"Two wins would ensure that City qualify for the play-offs, but one win is likely to be enough.
If City lose in Paris, PSG will leapfrog them in the table and City would need to beat Club Brugge at Etihad Stadium in their final league phase match, as well as potentially needing other results to go their way.
City currently have a 84% chance of reaching the play-offs according to Opta, and PSG's chances stand at 64%.
Opta estimate that City have a 57% chance of reaching the last 16 and PSG 41%.
Champions League Stage Prize money (per club)
Knockout round play-offs £840,000
Last-16 £9.3m
Quarter-finals £10.6m
Semi-finals £12.7m
Runner-up £15.6m
Winner £21.1m