COVID Data Thread

WALES DATA

TWO DAYS - AS USUAL ON MONDAY - SATURDAY & SUNDAY

6 deaths - was 10 last week

4405 cases - was 3969 last week

9.9% positivity - was 9.9% last week

452 patients (Friday) - was 481 last week

45 ventilated (Friday) - was 47 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS - OVER THE WEEKEND

Generally pretty flat on last week and down on 2 weeks ago. No sign as yet of deaths really escalating.

The last date on which over 100 deaths occurred (there were many of them in the preceding weeks) is 8 November &that was on 99 after 5 days and is still just 101 a month later.


SATURDAY:-

81 Deaths With 12 North West:-

Last Week Was 81 wih 13 North West & week before it was 130 with 35 North West & week


SUNDAY:-

20 Deaths With 2 North West:-

Last Week Was 24 with 2 North West & week before 23 with 5 North West


TODAY:-

16 Deaths With 4 North West:-

Last Week Was 14 with 4 North West & week before 20 with 1 North West


TOTAL OVER WEEKEND 117 - WAS 119 LAST WEEK & 173 THE WEEK BEFORE - as I said FLAT!

NORTH WEST ONLY 18 - WAS 19 LAST WEEK & 41 WEEK BEFORE


Every indicator shows a levelling off in the past week after a signifcant drop the week before
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS MORE DETAIL

Over the weekend by Age:

20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (9), 60 - 79 (53), 80 PLUS (54)

By Regions:

East 20, London 7, Midlands 36, NE & Yorkshire 25, North West 15, South East 12, South West 2

Most by trust:- 4 each in Birmingham, Sherwood Forest & York


North West Trusts:-

2 each in East Cheshire, East Lancashire & Manchester AND 1 each in Blackpool,North Lancashire, Liverpool, Pennine Acute, Salford, Stockport,Tameside and Wiirral

The one NW death reported today was in Christie's Manchester.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

*THE DATA ISSUE OVER THE WEEKEND HAS NOW BEEN RESOLVED - MUCH OF THIS IS EXTRA FROM THERE

0 deaths - was 0 last week

3894 cases * - was 2244 last week * See above

12.8% positivity - was 10.7% last week

591 patients - UP 5 on yesterday - was 715 last week

43 ventilated icu - was 45 yesterday & 52 last week -

The hospital data continues to be quite good news and more important than cases going up right now
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA



4 deaths - was 4 last week

1908 cases - was 1464 last week - rather big rise here unfortunately

12,426 WEEKLY CASES FRIDAY & 36 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS:- THESE NUMBERS HAVE NOT BEEN UPDATED FOR SOME REASON SINCE FRIDAY

NOR HAVE THE HOSPITAL NUMBERS - 326 patients & 28 Ventilated

POSSIBLY WILL BE LATER. NO REASON GIVEN.
 
41 all settings deaths (England only up from 21 to 34)

51.459 cases - up 8876 on last Monday

England up 6619 on last Monday (34,906) to 41,525 today.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY



NORTH WEST DOING WELL VERSUS THE SOUTHERN REGIONS WHO HAD THE BIGGEST RISES IN PATIENTS IN LAST FEW DAYS

ENGLAND PATIENTS STILL DOWN WEEK TO WEEK BUT BY A LITTLE LESS THAN IT WAS LAST MONDAY AFTER A HEFTY RISE OF 204 YESTERDAY TO TODAY THAT SPOILED ANOTHERWISE BETTER WEEKEND THAN THE ONE BEFORE.

THIS RISE WAS MADE UP ALMOST ENTIRELY OF BIG RISES IN PATIENT NUMBERS TODAY IN THE SOUTH. LONDON ALONE UP 105 OF THAT 204 INCREASE TODAY.



ADMISSIONS (THURSDAY TO SATURDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

650 THU / 620 FRI / 609 SAT LAST WEEK V THIS WEEKEND (SAME DAYS) 717 THU / 624 FRI / 635 SAT


ALL UP WEEK TO WEEK - TWO WEEKS AGO THESE SAME THREE DAYS WERE 697 / 637 / 611


SO ADMISSIONS ARE NOW RISING AGAIN WHICH IS INEVITABLE AS CASES DO - THOUGH AS YET ONLY MODESTLY




Over the three days the regional admissions last week to this week were:-

London 290 V 340 (UP 50), Midlands 375 V 390 (UP 15), NE & Yorkshire 276 V 266 (DOWN 10) & North West 246 V 238 (DOWN 8)

North West and NE & Yorkshire actually fell by a small number and London and Midlands drove the rise.



