How many points will be needed to win the league? (74 GD)

[Champions Again Ole Ole]

You are carol vordaman and I claim my £5, brilliant maths

I sense sarcasm but I meant if we beat them 2 teams, we only need 10 total, not 12, so it will be 8 more.

 

[chaddblue]

As well as coming to the Etihad, the Rags have got to travel to Chelsea, Spurs, Leeds, Villa and Wolves... and still have to play the dippers and Leicester at home

They're dropping plenty of points in that lot

 

[NMB]

City. 85
Lcfc.75
CFC. 74
Mufc 74

 

[Brightwell Bros.]

As well as coming to the Etihad, the Rags have got to travel to Chelsea, Spurs, Leeds, Villa and Wolves... and still have to play the dippers and Leicester at home

They're dropping plenty of points in that lot

And have you seen Leicester's last three games?!

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Im going to revise it down to 80 now.

 

[abu13]

I like to look at numbers once you get through into the 2nd half of the season, it gives a true reflection of where teams are.

Leicester and the Rags are the two teams best positioned to catch us and at present their PPG puts them on target to get 73 points, lets assume one of them has a strong run in and gets to 80 points. This means them getting 34 points from the 42 that remain. To do this they would have to match our points per game that we have managed so far this season. Even then for us to lose the title race we would have to finish on 79 points assuming that they some how pull back our goal difference.

So they would need us to fall apart to such an extent that we only gain a maximum of 26 points from our final 15 games, in effect gaining just 1.666 points per game, this is pretty much where Tottenham and Villa are currently.

Don't forget that this is based on them getting to 80 points and I can't see either getting there considering they have to play each other and us yet.

My guess is 78 points will be enough to win the league this year, so 25 points to go.
Eight wins and a draw from the last 15 games.

 

[waspish]

We are going to get 85 points minimum, so rags/Leicester would virtually have to win every game from now, which neither are capable of. The title race is over, we’ve won it.

What if our team get covid we have to postpone games then play them later and play a game every two days. It ain’t over till it’s over with the season being so unpredictable with covid.

We have players going ball over the world for international games soon as well.

 

[DenisLawBackHeel74]

Slowly slowly catchy monkey.

What’s Bale got to do with this ?

 

[Xhavenjoe]

. It ain’t over till it’s over with the season being so unpredictable with covid

Were the only team left in all competitions as well.
We know at this stage we have more than any other team.It will really help us if our nearest challengers continue to drop points.

 

[N1985]

Beat Leicester and the Rags and I reckon we could take the last 6 weeks off and still win it

 

[DenisLawBackHeel74]

City. 85
Lcfc.75
CFC. 74
Mufc 74

That’s a good shout, I can also see chelsea doing well

 

[M12Blue]

I like to look at numbers once you get through into the 2nd half of the season, it gives a true reflection of where teams are.

Leicester and the Rags are the two teams best positioned to catch us and at present their PPG puts them on target to get 73 points, lets assume one of them has a strong run in and gets to 80 points. This means them getting 34 points from the 42 that remain. To do this they would have to match our points per game that we have managed so far this season. Even then for us to lose the title race we would have to finish on 79 points assuming that they some how pull back our goal difference.

So they would need us to fall apart to such an extent that we only gain a maximum of 26 points from our final 15 games, in effect gaining just 1.666 points per game, this is pretty much where Tottenham and Villa are currently.

Don't forget that this is based on them getting to 80 points and I can't see either getting there considering they have to play each other and us yet.

My guess is 78 points will be enough to win the league this year, so 25 points to go.
Eight wins and a draw from the last 15 games.

That post has made me go all weak at the knees

 

[Brewster's millions]

As well as coming to the Etihad, the Rags have got to travel to Chelsea, Spurs, Leeds, Villa and Wolves... and still have to play the dippers and Leicester at home

They're dropping plenty of points in that lot

The more games we win in the next couple of weeks, the fewer we’ll need overall - I can see the others dropping even more points if we can stretch the lead to 10 or 12 points as they’ll lose hope. If we can win the next three, we may only need another 4/5 wins after that.

 

[Sir peace frog]

All ifs buts and maybes, Everton on Wednesday, we need to win, that is all we can think about

 

[Vienna_70]

All ifs buts and maybes, Everton on Wednesday, we need to win, that is all we can think about

As Pep says, one game at a time,.

 

[jrb]

I’ve always thought if we could win these 7 games in February, we could be PL champions.

Burnley A won.
Liverpool A won.
Spurs H won.
Everton A.
Arsenal A.
West Ham H.
United H.

After those games we have Leicester and Villa away, and Chelsea at home. They are our hardest remaining games left.

 

[Deleted member 77198]

It's not over till we get the points

Spot on!

 

[@BluePhil8]

City. 85
Lcfc.75
CFC. 74
Mufc 74

No chance is there only 10 points in it. I’d say 15 absolute minimum but more likely 20.

 

[FrankSwift1]

Not counting my chickens yet. But I think 76pts will be enough to win it this season based on form of everyone else. Leicester are the biggest threat in my opinion but I still don't see them getting more than 75pts.

If United or Leicester could win 10 games from 14, it would be a fantastic return from either of them. This is form that neither are in, or shown to be capable of. Fuck it, let’s be extra kind and throw in a couple of draws for them as well. This unbelievable form for either of them, gets them to 78 (SEVENTY EIGHT) points. There is absolutely no way on planet earth that we don’t collect another 26 points from 15 games to top their totals.

What the other sides do is now largely irrelevant, no other side can win it now. Only City can throw it away, and I am 100% confident we won’t do that.

Agree with both posters above.

I cant see Leicester going on a sustained winning run so our or realistic challenges are Utd. If they go on a fantasic run in their last 14 games. Say W10 D3 L1 that would take them to 79 points. We only need 27 points from 16 games. So something like. 8w 3d 6l but thats best case scenario from a Utd perspective.

I think they will finish around 75 points. So we need 7w 3d 5l to win the league.

As an example if we copy our first 12 games up to the west brom game. 5w 5d 2l we would have 73 points with 3 games to go.

We are massive favourites and SHOULD win it with 3 4 games to spare.

 

[west didsblue]

All ifs buts and maybes, Everton on Wednesday, we need to win, that is all we can think about

We don’t need to win it but a ten point gap would probably make Leicester and United subconsciously think it’s hopeless. A seven or eight point gap after Wednesday isn’t too shabby though.