days a couple of weeks ago.

Only Rochdale (just - on 975) is also below 1000.

All eight other boroughs score in four figures today.

Moreover several have daily Pop Scores above 500 today - a totally unprecedented daily rise. These are 8 - 10 TIMES the Pop Scores these same boroughs were getting the week or two before Christmas.

THe way this is panning out across GM is a good pointer to how it will go nationally. WE just have to see if any of these boroughs that hae flattened really drop back ahead of the rest. But these chages are occurring rapidly suggesting the OMicron wave is going to be a short fuse and fast borning.

It is now clear the North West - with Greater Manchester a big part of it - is at the forefront of the Omicron wave right now.
 
Last edited:
Healdplace said:
There was no stopping this wave. Getting it over fast is probably the best plan tbh. Delaying it for weeks would not help.
Click to expand...
Not sure I completely agree, a tap at 80% would still get us through it fast but stagger hospital admissions hopefully just enough to stop a flood. That may or may not have required the other nations slightly stricter restrictions we’ll see. As I have posted though it’s too late now for England to go down that road. The dice have rolled.
My uneducated guess is we’ll be on the way out of this by the end of the month and it will drop quite steeply through February.
 
blueinsa said:
He is a twat but there is no need for anymore restrictions thanks.
Click to expand...
The NHS is creaking , staff off sick is killing them for the sake of another herd immunity bollocks , should have acted two weeks ago, plan b hasnt worked , booster this booster that , vax this vax that is all he has
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top