PATIENTS FRI/ SAT / SUN / TODAY


5851 / 5784 / 5903 / 5992 Today - Risen by 141 since Friday


Last week's numbers were:

5992 / 5852 / 5890 / 6094 Risen by 102.

And week before

6310 / 6191 / 6322 / 6424 - Risen by 114

You would have to call these numbers pretty flat over the past 3 weekends.


Two weeks ago on Monday the week to week fall was 6864 to 6424 so a fall of 440 week to week.

Last week the fall Monday to Monday was 6424 to 6094 - A FALL OF 330


So this week the Mnday to Monday fall of 6094 to 5992 is 102.



These are clearly falling very slowly and in effect the fall is stalling. It would be suroriasing not to see a small rise next week if the pattern stays as now.




Over weekend:-

REGIONALLY London UP 33 to 1102, Midlands DOWN 4 to 1154, NE & Yorks UP 7 to 954 & NW UP 12 to 796.

So Midlands the only faller now and only just.


Week to week London (UP 3), Midlands (DOWN 4), NE & Yorkshire (DOWN 105), East (DOWN 38), South East (UP 95) , South West (DOWN 15) and North West (DOWN 38) over the last 7 days.

SO WEEK TO WEEK YOERKSHIRE FALL THE MOST BUT NW AND EAST DOWN WELL TOO.




VENTILATORS OVER THE WEEKEND


This weekend (Fri - Mon) the numbers were:

783 - 775 - 770 - 793 - UP 10


Last weekend (Fri - Mon) the numbers were:

796 / 787 / 793 / 793 - DOWN 3


Two weekends ago the numbers were:-

769 / 764 / 776 / 785 - UP 16






So week to week today ventilators are EXACTLY the same. FLAT like most of these numbers.

The previous week to week was UP 8



REGIONALLY over the weekend London has 189 (UP 2), Midlands 157 (UP 3), NE & Yorkshire 112 (DOWN 8) & North West 105 (UP 7)

North West did not have a good weekend but NE & Yorkshire did


NORTH WEST THOUGH IS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK BY 1 FROM 106 TO 105.
 
UK HOSPITAL NUMBERS TODAY



Both up over the weekend by a small amount


PATIENTS:-


ENGLAND 5992, N IRELAND 301, SCOTLAND 591, WALES 456 UK TOTAL 7340 (UP 59)

Scotland and Northern Ireland down - England and Wales up



VENTILATORS:-


ENGLAND 793, N IRELAND 28, SCOTLAND 43, WALES 43 UK TOTAL 907 ( UP 5)


Only England up
 
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NORTH WEST NUMBERS

4261 UP 369 on yesterday & UP 830 from last week's 3431



GREATER MANCHESTER NUMBERS

1669 - UP 101 when the NW is UP by 369 - so a good result for GM on the day under usual numbers as a split of NW.

Week to week GM is UP 437 from 1232 - Over 50% of the 830 NW rise which is above par (the GM split has been around 38/39% lately). So not a great day in this more important measure.

Most boroughs up week to week. Many by quite a lot. In fact only Wigan fell on the week by just 5 and was still second highest scorer behind Manchester.
 
ENGLAND REGIONAL CASES TODAY


REGION / CASES TODAY / UP/DOWN ON YESTERDAY V LAST WEEK



South East 7906 - up from 7874 V 7257

London 6333 - up from 4713 V 5088

East 4778 - up from 4148 V 4753

NORTH WEST 4261 - up from 3892 V 3431

Yorkshire 4189 - up from 3284 V 2532

West Midlands 4183 - up from 3438 V 2943

South West 4077 - down from 4092 V 3854

East Midlands 3730 - up from 3552 V 3149

North East 1038 - down from 1457 V 1358



NB:- ALL THE REGIONS APART FROM LONDON & SOUTH EAST AND NORTH EAST ARE NOW VERY CLOSE TOGETHER NOT SPREAD OUT AS WERE

ALSO IN THE PAST 48 HOURS BOTH LONDON AND SOUTH EAST SURPASSED AT THE SAME TIME THE TOTAL CASE NUMBERS ACROSS THE ENTIRE PANDEMIC REPORTED IN THE NORTH WEST PUSHING NW BACK TO THIRD AFTER BEING TOP FOR 20 MONTHS.

