Proof that the scum haven't played anyone was in today's Times Fink Tank article.
I reproduce it verbatim
How worried should you be if you are a Manchester United fan? Manchester City are above you in the table. But is that real, or just one of those early-season things?
The case for keeping calm is a good one. Look at the Fink Tank ratings, a measure of enduring class, and you will see United far ahead. Look at the long-term season probabilities and again United are ahead. But in those statistics are some worrying pieces of data.
First, even this early in the season, United have only a 10 per cent chance of winning the title. Second, look at the graph of strength over time and it is obvious — particularly when looking at defensive strength — that City are closing the gap.
And finally, consider the Fink Tank’s basic logic — money and points are related. When City were taken over, the Fink Tank argued that it would take time for them to reach the top and that was right. On the other hand, their money is bound to tell in the end.
Then there is the league table. Forget the future, what about now? Dr Henry Stott, Dr Ian Graham and Chen Jin have been turning the newspaper upside down, and looking through from the opposite page to view the league positions from a different angle. One way of seeing how clubs are doing is to see whether they are performing better than we expected at this stage. Blackpool, for instance, have scored 4.9 points more than we thought they would, while Liverpool have 6.4 fewer points.
United are 1.6 points behind their expected tally, City 3.7 points above it. That puts City second in the overperforming/underperforming table and United twelfth. But an even better method is suggested in a paper by James Keener employing the Perron-Frobenius theorem (don’t ask).
This involves taking each team’s wins, then adding all of the points of the teams they beat, then all the points of the teams beaten by the team they beat, and so on. Eventually the result becomes stable and you can stop. Now you do the same with defeats, subtracting not only defeats but all the points lost by the team they lost to, and so on.
This produces a league table adjusted for the difficulties of the matches you faced. It gives a team more credit for beating the more difficult teams and means that the table is not distorted by the quality of the opposition.
And the bad news for the United fans? City are well ahead of them. The schedule has flattered United. City’s defeat of Chelsea has propelled them up the table.
How worried should you be? I’d say, really quite reasonably worried, on balance, taking one thing with another. I think.