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bluemc1
Guest
Los
Lose our next 2 and I will start to shit myself
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Do you really believe the league is over...?
- Thread starter Blue Mooner
- Start date
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bluemc1
Guest
Also if we lost it from here I would have to think long and hard about giving up football and leaving the country
If we win the next 2, yes.
9 games left.
At home.
Brighton.
United.
Swansea.
Huddersfield.
Stoke.
Everton.
West Ham.
Spurs.
Southampton.
We can afford to lose 5 out of the last 9 games and still win the league. United have to win every game. One being against us. They play Liverpool as well.
9 games left.
At home.
Brighton.
United.
Swansea.
Huddersfield.
Stoke.
Everton.
West Ham.
Spurs.
Southampton.
We can afford to lose 5 out of the last 9 games and still win the league. United have to win every game. One being against us. They play Liverpool as well.
YaYa's Left Peg
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 13 Dec 2010
- Messages
- 1,478
...and dippers.Rags.
gkmcfc
Well-Known Member
If we win the next 2, yes.
9 games left.
At home.
Brighton.
United.
Swansea.
Huddersfield.
Stoke.
Everton.
West Ham.
Spurs.
Southampton.
We can afford to lose 5 out of the last 9 games and still win the league. United have to win every game. One being against us. They play Liverpool as well.
United haven't won 10 games in a row all season. In fact I don't even think they've done it since Fergie was in charge and this team isn't a patch on any of his previous teams. I reckon 4 or 5 wins will be enough.
Pokes28
Well-Known Member
So look at it like this.
If the Rags win out (won't happen) they can get to 89 points. If Liverpool wins out, they get to 87. We sit at 72 right now. So the current magic number is 18 on the rags and 16 on the victims. Every win/draw by us lowers the number and every draw/loss by them lowers the number.
The math exists that we don't win it, but it would be beyond comprehension. We've dropped 9 points in 27 matches. We only need 18 out of 33 remaining points. We would have to not only drop 15 points, but the rags would have to go on a run unlike anything they've done all year. Their longest winning streak for either of those two is 4 matches (once). So if their last 10 follows the previous 28 for them, we can expect them to drop points at least a couple more times this season. So that is 4 minimum. So the magic number goes from 18 to 14. So that even lowers the bar for City to a point that we could still drop as many as 19 more points and still win it. But remember the team has only dropped 9 points. That is 1 point per 3 matches played on average.
If the Rags win out (won't happen) they can get to 89 points. If Liverpool wins out, they get to 87. We sit at 72 right now. So the current magic number is 18 on the rags and 16 on the victims. Every win/draw by us lowers the number and every draw/loss by them lowers the number.
The math exists that we don't win it, but it would be beyond comprehension. We've dropped 9 points in 27 matches. We only need 18 out of 33 remaining points. We would have to not only drop 15 points, but the rags would have to go on a run unlike anything they've done all year. Their longest winning streak for either of those two is 4 matches (once). So if their last 10 follows the previous 28 for them, we can expect them to drop points at least a couple more times this season. So that is 4 minimum. So the magic number goes from 18 to 14. So that even lowers the bar for City to a point that we could still drop as many as 19 more points and still win it. But remember the team has only dropped 9 points. That is 1 point per 3 matches played on average.
Sir Joe Aguero
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 9 Feb 2012
- Messages
- 3,153
All piss-easy games except for us and Liverpool.United haven't won 10 games in a row all season. In fact I don't even think they've done it since Fergie was in charge and this team isn't a patch on any of his previous teams. I reckon 4 or 5 wins will be enough.
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worsleyweb
Guest
All piss-easy games except for us and Liverpool.
Palace away on a Monday night is far from piss easy.
Cobwebcat
Well-Known Member
Likely end of season points to nearest 10th of a point
City 96.0
Liverpool 78.3
United 78.3
Spurs 76.5
Chelsea 71.2
Arsenal 65.0
Percentage chance of City winning league 99.9
Most likely points total required to win 79
Current points 72
Statistically and on average only 7 more points will do it.
City 96.0
Liverpool 78.3
United 78.3
Spurs 76.5
Chelsea 71.2
Arsenal 65.0
Percentage chance of City winning league 99.9
Most likely points total required to win 79
Current points 72
Statistically and on average only 7 more points will do it.