NUMBERS:- SOUTH EAST 1,335,009 LONDON 1,332,069 & NORTH WEST 1,331,093

NO OTHER REGION HAS TOPPED ONE MILLION CASES THOUGH WEST MIDLANDS WILL DO SO IN THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. AND YORKSHIRE BY CHRISTMAS.
 
Bluehammer - Here are the latest Kent numbers as I promised:

Dartord

99 cases (DOWN 11) - Total 19,905 - Daily Pop Score 87 - Pop Score 17,453 - Weekly Pop 515 (UP 29)


Medway

252 cases (UP 43) - Total 46,504 - Daily Pop Score 101 - Pop Score 16,670 - Weekly Pop 612 (UP 31)



Sadly these are going up a lot now and Medway had a three figure Pop rise today and is significantly worse than all of GM with its weekly Pop score rsing into the 600s now.
 
GREATER MANCHESTER SUMMARY TODAY



CASES / CHANGE ON DAY / CHANGE WEEK TO WEEK / POP SCORE RISE / POP SCORE




MANCHESTER 296 / UP 25 / UP 82 / POP 53 / 18,863

WIGAN 186 / UP 32 / DOWN 5 / POP 56 / 18,972

STOCKPORT 182 / UP 1 / UP 28 / POP 62 / 17,726

TRAFFORD 180 / UP 16 / UP 53 / POP 76* / 18,309 * Highest Pop Score today

ROCHDALE 163 / DOWN 22 / UP 74 / POP 72/ 19,418

BOLTON 153 / UP 30 / UP 54 / POP 53 / 18,224

TAMESIDE 140 / UP 5 / UP 34 POP 62 / 18,864

BURY 139 / UP 27 / UP 49 / POP 73 / 18,678

SALFORD 135 / UP 15 / UP 47 / POP 51 / 19,256

OLDHAM 95 / DOWN 28 / UP 21 / POP 40 * / 19,141 * Lowest Pop Score today


WEEKLY POP SCORE TABLE LOWEST (BEST) TO HIGHEST (WORST) / BRACKETS (UP/DOWN IN WEEK)


BOLTON 321 (DOWN 1)

OLDHAM 323 (UP 10)

MANCHESTER 330 (DOWN 6)

SALFORD 404 (DOWN 16)

TAMESIDE 411 (UP 15)

WIGAN 420 (UP 20)

STOCKPORT 421 (UP 24)

ROCHDALE 429 (UP 10)

BURY 445 (UP 56)

TRAFFORD 492 (UP 48)



Almost everyone had a bad day and was up and now 7 out of 10 are back over 400 for first time in many weeks. However, Trafford had the worst and is still top and close to the 500s.

Stockport extended its lead as the lowest Pop Score across the pandemic yet again V Trafford by another 14 today. The gap to Stockport is now 583.

Rochdale extended its lead over Salford (todays lowest Pop) by a whopping 21 in one go to now be the highest across the pandemic by 162
 
WALES DATA


2 deaths - was 4 last week

2107 cases - was 1972 last week

12.3% positivity - was 11.8% last week

453 patients - was 473 last week

43 ventilated - was 48 last week
 
SCOTLAND DATA

*THE DATA ISSUE OVER THE WEEKEND HAS BEEN RESOLVED BUT STILL ADDING CASES TODAY WE ARE TOLD

12 deaths - was 10 last week

3060 cases * - was 2569 last week * See above

9.2% positivity - was 11.5% last week - the drop suggests we may be back to normal tomorrow

576 patients - DOWN 15 on yesterday - was 715 last week

38 ventilated icu - was 43 yesterday & 54 last week -

The hospital data continues to be surprisingly good news and more important than cases right now
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA



5 deaths - was 2 last week

1658 cases - was 1585 last week

12, 516 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 12,426 YESTERDAY & 12,378 LAST WEEK - PRETTY FLAT NUMBERS

32 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 36 YESTERDAY & 31 LAST WEEK

317 patients - was 326 yesterday & 31 last week

28 Ventilated - was 28 yesterday & 25 last week
 
LATEST NORTHERN IRELAND GRAPH SHOWING VISUALLY VERY WELL HOW THE CASES OVER 65 IN THE !2K OR SO PAST SEVEN DAY TOTAL ARE WAY BELOW WHERE THEY WERE PERCENTAGE WISE AND WHY - MUCH YOUNGER PEOPKE ARE BY FARTHE MAJORITY NOW - WHY CASES ARE NOT TRANSLATING INTO HOSPITALISATION AND DEATH AS WAS.


