Russian invasion of Ukraine

fulabeer said:
If you haven't noticed, the Ukraine doesn't strike vanity targets.
It strikes are arms depots and airfields. Ie areas that the missiles come from.
What makes you think that will change?
I think "the bridge" is more at threat right now.
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The Bridge is probably at the least risk it has ever been since the start of the war, unless Ukraine feels they have been cornered and rationality goes out of the window.

Crimea is likely to be formally ceded by Ukraine to Russia as part of the Peace deal.
 
Good chance for North Korea to test their long range missiles. Surprised that haven't yet. Not nuclear but normal explosive warheads
 
Mr Kobayashi said:
The Bridge is probably at the least risk it has ever been since the start of the war, unless Ukraine feels they have been cornered and rationality goes out of the window.

Crimea is likely to be formally ceded by Ukraine to Russia as part of the Peace deal.
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I think you're probably way off.

The more damage Ukraine can do ahead of Trump the better, from a negotiating standpoint. No bridge, arguably Russia can't hold Crimea without Ukr concessions.

Never been a more important time IMO.

I doubt Ukraine has the capability though.
 
Mr Kobayashi said:
The Bridge is probably at the least risk it has ever been since the start of the war, unless Ukraine feels they have been cornered and rationality goes out of the window.

Crimea is likely to be formally ceded by Ukraine to Russia as part of the Peace deal.
Click to expand...
As its being used to supply the invading force, why would it not be a target? You do realise Ukraine have made several attempts to destroy it in the past, what has changed?
 
roubaixtuesday said:
I think you're probably way off.

The more damage Ukraine can do ahead of Trump the better, from a negotiating standpoint. No bridge, arguably Russia can't hold Crimea without Ukr concessions.

Never been a more important time IMO.

I doubt Ukraine has the capability though.
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They don't have the capability and that is why the Bridge was never taken out besides the relatively minor bombings.

It would require a 1st class army and marine commando capable of mounting an amphibious assault and With precision and speed.

Too slow and they would allow time for Russia to resupply, bed down and bring in reinenforcements or lay booby traps and turn it into a urban warfare nightmare.

Crimea is going to be ceded because it's one of the territories occupied by Russia which Ukraine has the smallest chances of capturing by military means.
 
Churchlawtonblue said:
As its being used to supply the invading force, why would it not be a target? You do realise Ukraine have made several attempts to destroy it in the past, what has changed?
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Donald Trump getting elected less than a couple of weeks ago changed everything.

Do you really think the Ukrainian Army who have generally proved incapable or unwilling to go on the offensive (because they aren't prepared to risk the number of casualties required to regain territory), are going to recapture Crimea and large swathes of lost territory in the bitter cold of Winters before Trump takes power and pulls the plug on their military aid?
 
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