BobKowalski
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 17 May 2007
- Messages
- 20,331
I'm not sure really. On the one hand, I think you're right and that the Tories would lose the next election if held any time soon. But on the other hand, I reflect on the fact that they still polled more votes and got significantly more seats than Corbyn, whilst running the most ludicrously awful campaign with a leader who was shockingly bad. Patch up the manifesto and throw a few vote winning goodies in there; replace May with someone vaguely appealing, and who knows.
And whilst there's clearly no public appetite for another vote on anything any time soon (with the relentless media bore fest it entails), I think as time progresses, things will likely get worse for the Tories, not better. The economy is stalling as a result of Brexit, which doesn't help at all. And it is inconceivable that the Brexit negotiations will go swimmingly, let alone go so well that no mud can be thrown by those with a political angle and an eye to do damage.
I think their best hope is to try to hang on until 2022, when hopefully Brexit is done and behind us, and there's something positive to campaign around. Whether they can hold out that long is another matter altogether.
Corbyn hit the sweet spot. Fatally damaging May and leaving the Tories to try make something out of the shit show that is the Brexit negotiations from a much weakened position. All Corbyn has to do is tend his allotment and take pot shots from the safety of the sidelines. It's noticeable that there have been Tory calls for a cross party consensus on Brexit and present a 'common view' ie please share the pain with us so that we can blame you entirely when it goes tits.