COVID Data Thread

ZOE ON GREATER MANCHESTER

As the Gov UK numbers show again Greater Manchester DOES have the worst numbers in the North West.

Even the BBC News have now picked up on this but are using several day old Pop data so only think TRafford is just over 1000 when last night FOUR of the ten boroughs were and by tonight Stockport will probably make it five into 4 figures. Unprecedented.

In the past 48 hours nearly everywhere in GM has continued to rise though mostly not in huge jumps.

Manchester stays top and rising quite a bit. Rochdale has fallen the most.

Bolton is showing hints of going up a lot too.



Here is the list of the GM Zoe 10 boroughs in highest to lowest order V 48 hours ago:


Manchester 29,256 UP from 25,947

Salford 21,788 UP from 19,809

Oldham 19,793 UP from 16,892

Bolton 19,463 UP from 14,728

Rochdale 18,649 DOWN from 24,693

Stockport 18,636 UP from 17,425

Trafford 17,465 UP from 16,508

Wigan 15,520 DOWN from 15,631

Tameside 12,732 UP from 10,715

Bury 11,789 UP from 10,074



Much of the North West is running just below the bulk of the GM numbers:

Merseyside is still high though - Liverpool way up on 21,250 FROM 16,389, Wirral down a bit to 17,114 ~

Cheshire West up to 16,342 & Cheshire East to 12,206 & High Peak falls to 13.252

The highest NW numbers are still in Greater Manchester.
 
Wait until the effect of 3,000 visiting City fans is factored in. ;-)
Actually last nights numbers if you look a couple of pages back were the worst in a while.

On 2322 - up 1000 on the previous week. THAT is a big number for the North East. One of the smaller of the regions.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

SCOTLAND REPORT THEY ARE INVESTIGATING DESPITE NO KNOWN DATA OR IT ISSUE AS THESE NUMBERS MAKE NO SENSE WITHOUT ONE. THE POSITIVITY RATE SHOULD MEAN FAR MORE CASES THAN REPORTED AND FALLING BY OVER HALF OF LAST WEEK MAKES NO SENSE AS EVERYWHERE ELSE IS UP TODAY. POSITIVITY SUGGESTS OVER 6000 CASES IS MORE LIKE IT.




11 deaths - was 22 last week

2434 cases - was 5155 last week - SEE ABOVE!

13.0% positivity - was 9.1% last week - this alone shows a big fall is hard to believe.

536 patients - was 515 yesterday & 544 last week

40 ventilated - was 37 yesterday & 38 last week


HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE RISING AGAIN
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA


3 deaths - was 4 last week

3231 cases - was 2156 last week - a 50% increase here too. Omicron is now everywhere it seems

16,026 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 14,876 YESTERDAY & 12.166 LAST WEEK - HIGHEST WEEKLY CASES I RECALL

41 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 43 YESTERDAY & 32 LAST WEEK - STARTING TO RISE A BIT AGAIN

261 patients - was 268 yesterday & 315 last week

26 Ventilated - was 26 yesterday & 27 last week

HOSPITAL NUMBERS STILL GOING DOWN DESPITE HIGH CASES

- MOST LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE AGE SPLIT SHOWN IN THE POST BELOW
 
1640185622940.png

A big change - mostly as weekly numbers are well up to 16K

Despite that big jump today there has only been a small rise since yesterday relatively.

The under 20s FALL again from 4532 by 92,

The 20 - 39 age range again by far the biggest rise UP 1015 in 24 hours. And by far the largest now.

40 - 59 is also up by a much lower 168.

60 - 79 again up by 56 and 80 plus up just 3 on 89.

So the percentage of the over 60s testing positive has again fallen despite the numbers rising as they are by such small numbers.

Under 5% of the most vulnerable form these cases and are the ones with high levels of booster immunity.

So the fall in school age testing is only adding to the next younger age group and much less so to the three above that.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

SCOTLAND REPORT THEY ARE INVESTIGATING DESPITE NO KNOWN DATA OR IT ISSUE AS THESE NUMBERS MAKE NO SENSE WITHOUT ONE. THE POSITIVITY RATE SHOULD MEAN FAR MORE CASES THAN REPORTED AND FALLING BY OVER HALF OF LAST WEEK MAKES NO SENSE AS EVERYWHERE ELSE IS UP TODAY. POSITIVITY SUGGESTS OVER 6000 CASES IS MORE LIKE IT.




11 deaths - was 22 last week

2434 cases - was 5155 last week - SEE ABOVE!

13.0% positivity - was 9.1% last week - this alone shows a big fall is hard to believe.

536 patients - was 515 yesterday & 544 last week

40 ventilated - was 37 yesterday & 38 last week


HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE RISING AGAIN
I agree hospital numbers are rising from yesterday, but surely its best to look at trends over one or two weeks not days?
 
ZOE NUMBERS

IN 48 hours predicted cases have risen from 129,970 on Monday to 144,285 today.

Setting a new record every day now.



Total ongoing cases today are 1,477,757 UP in 24 hours by 59,600 FROM 1,418,157

Again obviously as the graph shows a new record acrss the pandemic every day here too.

This rise is increasing daily. It was about 55K yesterday.
Mild symptoms so people not bothering getting tested? Has to be a good thing surely?
 
Mild symptoms so people not bothering getting tested? Has to be a good thing surely?
I suspect that may be it. And people not wanting to self isolate over Christmas. Less so.

But it may well be because it is milder - yes. Though the fear has to be the mixing with older generations in the next week who may not necessarily have the same milder synptoms. We have to hope that they do.

It is that unknown which is what is being awaited as it has less data to test in South Africa as population there is considerably younger on average.
 
I agree hospital numbers are rising from yesterday, but surely its best to look at trends over one or two weeks not days?
That is a key reason why they are waiting I suspect and everyone is asking why they are waiting when the numbers say this or that. Too early to tell is honest but not what people want to hear as Christmas is in the middle and the early call looks good so they just want to get on with it and assume it still will be by New Years Eve.

They may well be right. But might not. If it is still trending after we have basically not locked down in any real way in England then we will know for sure.
 

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