Expected Goals + Assists this Season in the EPL

[WallyA]

How can you predict anything that's going to happen right down to numbers of goals and assists? seems nonsense to me

It's based on large amounts of data and attaches a weighting to chances created and goals scored.

It is data, it's not perfect, but it's the best thing we have in football to determine how good a team or player is/has been, for example:

Against Wolverhampton we won 3-0, the data said after the match the expected goals was:

Man City 3.12 to Wolves 0.10 That's shockingly accurate, it's not always this good but over a long period of time (or minutes) it is quite accurate, here's another:

In the premier league we have scored 59 goals, the expected goals were 54.87, so 93% accurate

We have conceded 17 goals, the expected goals were 17.40, so 98-99% accurate

 

[without a dream]

It's based on large amounts of data and attaches a weighting to chances created and goals scored.

It is data, it's not perfect, but it's the best thing we have in football to determine how good a team or player is/has been, for example:

Against Wolverhampton we won 3-0, the data said after the match the expected goals was:

Man City 3.12 to Wolves 0.10 That's shockingly accurate, it's not always this good but over a long period of time (or minutes) it is quite accurate, here's another:

In the premier league we have scored 59 goals, the expected goals were 54.87, so 93% accurate

We have conceded 17 goals, the expected goals were 17.40, so 98-99% accurate

Yeah it should be used to point to trends and over a season rather than on a match by match basis really.

 

[UUJblue]

Good post. The sort of data the bookie use or a certain leeds manager. Jesus has a good return due to opponents and time on the pitch.