Newcastle (H) - Sun 8th May, 16:30 | Pre-Match Thread

Match Result Prediction


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Nowhere near as good, do people actually believe that?

I hate the dippers with a passion, but I can concede they are a great team and, I believe, very very close to us

They are a great team they are very very good but we saw in the two league games this season we are actually much better than they are, yes we didn't win either game but we should have won both. I think our style of play is better & I honestly do believe VAR propels them on a regular basis.
 
Maybe if they'd been dropping points and we'd dropped more, but we've only dropped 8 since Christmas that isn't unnacceptable it's pretty good. Just that they haven't dropped a single point since Christmas apart from against us. Thats exceptional and matches our run that built the lead in the first place.
how did we use 8 points again ? we lost 1 and drew 2 - wouldn't that be 7 ?
 
They are a great team they are very very good but we saw in the two league games this season we are actually much better than they are, yes we didn't win either game but we should have won both. I think our style of play is better & I honestly do believe VAR propels them on a regular basis.

Its the ref decisions on the pitch Liverpool benefit from the most. The refs favour them loads and VAR just hide behind the clear and obvious line, some very clear pens not given against them throughout the season.

The one thing VAR are clearly favouring them over in all comps are those tight offsides, they are getting goals given for them that if they were against them they are disallowed. There will be more but the examples off the top of my head are Sterling and Lukaku goals are given offside. While Mane in the semi final off the cl and Jota in the FAC vs Forest are given onside.
 
Its the ref decisions on the pitch Liverpool benefit from the most. The refs favour them loads and VAR just hide behind the clear and obvious line, some very clear pens not given against them throughout the season.

The one thing VAR are clearly favouring them over in all comps are those tight offsides, they are getting goals given for them that if they were against them they are disallowed. There will be more but the examples off the top of my head are Sterling and Lukaku goals are given offside. While Mane in the semi final off the cl and Jota in the FAC vs Forest are given onside.

Don't forget the leg breakers they get away with game after game. I've seen 4 or 5 in the last couple of weeks alone.
 
He’s attending the 93:20 lunch on Friday 13th at the Etihad alongside other players from that team.
Can't believe it's been a decade already.

We've had some great moments since then but nothing will ever eclipse 93:20.
 
Don't forget the leg breakers they get away with game after game. I've seen 4 or 5 in the last couple of weeks alone.
True, but the scouser's just ignore all this, because they have Dermott Gallagher on sky every week explaining why every dodgy decision for Liverpool was correct.
 
Is he staying for Friday night though?
Do we know any more info about this? I spoke to City on the phone last night and the bloke didn't have a clue whether it was at Mayfield Depot or the Academy stadium!
 
Nowhere near as good, do people actually believe that?

I hate the dippers with a passion, but I can concede they are a great team and, I believe, very very close to us

In terms of the danger offered by their front three, I don't think there's much possible argument — they're better than us.
As a team, we're better than them, when we are all actually functioning as a team (which we inexplicably stopped doing for about six disastrous minutes on Wednesday evening, still can't get my head round it honestly).
 
% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)
 
% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)
What's the source for these percentage stats?
 
What's the source for these percentage stats?

There are lots of sites that will give you these sort of stats and bookies are probably the best, particularly someone like Pinnacle, as they have the advantage of knowing about injuries etc.

In terms of analytical prediction sites 538 is usually the best predictor and the one I like best click on “matches”

 
% chances of a win in remaining fixtures including Newcastle

CITY
Newcastle 84%
Wolves 77%
West Ham 65%
Villa 70%

Liverpool
Spurs 67%
Villa 61%
Southampton 75%
Wolves 79%

So we have the advantage next two games and they have it for the last two.

Contrary to what most people think the highest chance of dropped points of all the games is Villa away for Liverpool (unless Gerrard helps them!)
I don’t expect Liverpool to drop points, but if they do I think it’s most likely to be at Southampton. It’s a night match. It’s Southampton’s final home game of the season. They have 10 days preparation time compared to Liverpool’s 3. It’s a free hit for them, no pressure to win but the chance to finish the home season on a high.
 
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