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Australia need to restrict Afghanistan to below 100.

106 will draw them level today, but obviously if England win they'll improve their NRR at least a little, so anything over 100 from Afghanistan here and it's curtains for Australia on the run rate.

They'd realistically need to restrict Afghanistan to 90 to stand a good chance of getting through with England winning tomorrow.
Provided it doesn’t rain (and I believe the forecast is good)
 
Australia need to restrict Afghanistan to below 100.

106 will draw them level today, but obviously if England win they'll improve their NRR at least a little, so anything over 100 from Afghanistan here and it's curtains for Australia on the run rate.

They'd realistically need to restrict Afghanistan to 90 to stand a good chance of getting through with England winning tomorrow.
This isn't technically true, a close win will see our NRR fall. In an NRR situation you have to keep winning at that nett rate to retain it.
 
Australia need to restrict Afghanistan to below 100.

106 will draw them level today, but obviously if England win they'll improve their NRR at least a little, so anything over 100 from Afghanistan here and it's curtains for Australia on the run rate.

They'd realistically need to restrict Afghanistan to 90 to stand a good chance of getting through with England winning tomorrow.

We don't necessarily improve our NRR with a win. It can come down as it's an average. But you're still right overall, they need a big win here to put pressure on us.

The ideal situation for England is bowling first and restricting them and then having a clear steer on when we need to get the runs by so we can play a balanced innings still. Chasing has been England's strength under Morgan but in this tournament we looked a lot better setting the target against NZ than we did chasing Afghanistan and Ireland.
 
We don't necessarily improve our NRR with a win. It can come down as it's an average. But you're still right overall, they need a big win here to put pressure on us.

The ideal situation for England is bowling first and restricting them and then having a clear steer on when we need to get the runs by so we can play a balanced innings still. Chasing has been England's strength under Morgan but in this tournament we looked a lot better setting the target against NZ than we did chasing Afghanistan and Ireland.

let's not forget, Afghanistan could still beat the Aussies here
 
We don't necessarily improve our NRR with a win. It can come down as it's an average. But you're still right overall, they need a big win here to put pressure on us.

The ideal situation for England is bowling first and restricting them and then having a clear steer on when we need to get the runs by so we can play a balanced innings still. Chasing has been England's strength under Morgan but in this tournament we looked a lot better setting the target against NZ than we did chasing Afghanistan and Ireland.
I’m not sure about that.
I thought a win improves NRR whatever but glad to be wrong.
Afghans going ok here :-)
 
Looks like we will just have to defeat Sri Lanka to reach the semis.

I worry about us against their spinners, particularly Hasaranga.
 
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