Premier League Champions Calculation

[mcfcirlam]

There are 2 questions that need answering, I have given an example

1. How many points are needed to be Champions 80

2. How many points will we drop at home None

OK, we need 19 points more from 13 away games.

We have WBA, Southampton and Fulham left this year. If we win these 3, based on above we will need 10 points from 10 games in the New Year.

Please feel free to change the targets.

Premier League Champions for 2014 are ................. MANCHESTER CITY.

Now thats out of the way lets go and win the other three.

 

[its a Barm]

If only it was that easy,but i like your attitude keep it up the rest of the league know we will only get better away from home so all is not lost we are still one of the favorites so lets keep going.

 

[moomba]

Think we'll drop points at home. Chelsea and Arsenal to come, but the last few years we've dropped points to Norwich and Sunderland so it could come at any time.

I'd still be targeting 89 points to win the league. Might be too much but I could see 80 not being enough.

 

[Stato]

Think we'll drop points at home. Chelsea and Arsenal to come, but the last few years we've dropped points to Norwich and Sunderland so it could come at any time.

I'd still be targeting 89 points to win the league. Might be too much but I could see 80 not being enough.

80 might be enough, everyone is dropping points at the moment.
Would quite like to go for all of the 78 left though.

 

[Petrovs left peg]

4 losses are not that bad as long as we avoid draws. Sounds odd but i'm convinced this years winners could lose up to 8 games - but avoiding too many draws will be the key

We won the title with a record of W28 D5 L5. the same points tally could have come from W29 D2 L7. It is generally accpeted the winning points tally will be much lower this year. In a very crude example you could get 90 points and lose 8 games in a season. It is the loss / draw ratio that is the key

We are just 2 points behind Liverpool and Chelsea and above Southampton on GD having lost "twice as many games". Whilst losses are bad, draws are almost as as bad. Tally up the games "NOT WON" and We have us equal with the above.

My point is we should not just focus on how many we have lost (becasue we only have one draw) but look at the "not won tally v's the rest". Saying you cant lose four games before Xmas and win the title is bollocks - We could lose 5 more if we won all the others (with no draws) and take the title with 85 points.

In short four defeats now is only bad if you have drawn a few - we haven't. We should just go out and blitz every fucker in an all out assault!!!!

One question for you: What is YOUR predicted points tally to win it this year?? Very low 80's is mine - 82 meaning we need 60 points from 26 games - 18 points to lose (6 losses or 9 draws) not that much in it!!1

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Needed to be Champions - 84
Points to be dropped at home - 5 (1 defeat, 1 draw)
Points needed away from home - 28 (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat)

Not much room for error!

 

[Cobwebcat]

http://www.euroclubindex.com/asp/leagueodds.asp

Right now 80 wins it. Exactly 80.

 

[Chippy_boy]

http://www.euroclubindex.com/asp/leagueodds.asp

Right now 80 wins it. Exactly 80.

I have no idea what deluded maths they used for those predictions. United are -10 points on their performance last season and yet they are predicting they will finish above us with our +3. Bonkers.

 

[cheddar404]

http://www.euroclubindex.com/asp/leagueodds.asp

Right now 80 wins it. Exactly 80.

That may as well be a link to a picture of a cat.

 

[Cobwebcat]

http://www.euroclubindex.com/asp/leagueodds.asp

Right now 80 wins it. Exactly 80.

That may as well be a link to a picture of a cat.

I'd like that.

1 Arsenal (3540) 12 28 79 40.0%
2 Chelsea (3592) 12 24 77 22.4%
3 Manchester United (3721) 12 21 76 17.1%
4 Manchester City (3509) 12 22 73 13.7%
5 Liverpool (3082) 12 24 66 3.6%
6 Tottenham Hotspur (3269) 12 20 66 2.0%
7 Everton (3051) 12 21 63 1.0%
8 Newcastle United (2693) 12 20 55 0.2%
9 Southampton (2383) 12 22 50 0.0%
10 West Bromwich Albion (2499) 11 14 47 0.0%
11 Aston Villa (2472) 11 14 47 0.0%
12 Swansea City (2492) 12 15 46 0.0%
13 Cardiff City (2133) 12 13 42 0.0%
14 Stoke City (2403) 12 13 42 0.0%
15 Norwich City (2256) 12 11 39 0.0%
16 Fulham (2354) 12 10 39 0.0%
17 West Ham United (2330) 12 10 38 0.0%
18 Hull City (1939) 12 14 38 0.0%
19 Sunderland (2185) 12 7 33 0.0%
20 Crystal Palace (1753) 12 7 29 0.0%<br /><br />-- Mon Nov 25, 2013 3:03 pm --<br /><br />

http://www.euroclubindex.com/asp/leagueodds.asp

Right now 80 wins it. Exactly 80.

I have no idea what deluded maths they used for those predictions. United are -10 points on their performance last season and yet they are predicting they will finish above us with our +3. Bonkers.

But the rags won it by more than that least season and have played harder fixtures than us so far. Not deluded just objective. We might be top in a month or so and you'll agree then ;-)