Predictions on the referendum

Done a fair bit of travelling in the last few weeks and it seems to me there is a much stronger vocal Brexit presence the further south you go.

I predict a much higher turnout in the south. For a lot of people in the North West London and Parliament seem pretty distant. They probably don't see much difference between London and Brussels.
 
willy eckerslike said:
I was talking with my dad at the weekend and he was saying he has never spoken to anyone since, and no-one he knows knows anyone, who voted to stay in the Common Market back in 1975, yet it was a landslide 'stay' victory.

I reckon it will be 60-40 in favour of remain because we obviously have a large proportion of boring, lily-livered and easily scared members of the population. I just hope it's raining heavily on the day and most of these lot stay at home.
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Just shows how unreliable anecdotal evidence is.

I voted to remain in 1975. I knew no one who didn't back then.
 
I stick with my original forecast of 75% Brexit.

And the country will be fucked.
 
I've got a (horrible) feeling that leave will win. Any polls I have seen suggest leave is marginally ahead and judging by the people I know I would say it is going to be too close to call. The odds at the bookies are strange though, completely contradict the polls and they don't even seem to think it'll be particularly close. Generally around 2-1 exit and 1-2 remain, I put 100 quid on exit yesterday, looks a decent bet that to me at the moment.
 
aguero93:20 said:
Don't think he'll ever get there with the predicted split, a lot of his supporters will end up in new conservative.
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That won't happen. For all the Tories faults, they know what to do to remain in power.

Also remain will win 52-48.
 
I think the Brexit voters will bottle in the main on the day. The scaremongering (or the sharing of real concerns, I can't decide) by the in-campaign will see to it that those who are on the fence will simply be too afraid to upset the apple cart

IMHO
 
Lancet Fluke said:
Who do you think is going to rig the vote and what method do you think they will use?
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Same one they used in Scotland?

Seriously, if its very close we could have our version of Florida 2000. Hope there are no hanging chads and the judges are on standby.
 
cibaman said:
Same one they used in Scotland?

Seriously, if its very close we could have our version of Florida 2000. Hope there are no hanging chads and the judges are on standby.
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Sorry, I didn't realise the vote in Scotland had been rigged, I just thought that was the claims of a load of bitter jocks who couldn't accept the vote didn't go their way.
 
The remains are made up of gravy train riding, fat cat vested interests and timid sheeple who believe everything the powers that be tell them... sadly I think their numbers are high enough to see them scrape a win
 
jacko74 said:
The remains are made up of gravy train riding, fat cat vested interests and timid sheeple who believe everything the powers that be tell them... sadly I think their numbers are high enough to see them scrape a win
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Indeed, and the exit voters are made up of racists and idiots who believe everything Boris Johnson tells them. It's going to be close.
 
gordondaviesmoustache said:
I believe this deserves a separate thread, as it's an entirely different issue.

How do you think the vote will end up later this month?

I reckon it's going to be mighty close, but I think (and I might be a little biased) 'remain' will edge it by a couple of percent.

How do you see it panning out?
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I think that's about right, maybe even slightly bigger majority for remain, maybe 54/46 something like that.
 
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