kun
Well-Known Member
Shit yeah, edited nowMaineRoadBlue said:
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Premier League Champions Calculation
- Thread starter mcfcirlam
- Start date
That game against Chelsea will be massive, and to a lesser extent the game against Spurs the week before. Considering our form and that Sergio will be back, it would be great to get 6 points from those 2. We would then have three pretty simple games (yes, I know no game is guaranteed) with Norwich a, Sunderland h, and Stoke h.
NoahCity said:That game against Chelsea will be massive, and to a lesser extent the game against Spurs the week before. Considering our form and that Sergio will be back, it would be great to get 6 points from those 2. We would then have three pretty simple games (yes, I know no game is guaranteed) with Norwich a, Sunderland h, and Stoke h.
One game at a time. That's the only way to go about this. Don't worry what anyone else is doing. If every game was a one off cup tie then I believe the bookies would have us as favourites to win or the favoured result would be a draw for the away games at United, Liverpool and Arsenal. In theory then, and the bookies don't get it wrong too often, we should look to complete the fixtures without a further defeat.
Don't look at the table. Don't concern ourselves with any other results. It's ours to lose, and if come May we haven't won it, then it will be down to another team being better than us over the season.
One game at a time.
NQCitizen
Well-Known Member
kun said:Based purely on predictions:
City
Home: 7 wins, 2 draws (23 points) (Drop points vs Chelsea and Southampton)
Away: 5 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws (14 points) (Drop points vs Arsenal, Liverpool and Everton)
40 points
40 + 47 = 87 points
Arsenal
Home: 7 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw (Drop points vs City and United)
Away: 4 wins, 1 loss, 3 draws (Drop points vs Liverpool, Stoke, Chelsea and Everton)
37 points
37 + 48 = 85 points
Chelsea
Home: 6 wins, 1 loss, 2 draw (drop points vs Everton, Arsenal and Man Utd)
Away: 6 wins, 1 losses, 1 draw (drop points vs City and Liverpool)
39 points
39 + 46 = 85 points
Liverpool
Home: 6 wins, 3 draws (Drop points to Spurs, City and Newcastle)
Away: 6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss (Drop points vs United and Southampton)
40 points
40 + 42 = 82 points
Final table:
------------------Points
1. City----------- 87
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
2. Chelsea----- 85
3. Arsenal------85
4. Liverpool---82
On the other hand Chelsea win at Anfield and we lose the league if all your other predictions came to pass. Or if Chelsea just don't lose at home, instead winning, which is Jose's speciality.
All in all I fear Chelsea. With a worse squad, tougher fixtures and misfiring frontline they sit only a point behind us right now. We can put in a 9/10 performance and still drop points whereas they seem to creep by on 6/10 and keep a clean sheet.
You have the other 3 teams all dropping points against the rags, I just don't see that all.
The rags will get well and truly rogered at both Chelsea and Arsenal, they may pick up draws at the swamp against City and Liverpool.
I'm hoping we don't regret our early season away form.
The rags will get well and truly rogered at both Chelsea and Arsenal, they may pick up draws at the swamp against City and Liverpool.
I'm hoping we don't regret our early season away form.
Santiago Street
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 21 Apr 2010
- Messages
- 1,733
Interesting thread
To help with my gambling I start a table each year at the halfway point rating the genuine title contenders based on common games they've played. I don't include games between contenders until they've played each other H and A.
This season I have us, ars, chel and liv as contenders.
So far the only common fixtures that all 4 teams have played are Hull (H), Sunderland (A), Swansea (A) and Newcastle (A)
From these games the points totals are
Arsenal 12
City 9
Chelsea 9
L'pool 8
Obviously 4 games don't tell us an awful lot
But delving a little deeper, if we compare our common games record against each of the other contenders individually a slightly clearer picture emerges
City and Arsenal have played 13 common games; City 30pts Arsenal 35
City and Chelsea have played 8 common games; City 19pts Chelsea 21
City and L'pool have played 10 common games; City 19pts L'pool 23
Make of that what you will
To help with my gambling I start a table each year at the halfway point rating the genuine title contenders based on common games they've played. I don't include games between contenders until they've played each other H and A.
This season I have us, ars, chel and liv as contenders.
So far the only common fixtures that all 4 teams have played are Hull (H), Sunderland (A), Swansea (A) and Newcastle (A)
From these games the points totals are
Arsenal 12
City 9
Chelsea 9
L'pool 8
Obviously 4 games don't tell us an awful lot
But delving a little deeper, if we compare our common games record against each of the other contenders individually a slightly clearer picture emerges
City and Arsenal have played 13 common games; City 30pts Arsenal 35
City and Chelsea have played 8 common games; City 19pts Chelsea 21
City and L'pool have played 10 common games; City 19pts L'pool 23
Make of that what you will
aguero93:20
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 21 Oct 2013
- Messages
- 90,256
- Location
- Hunting Cats.
- Team supported
- Some gobshites in day-glo green and black.
that include head to head?Santiago Street . said:Interesting thread
To help with my gambling I start a table each year at the halfway point rating the genuine title contenders based on common games they've played. I don't include games between contenders until they've played each other H and A.
This season I have us, ars, chel and liv as contenders.
So far the only common fixtures that all 4 teams have played are Hull (H), Sunderland (A), Swansea (A) and Newcastle (A)
From these games the points totals are
Arsenal 12
City 9
Chelsea 9
L'pool 8
Obviously 4 games don't tell us an awful lot
But delving a little deeper, if we compare our common games record against each of the other contenders individually a slightly clearer picture emerges
City and Arsenal have played 13 common games; City 30pts Arsenal 35
City and Chelsea have played 8 common games; City 19pts Chelsea 21
City and L'pool have played 10 common games; City 19pts L'pool 23
Make of that what you will
Santiago Street
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 21 Apr 2010
- Messages
- 1,733
No H2H included yet
aguero93:20
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 21 Oct 2013
- Messages
- 90,256
- Location
- Hunting Cats.
- Team supported
- Some gobshites in day-glo green and black.
the 8 common games plus head to head puts arse on 16, everyone else on 15, slightly better reflection imo.Santiago Street . said:No H2H included yet
edit, Liverpool are still on 8 points, I don't consider them title contenders.
ianw16
Well-Known Member
I think 88 points will definitely win it. Last season we finished on 78pts. We are currently 10pts up on the comparable fixtures, this season vs last. To maintain that 10pt gain, we would need to equal last seasons results against comparable teams in the remaining fixtures.. That means we would need to win all our remaining home games. Not impossible, or even unlikely. Away is more problematic, as we are looking to emulate victories at the swamp and Emirates from last season. On the plus side, we could recoup points from Spuds, where we lost last season (and they look infinitely beatable), and Palace (QPR), where we only got a point. Everton is another one we lost, so could claw it back a bit there too. Ditto Liverpool, where we drew.
At the end of the day, beating Chelsea and not losing at Arsenal may be enough. And don't forget, our GD means the others will need to get one point more. If we go into the WHU game on the last day of the season needing to win, I'd take that right now!
At the end of the day, beating Chelsea and not losing at Arsenal may be enough. And don't forget, our GD means the others will need to get one point more. If we go into the WHU game on the last day of the season needing to win, I'd take that right now!