How many points will be needed to win the league? (74 GD)

How many points will be needed to win the league?

  • 81 - 85

    Votes: 671 67.0%
  • 76 - 80

    Votes: 280 28.0%
  • 70 - 75

    Votes: 50 5.0%

  • Total voters
    1,001
  • Poll closed .
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Putting this year aside...

I got to wondering... what, mathematically, is the least number of points necessary to possibly win a 38-game P/L title?
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If one side wins and another loses, 3 points are generated.
Whereas, if a draw occurs, only 2 points are generated.

So, the least total number of points would accrue to the league if every team drew every match they played.

Should every team in the league somehow draw all of their 38 games, then each team is on 38 points. Some sort of procedure would then be necessary in this extremely unlikely eventuality to decide upon the winner.

So 38 points, are the least possible to win the league (assuming that no additional points were awarded to break ties).

If one were to rule out point ties, then the least number of points to win the league must be 37 plus one win at some point in the season for a total of 40.

Ironically, the 40-point mark traditionally touted as the minimum to afford near certainty against relegation is also the least number of points necessary to win the league outright!
If every game was a 0-0 draw...except 1, which was a 1-1 draw, those two teams would be #1 & #2, and listed alphabetically. To break the tie, there would be a play off game. Simples.

Now, simply extrapolate that for the European positions! (i.e. a 3-3 tie for #1 & #2, 2-2 tie for #3 & #4, 1-1 tie for #5 & #6)
 
Wish I could be like that. I'm relaxed in the league. Got plenty of games, plenty of opportunities and we only need 3 or 4 wins.

This month is madness. I'll be shitting it in both Dortmund games, the FA Cup semi and the league cup semi.

I don't even really care about the league cup but now we're in the final I'll be so nervous for the whole game. I love the FA Cup so that will be intense. And I'm desperate for us to win the CL because we can tell the whole of UEFA and all the other muppets who think we'll never win it to fuck off then. It's the one we haven't won. We need to win it and go parade it on a bus and fucking drop it and run it over.

I always wanna win everything, but if you get knocked out early of cup competitions then I am usually ok. Apart from the FA Cup.

Definitely wanna beat Spurs in the final, feel like we owe them one still for 1981.
 
Anyone who thinks this group of players is going to throw it away from here is a prisoner to another era in this club‘s history.
Any number of this group could have to isolate, come back with covid and be ill, come back with covid and spread it through the squad, or come back injured after this ridiculous international break. Hundreds, if not thousands, of club bubbles are being broken and mixing with each other during a pandemic; and there are three games/270 minutes where potential injuries could happen.

This international break could ruin our entire season (I’m more ‘worried’* about the Cups than I am the Prem, but you never know what might happen with any of it!)

*worrying is the wrong word, more just angry about this international break and it’s threat to what we’ve got in front of us. I can’t quite believe it’s going ahead!
 
12 out of a maximum of 24 at the moment - a total of 83 points.
Plus a Utd or Leicester full house. One of them will drop at least 2 points as they play each other on 11th May.
Maybe both. But if the league isn't over by then, we've had a mare.
 
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