Russian invasion of Ukraine

From "The Analyst":

FRONTLINE UPDATE

There has been very heavy fighting the length of the entire Bakhmut sector - even down to Ukraine using HIMARS against a large complex of buildings on the edge of the town that may have been hiding a build up of troops. This was right on the frontline so it’s unusual to use this type of weapon so close to the front.
The situation north of Klieshievka has worsened with the Russians moving south of the railway line towards the high ground. Gains are small but persistent. In fact over the course of the past week even the optimistic Ukrainian mappers believe they have reached the very edge of the north end of the village ruins. This is not good.
Russian sources claim but have not been verified, to have broken through the railway line in the south and taken the northern half of the ruins of the village of Andrivka. If true this is now showing the Russians have regained the initiative along this front. The way it’s being talked about suggests it’s probably true.
Further south at Horlivka the Ukrainians have made gains taking some key heights on old slag heaps. Why here when this part of the front has been stable and quiet for nine years? Is it opportunistic? There seems to be so much going in at Avdivka and Klieshievka what’s this about? Horlivka is a major urban area.
There has been a great deal of fighting on the Avdivka northern pincer with both sides maintaining gains and counter gains. The area is far from stable and either side could inflict serious damage on the other quite suddenly.
The biggest concern now has shifted to the centre of the salient and the Russian advance through the industrial sector towards the town itself. They have made faster progress than expected and clearly are exploiting what they perceive as a weak spot. This is dangerous for Ukraine in two ways. First if they reinforce it this is the furthest point from safe withdrawal if lines are close to being cut behind them. Secondly if they don’t reinforce it then Russia gets dangerously close to the town itself and it’s likely loss is accelerated. Only if the pincers are safely held open can any reinforcements be deployed.
There is growing concern that Russia is about to deploy hard hitting assault units against Vuhledar. They have been training for a full year in the Berdiansk area. So if they move them here are we now expecting some kind of determined attack to take this important defensive point? They have tried many times before but with a level of incompetence hard to imagine. Have they learned from their mistakes?
On the Robotyne front the Ukrainians have made further advances toward Kopani and a widening of the salient.
On the Kherson front there has been attritional fighting - the Russians seem to have stopped attacking and gone on the defensive but there’s no obvious sign the Ukrainians are attacking either.
In other news President Biden wrote an article for the Washington Post equating Russia and Hamas and basically saying they were both determined to create chaos and undermine the world order. He also said America would never stand down from the challenge. None of this is a surprise - the problem is that the US Congress is dysfunctional in the House and no work is being done with it being sent home for two weeks for Thanksgiving- and the Senate is still sitting. That means no aid or discussions or votes for until December. And Ukraine is facing perilous weeks ahead. You can bet your life that Russia is seizing this weak point in supply and reinforcements from the US to exert maximum pressure.
It’s going to be tough month ahead for Ukraine.

Slava Ukraini !
 
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