This is true on the surface, but they have had an unprecedented amount of luck.
- In 4 games, goalies have basically gifted them wins. That's 8 points.
- Milner 2 yards offside at West Ham - 1 more point
- Morrison's miss yesterday. They might have won anyway, but it could have gone down to the wire
- Variety of other ref gifts; e.g. Fulham at Anfield, soft penalties, refusal to give free kicks unless the opposition players are mugged.
I'd say that adds up to at least 10-12 points they should not have had. In fact the Expected Points analysis pretty much shows that. Without any of that, we are coasting to a repeat title.