Russian invasion of Ukraine

[cleavers]

Iran, China, India and North Korea have enough rifles to equip those conscripts 100x over.

There's a russian "special air squadron" Tu204 on route from Delhi to (I expect) moscow as we speak, it's the squadron that putin and his ministers use to fly abroad. I think their diplomats also use them, so it could be an embassy refresh or something, doubt it will be used to carry weapons.

 

[Trevor Morley's Tache]

Nah. Did crypto re supply for Support Helicopters and the Signals that supported them…some funny and not so funny stories from those times…

Desert Storm/Granby were a bit before my time.

 

[Blue Mist]

The million conscripts will likely have one rifle between 5 - I’m not sure Russia has the means to equip a million soldiers in a few months.

'Pick up the rifle from the dead soldier in front of you' says the sergeant with the only gun. The theory being Ukraine doesn't have enough bullets.
What they forget is this isn't World War II and its not Stalingrad they are defending.

 

[BlueAnorak]

Russia packing up to go, and have been for a few weeks... https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2022...d-as-Russian-control-of-Kherson-area-unravels

 

[BlueAnorak]

Evening Update...

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[grunge]

This would surprise me because, as poorly equipped as they will be, as badly trained, as low their morale, ~1,000,000 Russians are going to hit the front lines in a few months and that’s a frankly absurd number of troops that will make an impact if they’ve got supplies sorted out because of a 3/4 month regroup.

I think Ukraine will push on with their counterattack and try to finish this war before those soldiers really arrive.

It’s nothing even close to 1m. They aimed at 300k and managed to get about 220k. 350k fled the country. Also “few months” would suggest they are training to a decent level. It’s about 3 weeks training at most.

There were rumours of 2 more waves of drafts in the future of 300k each but for now they have 220k

 

[RadcliffeRick]

As I understand, they issued 300,000 draft notices but a large percentage of those drafted had either left ruSSia before they received the notice, or very soon after receiving one. We will probably never know, but just how many of the 300,000 actually reported to the centers would be interesting to know.

 

[RobMCFC]

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Iranian troops on the ground in Ukraine! The report says that they are there to support drone operations which basically means that they are enemy combatants. What exactly are Iran hoping to gain by this?

 

[metalblue]

Iran, China, India and North Korea have enough rifles to equip those conscripts 100x over.

Arms deals will have happened in the month since Putin mobilised them. Give them another 3/4 months of regrouping and they'll be equipped.

I believe Ukraine will try to finish the counteroffensive and leave the war all but won by Christmas.

I think you missed the point there. The typical ratio of an army in WW2 (let’s not forget this is the methods/tactics Russia is using to fight this war) was something like 1 front line to between 10-20 rear line. Even if they raised 1m men those actually doing any shooting would be between 50,000-100,000. Benefit of the doubt that Russia is much more efficient now than during WW2 and we have self contained specialist units let’s say it’s 200,000. That’s 1 in 5 with a gun.

 

[inbetween]

It was a Rivet Joint (Boeing RC-135W) which is a spy plane based on the same 1950s prototype airframe as the 707, which replaced the Nimrod R Mk 1 after it went out of service in 2011, although it did not enter service with the RAF until 2017. It is a very high value asset with just 3 in service with the RAF. The loss of one would have a major impact on UK intelligence gathering.

It's ironic that the government is arsed about it being shot at when you have to ask why Russian aircraft were able to get close to it without any air support. Typhoons are now having to escort aircraft in the area but on another day we could have lost 1 and well it's a bit too late then.

It's only proving that an AWACS aircraft is critical. It could pick up these enemy Russian aircraft far in advance to scramble the Typhoons or whatever the closest NATO air defence is. It could even pickup ships and alsorts in the area which would be pretty useful I'm sure to the Ukrainians.

However, because we sold off Sentry earlier this year we now haven't got any AWACS capability until next year when Wedgetail is put into service.