1638888362491.png
 
ANOTHER TAKE ON THIS FROM THE N I DATA TODAY - SHOWING RAW NUMBER IN PASTWEEK MAKING IT EVEN MORE OBVIOUS WHERE CASES ARE FOCUSING AND WHY THEY ARE NOT ENDING UP AS SERIOUS WHEN THE RIGHT HAND NUMBERS WERE MUCH HIGHER. THESE WERE DOUBLE WHAT THEY ARE NOW ON THE RIGHT JUST A FEW WEEKS AGO.


1638888620556.png
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA

It was late today but quite a big jump up - possibly end of month audut as a lot of backdating today:

169 with 23 North West

Was 139 with 15 NW last week & 146 with 14 NW week before

East 16, London 28, Midlands 22. NE & Yorkshire 41,North West 23, South East 26 & South West 13

9 in Buckinghamshire & 8 in Birmingham the most

NW Trusts:

4 in Wigan, 3 each in East Lancashire, Liverpool & Stockport, 2 each in Manchester & Morecambe AND 1 each in Blackpool, Bolton. Nth Lancashire, Pennine Acute, Salford & Wirral

By Age:

20 - 39 (3), 40 - 59 (25), 60 - 79 (79) & 80 PLUS (62)
 
180 All Settings Deaths - was 159 last week

England only

161 - up from 143 last week



45, 691 cases - down from 51,459 yesterday & up from 39,716 last week



England only:

38,866 - down from 41,525 yesterday & up from 33,590 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY



ADMISSIONS SUNDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

728 V 607 LAST WEEK & TWO WEEKS AGO THE NUMBER WAS 648

SO ADMISSIONS AREWELL UP ON SUNDAY ON BOTH PAST WEEKS - NO WONDER PATIENTS ROSE AS THEY DID - ONE OF THE WORST DAYS IN PAST FEW WEEKS




Regional admissions Today V Last Week were:-

London 120 V 106 (UP 14), Midlands 133 V 121 (UP 16), NE & Yorkshire 97 V 89 (UP 8) & North West 83 V 72 (UP 11)

All up but NW still the lowest nmber.


PATIENTS YESTERDAY / TODAY


5992 / 6027 Today - UP by 35 on day.


Last week's numbers were:


6094 / 6123 - UP by 29


Week before the numbers were:


6424/ 6257 - DOWN by 167


So the numbers are pretty flat here but the general trend is upward not downward


Two weeks ago the weekly fall day to day was 6623 to 6257 - A FALL OF 366

Last week the same day to day fall is 6257 to 6123 - A FALL OF 134

Today the fall is 6123 / 6027 - still down but a fall of just 96


THE TRACK IS CLEARLY DOWNWARD WEEK TO WEEK BUT NEXT WEEK MAY NOT BE AT THIS RATE



REGIONALLY DAY TO DAY:-


London UP 32 to 1134, Midlands DOWN 29 to 1167, NE & Yorks DOWN 17 to 937 & NW UP 22 to 818

So only NE & Yorks down today. NW rising for first time in a while.


Week to week London (UP 39), Midlands (UP !0), NE & Yorkshire (DOWN 154), East (DOWN 8), South East (UP 83) , South West (DOWN 7) and North West (DOWN 20) over the last 7 days.

SO WEEK TO WEEK NE & YORKS EASILY FELL THE MOST




VENTILATORS DAY TO DAY


The numbers were:

793 / 779 - DOWN 14


Last week the numbers were:-

793 / 806 - UP 13


Two weekends ago the numbers were:-

785 / 780 - DOWN 5





So week to week today ventilators are DOWN 27

The previous week to week was UP by 26



REGIONALLY London has 192 (UP 3), Midlands 155 (DOWN 2), NE & Yorkshire 108 (DOWN 4) & North West 101 (DOWN 4)

East DOWN 1 to 70 - South West DOWN 2 to 58. South East DOWN 4 to 95.



NORTH WEST IS UP WEEK TO WEEK BY 3 FROM 98 TO 101.

Others:- EAST 81 TO 70, LONDON 185 TO 192, MIDLANDS 169 TO 155, NE & YORKS 137 TO 108, SOUTH EAST 88 TO 95, SOUTH WEST 48 TO 58
 
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