The 70 pt Trajectory

[Lord Blue]

Draws at home to Burnley Hull and Fulham could cost us dearly!

as could losing away to Hull

 

[Prestwich_Blue]

If you forget all the stats, we need wins at Burnley, Fulham & West Ham then we need 4 wins out of our 6 homes games (or 3 wins and two draws).

That's do-able. Beat Wigan, rags & Brum at home and then a win or two draws from Everton, Spurs & Villa. Fulham away would appear to be the key game - 3 points there is crucial.

 

[sqblue]

tottingham's run in looks like a nightmare. villa's looks the easiest on paper, but that means nothing.

it's going to come down to the 2 games at home against them.

 

[SWP's back]

Here's my updated graph.

For us to reach 70 points by the end of the season, we should currently be on 53.42 points, we're on 50.

If we'd have won at home against Spurs, we'd be pretty dead on target, so we are a game behind really on the average points.

Interesting to see that Mancini has pretty much performed on target for that 70 points, whereas Hughes was either above or below the target.

Ermmmm...................... eh? We haven't played Spurs at home yet.

 

[simonr555]

I got bored at work and have looked at remaining fixtures for all clubs and have projected these totals:

City 70
Villa 67
Liverpool 67
Spurs 66

 

[sktooblue]

The fact that Villa and Spurs are both still caught up in the FA Cup could still prove a distraction for them - same hopefully for L'pool in the Europa. Plus more games = more chances of picking up injuries & suspensions.

 

[the goats backside]

Spurs may have Chelsea, arse and rags all in a row but when they have those games we also have Birmingham, rags and the arse so not that much advantage. I suspect 69 will get 4th or maybe 68

 

[rastus]

Spurs may have Chelsea, arse and rags all in a row but when they have those games we also have Birmingham, rags and the arse so not that much advantage. I suspect 69 will get 4th or maybe 68

69 would put us in a great position... ;o)

Get my coat now....thank you and goodnight

 

[dick slexia]

Would it be such a disaster if we missed 4th place? Im beginning to steel myself in case we miss out.
Firstly how would we perform if we did get into the CL we would have some new players but these most probably have been in the world cup and could be knackered, also we would have the same problem we had at the start of this season, new team not used to playing with each other. How far could we realistically go in our first season in the champs league?
A long run in the europa could be more beneficial than an early exit from the CL, it would give us experience in playing in europe, it would allow new players to mould into the exisiting team and allow a sustained attempt on the premiership and domestic cups. The season after next after the players have had a normal summer break would be the one when we could mount a serious challenge in the champs league.
Of course if we get fourth that would be great but im just trying to convince myself that if we miss out then it wouldnt depress me too much

 

[MCFC13]

69 points is fine if that qualifies you for CL. 72 points is shite if you miss CL by a point or so.

In short who f**king knows.

Agree, but still fun spending the time trying to work out all the scenerios

 

[DTeacher]

Here's my updated graph.

For us to reach 70 points by the end of the season, we should currently be on 53.42 points, we're on 50.

If we'd have won at home against Spurs, we'd be pretty dead on target, so we are a game behind really on the average points.

Interesting to see that Mancini has pretty much performed on target for that 70 points, whereas Hughes was either above or below the target.

Ermmmm...................... eh? We haven't played Spurs at home yet.

Lol....that's why he said that we are a 'game behind' ;o)

 

[Bluemoonbaldboy]

70 points hasn't been enough for Champions League the last two seasons when Cook said that was the target when Mancini was appointed I had a feeling Europa League was the real target for this year (IMO just a different way of saying top 6) Time will tell we have been inconsistant of late so perhaps a late charge and get that 4th spot is indeed on the cards. Keep thing spurs bubble will burst their run in certainly aint the easiest of the 4 teams chasing it mind you is ours still having to play Villa Spurs rags and Arsenal ok 3 of them are at home...

 

[simon23]

people are presuming that our home form continues to be good

however, the team s we have to play at COMS are considerably harder than the likes of Sunderland

we have to play utd, spurs villa and everton (who are the inform team at present)

to get wins in any of those games is going to require a big improvement on the performance that we saw against sunderland....give those teams a 1-0 head start and we may struggle to get anything

 

[foley87]

i did the bbc predictor and has us in 4th on 67 with a game to play (didnt have the tottenham game on it)

liverpool played 38 67 points, tottenham 37 games 63 points and villa played 36 63 points