A nice analysis of the goal amounts, never really thought of it like that before, seems quite a reasonable guide.Well Rodrigo is a better player, but hasn't exactly been a renowned goalscorer. He might be one of those like Michu who has a redhot introduction and that is enough.
I tend to go for the view that if a striker comes up from the Championship you have to divide his Championship goals by about a third to get his predicted PL output, and maybe halve it if he's already played in the Prem before.
So Pukki had 29 in the championship, 11 in the Prem, about right.
Abraham went from 25 to 15, so about 60% but he's a Chelsea prodigy and had other Championship loans and went straight into a top 4 team all season which Championship promoted sides don't do.
Maupay went from 25 to 10 and quite a lot of the others like McBurnie, Rodriguez and Adams have come in and done less.
so for me, Mitrovic and Watkins if he goes to Villa, you're looking 26 goals in the Championship so 10-12 in the Prem, Mitrovic got 11 last time in the Prem so about right. Bamford only got 16 last season so you're looking 6-8 which wouldn't be unreasonable, so really they need another 15-20 goals from somewhere. You can see why they were after Cavani.
Last edited: