Cheers - can't argue with your points.‘Isn’t in trouble at all’ suggests not affected materially in a negative way, which has to be wrong.
It’s inconceivable that sanctions haven’t had an impact and there’s been a mass exodus of the nation’s talent to avoid conscription. And the numbers of casualties might not be as high as western estimates but irrespective they can only be properly characterised as huge, which will deepen Russia’s upcoming demographic crisis. And Russia’s military capability has been hugely reduced too. Plus the notion of Russia being welcomed back into the fold is inconceivable for the foreseeable. So their isolation will last at least a generation imo.
So whatever way you look at it, overall, it’s been an absolute disaster for Russia, even if they keep what they’ve stolen, and irrespective of the recent playbook on the battlefield. Agree it’s hard to tell how things are progressing at that level though.
Yes, I think that is a fair assessment, at least as things currently stand. Same goes the other way though. It’s been in a state of stalemate for a while now.Cheers - can't argue with your points.
By - "Isn't in Trouble at All" - I meant - not in danger of losing the war whatsoever and should have made that clear.
This is the problem with echo chambers, with a numerical advantage you may silence dissent, but you don't change reality.Curious, honest question - how does one differentiate between excessive pro-Ukraine exuberance and reality or indeed the reverse when consuming posts?
My hosest - but not informed sentiment - as a very pro-Ukraine observer - is that Russia isn't in trouble at all and will continue to grind away; whereas Ukraine, it's much smaller adversary isn't winning the war - and in spite of their heroic efforts may well ceed much of their territory in a peace deal within the next year or so - especially now that Trump is President of the USA.
Anyhow, that's my sentiment - and I'd much welcome accurately informed opinions with backing from major news agencies to the contrary.
My sense is that Ukraine is at a breaking point (as a neutral consumer of biased news trying to puzzle things out). And I think that Ukraine is especially at risk of losing the war now that Trump has been elected president.Yes, I think that is a fair assessment, at least as things currently stand. Same goes the other way though. It’s been in a state of stalemate for a while now.
What are you basing that on?My sense is that Ukraine is at a breaking point (as a neutral consumer of biased news trying to puzzle things out).
Russia is not in trouble, trust me bro.My sense is that Ukraine is at a breaking point (as a neutral consumer of biased news trying to puzzle things out). And I think that Ukraine is especially at risk of losing the war now that Trump has been elected president.
Russia has had the luxury of sending a bunch of prisoners and obsolete WWII-era tanks and weaponry to the front in a war of attrition - which Russia could care less about. Prisoners and obsolete-but-functional weaponry are by accounts now exhausted (or nearly so) - and yet Russia is twice the size of Ukraine and has much more in reserve to tap into. Add to this North Korea's nominal (although it remains to see how substantial) entry into the war - sending troops to aid Putin.
Against this - is Putin's support among the oligarchs (especially) and the common folk (to a lesser extent) that prop him up. Putin has no doubt taken a hit in support - but his adversaries keep leaping out of windows or experiencing unfortunate aviation accidents - Putin's grip on power - to me (again uninformed) - seems firm, at least for now.
Not a chance current Ukraine soldiers will fight for putin, they'd probably sooner die in a gulag.Plus he will have a highly trained Ukranian army to move onto the next country of his choice..
It's my sense from watching numerous Youtube videos - mostly pro-Ukraine (taking into account obvious bias)- as well as big media coverage from US news outlets mostly PBS/CNN/MSNBC - from which lately I haven't seen much coverage on the war.What are you basing that on?
Ok, Not saying you’re wrong but I certainly hope you are.It's my sense from watching numerous Youtube videos - mostly pro-Ukraine (taking into account obvious bias)- as well as big media coverage from US news outlets mostly PBS/CNN/MSNBC - from which lately I haven't seen much coverage on the war.
Me too, LOL!Ok, Not saying you’re wrong but I certainly hope you are.