How many points will be needed to win the league? (74 GD)

[East Level 2]

The rags got giddy in January when they thought they were wining the league, so they would be unbearable in our situation

I take your point but technically rags are always unbearable.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

Are they not technically champions until someone else has won it as opposed to them having lost it?

No.

 

[aguero93:20]

Are they not technically champions until someone else has won it as opposed to them having lost it?

They're the champions of last season, they relinquished being champions when they could no longer win it this season.

 

[foggy1974]

I take your point but technically rags are always unbearable.

Thought they were mainly back in hibernation under their rocks

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

They're the champions of last season

I prefer 'former champions'

 

[Deleted member 81382]

For anyone that hates Spurs;-

View attachment 13679

Everton can't catch us now either now after their draw against Palace.

Well, technically they can still get 74 points but something tells me they're not going to overturn a goal difference of +42.

 

[cheekybids]

I prefer 'former champions'

ive got a feeling they’ll be describing them as former champions for years.

 

[Andy TheCatalyst Morrison]

So majority are 150/1 for United and you can get 1/1000 on City?

There’s a margin there for someone.

It's actually not as big a margin as it might appear.

For the bookies to have to pay out £1000 on City, someone would have to bet £999 (or near as dammit). For them to have to pay out £1000 on a scum win, someone would have to bet £6.66.

Adding together £999 and £6.66 = £1005.66 for a guaranteed payout of £1000, giving an "expected profit" of £5.66, which equates to a profit margin of 0.566%.

Obviously this is a simplified scenario as we're ignoring all other teams but I wouldn't have thought that would make much difference in this situation.

Guess who used to be a bookie?!

 

[Blue and still suffering]

Everton can't catch us now either now after their draw against Palace.

Well, technically they can still get 74 points but something tells me they're not going to overturn a goal difference of +42.

Only need two points for a top four finish. Chelsea can still reach 75 points current goal difference is plus 29 in our favour

 

[Xhavenjoe]

For the bookies to have to pay out £1000 on City, someone would have to bet £999 (or near as dammit). For them to have to pay out £1000 on a scum win, someone would have to bet £6.66.

Adding together £999 and £6.66 = £1005.66 for a guaranteed payout of £1000, giving an "expected profit" of £5.66, which equates to a profit margin of 0.566%.

You said for the bookies to have to pay out £1000 on City, someone would have to bet £999 (or near as dammit)

For the bookies to pay out £1000 on City, would a punter not have to put a bet of 1000 x £1000 or am I reading it wrong

 

[Deleted member 81382]

Only need two points for a top four finish. Chelsea can still reach 75 points current goal difference is plus 29 in our favour

One more win would also secure a top three finish as West Ham can only get 76.

 

[Grassland Blue]

This thread will be discarded to the recycle bin in a couple of weeks , the Rags will lose to Spursy and Leeds and we will beat Leeds and Villa then everyone can relax and look forward to Pep giving Mourinho a lesson at Wembley and sweet revenge for 1981.
My glass isnt half full , its overflowing :)

We could also do a repeat of the F.A. Cup final against Leicester...

 

[oakiecokie]

We could also do a repeat of the F.A. Cup final against Leicester...

I was there that day Nelly Young blasted it in and that was my first time at Wembley.

 

[Blue and still suffering]

One more win would also secure a top three finish as West Ham can only get 76.

West Ham play Leicester next weekend, if West Ham win and we beat Leeds we are virtually guaranteed at least second place or joint top in United's world.

 

[Grassland Blue]

I want to know which 4 teams out of the 7 left to play could beat us?
Other than Chelski (unlikely) who?

 

[Deleted member 81382]

I want to know which 4 teams out of the 7 left to play could beat us?
Other than Chelski (unlikely) who?

If we do slip up it'll probably be more due to heavy rotation and having one eye on the cup competitions as opposed to a team being better than us. I know Pep's approach is to take one game at a time but it's only natural that he would devote more of his time and attention to a League Cup final, an FA Cup semi-final and Champions League knockout games. That could potentially lead to a couple of poor results but not enough to allow United to get close to us.

 

[PhdWave]

If we do slip up it'll probably be more due to heavy rotation and having one eye on the cup competitions as opposed to a team being better than us. I know Pep's approach is to take one game at a time but it's only natural that he would devote more of his time and attention to a League Cup final, an FA Cup semi-final and Champions League knockout games. That could potentially lead to a couple of poor results but not enough to allow United to get close to us.

United have spurs away next..hopefully they drop some points and we can wrap it up with two wins (if united drop and we vs leeds). But spurs are utter wank these days so can't count on them either..

 

[mccity]

I will reiterate what I've said a few times now. If United were to win every game between now and the end of the season in the league, City would still have to go on a run of form that would be comfortably our worst ever under Pep to still fail to win the title.

 

[Corky]

I want to know which 4 teams out of the 7 left to play could beat us?
Other than Chelski (unlikely) who?

West Brom cost us points, nothing is certain. We can finish 2nd without losing a game. Any game could cost points.

We struggled against SU twice. Win the next 3 it will probably be done, but none are easy.

 

[SWP's back]

It's actually not as big a margin as it might appear.

For the bookies to have to pay out £1000 on City, someone would have to bet £999 (or near as dammit). For them to have to pay out £1000 on a scum win, someone would have to bet £6.66.

Adding together £999 and £6.66 = £1005.66 for a guaranteed payout of £1000, giving an "expected profit" of £5.66, which equates to a profit margin of 0.566%.

Obviously this is a simplified scenario as we're ignoring all other teams but I wouldn't have thought that would make much difference in this situation.

Guess who used to be a bookie?!

I’m gonna say it was you.