Next 3 League Games - Expectations? | The Last 3 Games (Page 51)

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Spot on. Indeed, I did a bit of maths after the derby and this seems an appropriate place to share the results.

If we get 44 points from our last 22 games, we finish on 90 points, and never has that total failed to clinch the title (89 failed once, and hugely entertaining it was, too, as readers may remember!). Anyway, two points per game from now on is the equivalent of 76 points across a whole season, which these days invariably doesn't even get a team all that close to the title. And 44 points from 22 games would be achieved with a record of, for instance, W - 13 D - 5 L - 4. So that would be a team that's failed to win only a single league game by mid-December slipping up in over 40% of the remaining matches - I reckon that's a fairly conservative contingency built in for fatigue and injuries resulting from fixture pile-ups.

To match us on the hypothetical 90 points, the Rags would have to claim 55 points from now on (and they'd still need to make up a goal difference deficit of 12 to deny us the title). That's 2.5 points per game - equivalent to 95 points over a season, which is the seasonal record tally for 38 games that Mourinho's Chelsea set over a decade ago. The others in the top six would have even more hurculean tasks - most of all Spurs, who have dropped points in half their 16 games so far but would need to win 20 and draw two out of their last 22 matches to reach us on the hypothetical 90, making up a goal difference deficit of 23 in the process.

I suppose you never know, and like many of us who loved through the eighties and nineties, I'm a real old-school blue pessimist. As such, I'm not going to start banging on about the title being won - it isn't - but, bloody hell, we aren't half in a fantastic position already.

That's a good analysis, every win now is making it harder and harder for the chasers and pretty soon their attention will turn to each other in the almighty scrap that will ensue over Champions League spots!
 
They just blew 2 points v Everton & are mies away from even dreaming about a title challenge.

Not a cat in hell's chance whatsoever of fighting for anything in the Prem but top 4.
Yup I know, and the afcon cup is coming up and they collapse in fear if Mane isnt available, nonetheless the form they have at the moment is title challenging and I think they might eclipse Utd this year and be there at the end if they get the luck and buy right in Jan.
 
Yup I know, and the afcon cup is coming up and they collapse in fear if Mane isnt available, nonetheless the form they have at the moment is title challenging and I think they might eclipse Utd this year and be there at the end if they get the luck and buy right in Jan.
Spot on. Indeed, I did a bit of maths after the derby and this seems an appropriate place to share the results.

If we get 44 points from our last 22 games, we finish on 90 points, and never has that total failed to clinch the title (89 failed once, and hugely entertaining it was, too, as readers may remember!). Anyway, two points per game from now on is the equivalent of 76 points across a whole season, which these days invariably doesn't even get a team all that close to the title. And 44 points from 22 games would be achieved with a record of, for instance, W - 13 D - 5 L - 4. So that would be a team that's failed to win only a single league game by mid-December slipping up in over 40% of the remaining matches - I reckon that's a fairly conservative contingency built in for fatigue and injuries resulting from fixture pile-ups.

To match us on the hypothetical 90 points, the Rags would have to claim 55 points from now on (and they'd still need to make up a goal difference deficit of 12 to deny us the title). That's 2.5 points per game - equivalent to 95 points over a season, which is the seasonal record tally for 38 games that Mourinho's Chelsea set over a decade ago. The others in the top six would have even more hurculean tasks - most of all Spurs, who have dropped points in half their 16 games so far but would need to win 20 and draw two out of their last 22 matches to reach us on the hypothetical 90, making up a goal difference deficit of 23 in the process.

I suppose you never know, and like many of us who loved through the eighties and nineties, I'm a real old-school blue pessimist. As such, I'm not going to start banging on about the title being won - it isn't - but, bloody hell, we aren't half in a fantastic position already.

If we get most of the points on the board for another month or so, .Mourinho, Conte, Klopp will start tossing off league games in favour of the Champs Lg etc.
 
If we can keep up a top 2-3 level points haul over Christmas & New Year, the other teams will start prioriitising the other competitions.

Tbf they will still prioritise the league, as its top 4 which is paramount for the six big clubs. No way do any of them relax in the league.
 
Win all or most of our league games to 2nd of Jan and this is bizarrely almost done deal win and lose 50 per cent would be enough spuds failed to win on 12 occasions last year and came 2nd
 
Yup I know, and the afcon cup is coming up and they collapse in fear if Mane isnt available, nonetheless the form they have at the moment is title challenging and I think they might eclipse Utd this year and be there at the end if they get the luck and buy right in Jan.
There is no African Cup coming up.
 
Tbf they will still prioritise the league, as its top 4 which is paramount for the six big clubs. No way do any of them relax in the league.

They will rest players in the league games if they have big Champs Lg games during busy spells & hope to get away with it, as Mourinho did last season with the Europa.

Edit: and Spurs did, playing Kane v Real Madrid rather than v rags.
 
That's a good analysis, every win now is making it harder and harder for the chasers and pretty soon their attention will turn to each other in the almighty scrap that will ensue over Champions League spots!
This is key, the games amongst the others, many points yet to be dropped.

Our "play the next game" attitude will take us to places other teams haven't been.
 
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